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公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.10.13-2025.10.17):外部扰动不断,债市震荡修复-20251020
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-10-20 10:59
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (Oct 13 - Oct 17, 2025), the bond market sentiment warmed up with yields oscillating and recovering. The stock market's decline and the central bank's loose liquidity pushed the ultra - long - end bonds to rebound and lead the market. The short - term bond market's allocation cost - performance improved, and it may continue a mild oscillating pattern [3][10]. - The continuous decline of bond yields needs further observation, affected by factors such as the "15th Five - Year Plan" policy signals from the Fourth Plenary Session, the possibility of monetary policy easing (e.g., interest rate cuts), and the results of Sino - US trade negotiations [10]. - Last week, the US Treasury yields declined. The 10 - year US Treasury yield once fell below 4.0% and then rebounded above 4.0% due to improved market sentiment [10]. - Last week, the CSI REITs Total Return Index declined by 1.44%. Various types of REITs generally fell, but there were new developments in the primary market [11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Market Observation 3.1.1 Pan - Fixed - Income Market Review and Observation - **Domestic Bond Market**: From Oct 13 to Oct 17, 2025, the 1 - year Treasury yield rose 5.93BP to 1.44%, the 10 - year yield dropped 1.4BP to 1.82%, and the 30 - year yield dropped 7BP to 2.20%. The short - term bond market may maintain a mild oscillating pattern, and the continuous decline of yields needs further observation [10]. - **US Bond Market**: From Oct 13 to Oct 17, 2025, the 1 - year US Treasury yield dropped 4BP to 3.56%, the 2 - year yield dropped 6BP to 3.46%, and the 10 - year yield dropped 3BP to 4.02%. The 10 - year yield once fell below 4.0% and then rebounded [10]. - **REITs Market**: From Oct 13 to Oct 17, 2025, the CSI REITs Total Return Index declined 1.44% to 1043.46 points. There were 3 new first - issue REITs and 2 new expansion - offering REITs in the primary market [11]. 3.1.2 Public Fund Market Dynamics - On Oct 14, 2025, the CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund completed its fundraising, becoming the first successfully issued public REITs project in Northeast China [3][12]. 3.2 Pan - Fixed - Income Fund Index Performance Tracking | Index Classification | Last Week's Return | Since Inception Return | | --- | --- | --- | | Money Enhancement Index | 0.03% | 4.19% | | Short - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index | 0.05% | 4.32% | | Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index | 0.16% | 6.23% | | Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Preferred Index | - 0.06% | 3.93% | | Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Preferred Index | - 0.85% | 4.69% | | High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Preferred Index | - 1.00% | 6.70% | | Convertible Bond Fund Preferred Index | - 2.61% | 19.80% | | QDII Bond Fund Preferred Index | 0.18% | 10.57% | | REITs Fund Preferred Index | - 2.43% | 31.01% | [4][5][13] 3.2.1 Money Enhancement Index Tracking - **Money Enhancement Strategy Index**: Aims at liquidity management, pursues a curve surpassing money funds. It mainly allocates money market funds and inter - bank certificate of deposit index funds. The performance benchmark is the CSI Money Fund Index [14]. 3.2.2 Pure Bond Index Tracking - **Short - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index**: Aims at liquidity management, pursues a smooth curve while controlling drawdowns. It mainly configures 5 funds with stable long - term returns, strict drawdown control, and significant absolute return capabilities. The performance benchmark is 50% * Short - Term Pure Bond Fund Index + 50% * Ordinary Money Fund Index [18]. - **Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index**: Invests in medium - and long - term pure bond funds, pursues stable returns while controlling drawdowns. It selects 5 funds each period, adjusting duration and the ratio of credit bond funds and interest - rate bond funds according to the market [18]. 3.2.3 Fixed - Income + Index Tracking - **Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: The equity center is 10%, with 10 funds selected each period. It focuses on funds with an equity center within 15% in the past three years and recently. The performance benchmark is 10% CSI 800 Index + 90% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index [22]. - **Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: The equity center is 20%, with 5 funds selected each period. It selects funds with an equity center between 15% - 25% in the past three years and recently [23]. - **High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: The equity center is 30%, with 5 funds selected each period. It selects funds with an equity center between 25% - 35% in the past three years and recently, focusing on bond - end stability and equity - end offensive capabilities [27]. 3.2.4 Convertible Bond Fund Preferred Index - Selects bond - type funds with an average convertible bond investment proportion of at least 60% in the latest period and at least 80% in the past four quarters. It constructs an evaluation system from multiple dimensions and selects 5 funds to form the index [30]. 3.2.5 QDII Bond Fund Preferred Index Tracking - The underlying assets are overseas bonds. It selects 6 funds with stable returns and good risk control according to credit and duration [32]. 3.2.6 REITs Fund Preferred Index Tracking - The underlying assets are mainly high - quality and stable infrastructure projects. It selects 10 funds with stable operations, reasonable valuations, and certain elasticity according to the type of underlying assets [33].
【公募基金】外部扰动不断,债市震荡修复——公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.10.13-2025.10.17)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-10-20 09:17
Market Overview - The bond market sentiment improved last week (2025.10.13-2025.10.17), with yields fluctuating. The 1-year government bond yield rose by 5.93 basis points to 1.44%, while the 10-year yield fell by 1.4 basis points to 1.82%, and the 30-year yield decreased by 7 basis points to 2.20%. The overall weak stock market and the central bank's release of liquidity contributed to the rebound of long-term bonds, leading the bond market [3][14]. - The U.S. Treasury yields also declined last week, with the 1-year yield down by 4 basis points to 3.56%, the 2-year yield down by 6 basis points to 3.46%, and the 10-year yield down by 3 basis points to 4.02%. The decline was influenced by dovish comments from the Federal Reserve Chairman and concerns about the U.S. regional banking system [14]. Public Fund Market Dynamics - On October 14, the CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park closed-end infrastructure securities investment fund (referred to as "Shenyang International Software Park REIT") successfully completed its fundraising, marking the first public REIT project successfully issued in Northeast China. The initial assets of the Shenyang International Software Park REIT consist of 13 industrial buildings in Shenyang, with a total property area of 201,200 square meters, primarily focused on research and development office space [17][16]. Fund Index Performance Tracking - The Money Enhanced Index rose by 0.03% last week, with a cumulative return of 4.19% since inception [4][19]. - The Short-term Bond Fund Index increased by 0.05%, with a cumulative return of 4.32% since inception [5][19]. - The Medium to Long-term Bond Fund Index rose by 0.16%, with a cumulative return of 6.23% since inception [6][19]. - The Low Volatility Fixed Income + Fund Index fell by 0.06%, with a cumulative return of 3.93% since inception [7][19]. - The Medium Volatility Fixed Income + Fund Index decreased by 0.85%, with a cumulative return of 4.69% since inception [8][19]. - The High Volatility Fixed Income + Fund Index dropped by 1.00%, with a cumulative return of 6.70% since inception [9][19]. - The Convertible Bond Fund Index fell by 2.61%, with a cumulative return of 19.80% since inception [10][19]. - The QDII Bond Fund Index rose by 0.18%, with a cumulative return of 10.57% since inception [11][19]. - The REITs Fund Index decreased by 2.43%, with a cumulative return of 31.01% since inception [12][19].
公募REITs周度跟踪(2025.10.13-2025.10.17):中海商业REIT网下认购倍数创新高-20251018
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - After the holiday, the REITs market continued to adjust, but the overall liquidity has bottomed out and rebounded this week, with the most obvious improvement in the affordable housing sector [3]. - The enthusiasm for new subscriptions in the primary market of REITs remains high. The net subscription multiples of Huaxia Zhonghai Commercial REIT and CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park REIT have reached new highs [3]. - This week, the CSI REITs Total Return Index fell by 1.44%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.78 percentage points and underperforming the CSI Dividend by 2.11 percentage points [4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Primary Market - A total of 3 single - issue public REITs made new progress this week. E Fund Guangxi Beitou Expressway REIT has been declared, while Huaxia Zhonghai Commercial REIT and CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park REIT have completed fundraising [4][15]. - As of October 10, 2025, 18 single - issue REITs have been successfully issued this year, with a issuance scale of 36.34 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 21.5% [4]. 3.2 Secondary Market 3.2.1 Market Review - The CSI REITs Total Return Index closed at 1043.46 points, down 1.44%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.78 percentage points and underperforming the CSI Dividend by 2.11 percentage points. The year - to - date increase of the CSI REITs Total Return Index is 7.81%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 6.91 percentage points and outperforming the CSI Dividend by 7.54 percentage points [4]. - By project attribute, equity - based REITs fell by 2.09% this week, and concession - based REITs fell by 1.64%. By asset type, the data center (+0.62%), transportation (-1.56%), environmental protection and water services (-1.70%), and park (-1.74%) sectors performed better [4]. 3.2.2 Liquidity - The average daily turnover rates of equity - based and concession - based REITs this week were 0.39% and 0.36% respectively, an increase of 8.58 and 4.88 basis points from last week. The weekly trading volumes were 366 million and 102 million shares respectively, a week - on - week increase of 28.35% and 15.87% [4][24]. - The affordable housing sector showed the most obvious improvement in liquidity [3]. 3.2.3 Valuation - The ChinaBond valuation yields of equity - based and concession - based REITs are 3.94% and 4.16% respectively. The affordable housing sector has a relatively high valuation [26][28]. 3.3 This Week's News and Important Announcements - On October 13, 2025, the Ministry of Civil Affairs supported the initial cultivation of elderly - care REITs, and carried out practical exploration work in 11 regions [32]. - On October 16, 2025, 9 departments including the Ministry of Housing and Urban - Rural Development supported eligible new urban infrastructure to issue REITs [32]. - On October 17, 2025, the bid - evaluation result of the financial advisor for Qingcheng Mountain - Dujiangyan Scenic Area REITs was announced, with CICC winning the bid at 5 million yuan [32]. - There were also important announcements such as dividends, operating conditions, and strategic placement share unlocks of some REITs [33].
公募REITs周度跟踪:中海商业REIT网下认购倍数创新高-20251018
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The liquidity of the REITs market has bottomed out and rebounded, with two new projects attracting over 200 billion yuan in funds. The first - level market's new - issue enthusiasm remains high, and the overall liquidity has improved, especially in the affordable housing sector [3]. - As of October 10, 2025, 18 REITs have been successfully issued this year, with a scale of 36.34 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 21.5%. Three new - issue and two expansion - issue REITs have made new progress this week [4]. - This week, the CSI REITs Total Return Index closed at 1043.46 points, down 1.44%. The liquidity of both property - type and franchise - type REITs has increased, and the data center sector is the most active. In terms of valuation, the warehousing and logistics, transportation, and park sectors rank among the top [5]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 First - level Market: Three New - issue Public REITs Made New Progress - As of October 17, 2025, 77 REITs have been issued, with a total issuance scale of 199.6 billion yuan, a total market value of 217.4 billion yuan, and a circulating market value of 108 billion yuan. Among them, property - type REITs account for a large proportion in terms of quantity and scale [16]. - This week, three new - issue REITs made progress: E Fund Guangxi Beitou Expressway REIT has been declared, and China AMC China Overseas Commercial REIT and CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park REIT have completed fundraising [4][17]. - Two expansion - issue REITs made progress: China AMC China Resources Commercial REIT has been accepted, and China AMC China Resources Youchao REIT has received feedback [4][18]. 3.2 Second - level Market: Liquidity Bottomed out and Rebounded this Week 3.2.1 Market Review: CSI REITs Total Return Index Fell 1.44% - This week, the CSI REITs Total Return Index closed at 1043.46 points, down 1.44%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.78 percentage points and underperforming the CSI Dividend by 2.11 percentage points. Year - to - date, it has risen 7.81%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 6.91 percentage points and outperforming the CSI Dividend by 7.54 percentage points [5]. - By project attribute, property - type REITs fell 2.09%, and franchise - type REITs fell 1.64%. By asset type, the data center, transportation, environmental protection and water services, and park sectors performed better [5]. - Among individual bonds, 4 rose and 70 fell. The top three were Huatai - PineBridge Nanjing Jianye REIT, Southern Runze Technology Data Center REIT, and Huatai - PineBridge Baowan Logistics REIT, while the bottom three were Yin Hua Shaoxing Raw Water Conservancy REIT, Hongtu Shenzhen Anju REIT, and Huatai - PineBridge Baowan Logistics REIT [5]. 3.2.2 Liquidity: Turnover Rate Bottomed out and Rebounded, with the Affordable Housing Sector Improving Most Significantly - The average daily turnover rates of property - type and franchise - type REITs this week were 0.39% and 0.36% respectively, an increase of 8.58 and 4.88 basis points compared to last week. The trading volumes were 366 million and 102 million shares respectively, a week - on - week increase of 28.35% and 15.87% [5][27]. - The data center sector was the most active, and the affordable housing sector had the most significant improvement in liquidity [3][27]. 3.2.3 Valuation: The Affordable Housing Sector has a Higher Valuation - According to the China Bond valuation yield, the yields of property - type and franchise - type REITs are 3.94% and 4.16% respectively. The warehousing and logistics, transportation, and park sectors rank among the top [5][32]. 3.3 This Week's News and Important Announcements - News: The Ministry of Civil Affairs supports the cultivation of pension REITs; 9 departments including the Ministry of Housing and Urban - Rural Development support eligible new - type urban infrastructure to issue REITs; the bid - evaluation result of the financial advisor for Qingcheng Mountain - Dujiangyan Scenic Area REITs has been announced [36]. - Announcements: China AMC Joy City Commercial REIT will conduct a second dividend in 2025; the Q3 operating conditions of AVIC Shougang Green Energy REIT and CITIC Construction Investment Mingyang Smart New Energy REIT have been announced; the strategic placement shares of China Merchants Shekou Rental Housing REIT will be lifted from restrictions [37].