点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 公司营收、利润双双稳健增长 艾迪精密2025Q1-Q3实现营业收入23.7亿元，同比增长16.5%；归母净利润3.2亿元，同比增长12.6%。毛利率为 28.6%，同比下降1.8个百分点；净利率为13.5%，同比下降0.3个百分点。 液压件业务表现亮眼，公司有望受益于工程机械行业复苏 2025H1公司液压件业务实现营收9.9亿元，同比增长51.8%；破碎锤业务实现营收4.2亿元，同比下降17.4%；公 司以硬质合金刀具、工业机器人、RV减速器等在内的其他产品实现营收1.3亿元，同比下降34.3%。 2025年1-10月我国挖掘机（含出口）销量19.2万台，同比增长17.0%；其中内销销量9.8万台，同比增长19.6%； 出口销 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has demonstrated steady growth in both revenue and profit, with a revenue of 2.37 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.5%, and a net profit of 320 million yuan, up 12.6% year-on-year [1] - The hydraulic components business has shown remarkable performance, with a revenue of 990 million yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a 51.8% year-on-year increase [2] - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is expected to further boost demand for the company's products, particularly in rock breaking and excavation operations [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 810 million yuan, a 23.6% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 110 million yuan, up 29.7% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 30.6%, down 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 14.1%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [1] Business Segments - The hydraulic components segment is a key growth driver, with significant revenue growth, while the breaker hammer business saw a decline of 17.4% year-on-year [2] - Other products, including hard alloy tools and industrial robots, experienced a revenue decline of 34.3% [2] Market Outlook - The recovery of the engineering machinery industry is anticipated to drive demand for hydraulic components and accessories, positioning the company favorably as a leader in the hydraulic hammer and components market [2] - The ongoing construction of large-scale hydropower projects is expected to enhance the demand for the company's specialized products [3] Earnings Forecast - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 419 million yuan, 506 million yuan, and 608 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.50 yuan, 0.61 yuan, and 0.73 yuan [4][5]

Group 1 - The company plans to repurchase shares through a centralized bidding method, with a total amount between 100 million and 200 million yuan, and a maximum repurchase price of 27.00 yuan per share, which is 44.15% higher than the current price of 18.73 yuan [1] - The company has seen a cumulative stock price increase of 11.21% this year [1] - The repurchased shares may be canceled or used for employee stock ownership plans or equity incentive plans [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, the number of shareholders increased by 11.11% to 23,000, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 10.00% to 36,157 shares [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.374 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 316 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.63% [2] Group 3 - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 720 million yuan in dividends, with 292 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Aidi Precision has shown a positive stock performance and financial growth in recent periods, indicating potential investment opportunities [1][2]. Group 2 - As of November 4, Aidi Precision's stock price increased by 2.02%, reaching 19.23 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 15.982 billion CNY [1]. - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 14.19%, with a 5-day increase of 8.83%, a 20-day increase of 3.33%, and a 60-day increase of 4.06% [1]. - The main business revenue composition includes hydraulic components (63.12%), breakers (26.65%), and other products (8.24%) [1]. - As of September 30, the number of shareholders increased to 23,000, up by 11.11%, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 10.00% to 36,157 shares [2]. - For the period from January to September 2025, Aidi Precision achieved operating revenue of 2.374 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 16.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 316 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 12.63% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 720 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 292 million CNY distributed in the last three years [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in the first three quarters of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, indicating a positive trend in the engineering machinery sector and the company's operational efficiency [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 7.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.087 billion yuan, up 16.49% [1]. - In Q3 alone, the company recorded revenue of 2.619 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.53%, and a net profit of 658 million yuan, which is a 30.6% increase compared to the same period last year [1]. Industry Trends - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a comprehensive recovery, with excavator domestic sales and exports increasing by 21.55% and 14.61% respectively from January to September 2025 [2]. - The company's revenue growth rates for Q1 to Q3 of 2025 were 2.56%, 11.24%, and 24.53%, indicating a clear acceleration in growth [2]. Profitability - The company maintained high profitability levels, with gross and net profit margins of 41.96% and 26.85% respectively for the first three quarters of 2025, showing improvements of 0.5 percentage points and 0.98 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - In Q3, the gross margin was 42.18% and the net margin was 25.17%, reflecting increases of 0.87 percentage points and 1.18 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Product Development and Market Position - The company is well-positioned in the linear actuator market, with a complete product lineup including precision screws, linear guides, and electric cylinders, and has developed over 50 new products while adding nearly 300 new clients [4]. - The upcoming production of humanoid robots by Tesla is expected to benefit the company's screw business, aligning with the trend of electrification in engineering machinery and opening new market opportunities [4]. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 10.478 billion, 12.158 billion, and 14.17 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 2.807 billion, 3.347 billion, and 3.928 billion yuan, indicating continued growth [5]. - The investment rating remains strong due to the anticipated improvement in the company's fundamentals and the potential benefits from the humanoid robot industry [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Aidi Precision, is a leading player in the domestic engineering machinery accessories sector, focusing on hydraulic technology research and product development, showcasing strong technical capabilities and market competitiveness [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Aidi Precision achieved a revenue of 2.374 billion yuan, ranking second among 12 companies in the industry, with the industry leader, Hengli Hydraulic, reporting 7.79 billion yuan [2] - The main business composition includes hydraulic components at 990 million yuan (63.12%), hydraulic breakers at 418 million yuan (26.65%), and other products at 129 million yuan (8.24%) [2] - The net profit for the same period was 321 million yuan, also ranking second in the industry, with Hengli Hydraulic leading at 2.091 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Aidi Precision's debt-to-asset ratio was 44.26%, down from 46.95% year-on-year, which is higher than the industry average of 29.94% [3] - The gross profit margin for the same period was 28.57%, slightly down from 30.43% year-on-year, but still above the industry average of 27.79% [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders increased by 11.11% to 23,000, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per account decreased by 10% to 36,200 [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a revenue increase to 2.725 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 21.9%, with a net profit of 344 million yuan, also a 23.5% increase [5] - The hydraulic components business is anticipated to benefit from the recovery in the engineering machinery sector, with ongoing investments in R&D and expansion into new product lines [6] - The company is constructing a new factory in Thailand and advancing the Aiqi Precision high-end hydraulic components project [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company, AVIC Heavy Machinery (stock code: 600765), primarily engages in the production and sales of forgings, hydraulic components, and radiators, as well as related equipment and parts for aircraft and automotive industries [1] Group 1 - The company's main business includes the development, manufacturing, repair, and sales of forgings, heat exchangers, and complete sets of equipment [1] - The company also specializes in components for aircraft and aviation engines, as well as automotive spare parts [1]

Company Overview - Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. is located in Yantai Economic and Technological Development Zone, Shandong Province, established on August 6, 2003, and listed on January 20, 2017 [2] - The company's main business involves research, development, production, and sales of hydraulic technology and products, with revenue composition as follows: hydraulic components 63.12%, breakers 26.65%, other products 8.24%, and others 1.99% [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.569 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 207 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.34% [2] - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 720 million yuan in dividends, with 292 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Stock Performance - As of September 16, the stock price increased by 2.05% to 18.40 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 40.455 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.27%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 15.292 billion yuan [1] - Year-to-date, the stock price has risen by 9.26%, with a 0.66% increase over the last five trading days, a 2.65% decrease over the last 20 days, and a 6.24% increase over the last 60 days [2] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, the number of shareholders was 20,700, a decrease of 18.36% from the previous period, with an average of 40,176 circulating shares per person, an increase of 22.48% [2] Capital Flow - In terms of capital flow, there was a net outflow of 2.647 million yuan from main funds, with large orders buying 1.4046 million yuan (3.47% of total) and selling 4.0516 million yuan (10.02% of total) [1]

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint highlights the unprecedented removal of Federal Reserve Governor Cook by Trump, raising concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve and the potential for more "Trump-aligned" appointees, which could lead to increased expectations for interest rate cuts next year [1] - Following the removal announcement, long-term U.S. Treasury yields and gold prices rose, while the U.S. dollar index fell, indicating market reactions to the uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's future [1] Fixed Income - The report indicates a cautious approach in the convertible bond market, suggesting a reduction in exposure to high-priced targets while increasing allocations to ETFs to balance risks [2][3] - The 10-year government bond yield increased from 1.745% to 1.785%, reflecting market adjustments [2] Industry Insights - Longi Green Energy's Q2 performance showed a reduction in losses, with production capacity gradually increasing, maintaining a "buy" rating [4] - Zhuhai Guanyu's mobile phone shipments saw significant growth, aligning with expectations, and the company is rated as a "buy" [4] - Hunan YN's profit forecast for 2025-2027 was adjusted downwards due to lithium carbonate price pressures, but the company maintains a "buy" rating based on its market position [7] - The report on Aima Technology indicates a slight downward adjustment in profit forecasts for 2025-2026, but the company is still rated as a "buy" due to its strong market position and ongoing product development [9] - The report on Yutong Bus highlights performance driven by exports, with expectations for a strong second half of 2025 [10] - The analysis of Minsheng Health indicates stable growth in traditional products and clear growth in probiotics, suggesting a positive outlook for future growth [13] - The report on Ganfeng Lithium indicates a downward adjustment in profit forecasts for 2025-2027, but the company is still rated as a "buy" due to its global resource layout [20] - The report on Jianghuai Automobile indicates a strategic partnership with Huawei and ongoing collaborations with other tech firms, maintaining a "buy" rating despite competitive pressures [22] - The report on Yingjia Wine suggests a focus on mid-range products, with expectations for improved performance following inventory clearance [23]

Group 1 - The stock price of AVIC Heavy Machinery closed at 17.28 yuan on August 26, down by 0.17 yuan, a decrease of 0.97% [1] - The trading volume on that day was 251,300 hands, with a transaction amount of 434 million yuan [1] - AVIC Heavy Machinery is a core enterprise under the China Aviation Industry Corporation, specializing in forging and casting, with main products including aerospace forgings and hydraulic components [1] Group 2 - The company operates in multiple sectors, including aerospace, shipping, and power [1] - The latest announcement indicates that the company has completed the public transfer of 29.9879% equity in its subsidiary, Excellence Forging Technology, through the Beijing Property Exchange, receiving 170.2973 million yuan from the equity transfer [1] - On August 26, the net outflow of main funds was 48.6577 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 172.0738 million yuan over the past five days [1]