点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 公司营收、利润双双稳健增长 艾迪精密2025Q1-Q3实现营业收入23.7亿元，同比增长16.5%；归母净利润3.2亿元，同比增长12.6%。毛利率为 28.6%，同比下降1.8个百分点；净利率为13.5%，同比下降0.3个百分点。 液压件业务表现亮眼，公司有望受益于工程机械行业复苏 2025H1公司液压件业务实现营收9.9亿元，同比增长51.8%；破碎锤业务实现营收4.2亿元，同比下降17.4%；公 司以硬质合金刀具、工业机器人、RV减速器等在内的其他产品实现营收1.3亿元，同比下降34.3%。 2025年1-10月我国挖掘机（含出口）销量19.2万台，同比增长17.0%；其中内销销量9.8万台，同比增长19.6%； 出口销 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has demonstrated steady growth in both revenue and profit, with a revenue of 2.37 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.5%, and a net profit of 320 million yuan, up 12.6% year-on-year [1] - The hydraulic components business has shown remarkable performance, with a revenue of 990 million yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a 51.8% year-on-year increase [2] - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is expected to further boost demand for the company's products, particularly in rock breaking and excavation operations [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 810 million yuan, a 23.6% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 110 million yuan, up 29.7% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 30.6%, down 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 14.1%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [1] Business Segments - The hydraulic components segment is a key growth driver, with significant revenue growth, while the breaker hammer business saw a decline of 17.4% year-on-year [2] - Other products, including hard alloy tools and industrial robots, experienced a revenue decline of 34.3% [2] Market Outlook - The recovery of the engineering machinery industry is anticipated to drive demand for hydraulic components and accessories, positioning the company favorably as a leader in the hydraulic hammer and components market [2] - The ongoing construction of large-scale hydropower projects is expected to enhance the demand for the company's specialized products [3] Earnings Forecast - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 419 million yuan, 506 million yuan, and 608 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.50 yuan, 0.61 yuan, and 0.73 yuan [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The excavator industry serves as a key indicator for infrastructure construction and fixed asset investment, with the latest data from the "CCTV Financial Excavator Index" showing a month-on-month increase in average operating rates and workload in October despite holiday impacts [1][3]. Summary by Sections National Overview - In October, the national average operating rate for construction machinery was 45.56%, an increase of 1.4% month-on-month, with a workload growth of 5.25%. The new orders index for the construction industry was at 45.9%, up by 3.7 percentage points from the previous month [3]. Provincial Performance - The top ten provinces by operating rate included Zhejiang, Anhui, Beijing, Hainan, Jiangxi, Liaoning, Jilin, Qinghai, Ningxia, and Hebei. Additionally, 19 provinces had operating rates exceeding 50%, and 22 provinces saw a month-on-month increase in workload [3]. Equipment Performance - The operating rate for lifting equipment was 70.74%, leading among various equipment categories. The operating rate for truck cranes was 75.81%, indicating a significant focus on large equipment installation and project completion in October [8]. Excavator Insights - Excavator operating rates saw the highest month-on-month increase among all equipment categories, rising by 2.15%. The central region had an excavator operating rate of 56.6%, indicating a surge in new project initiations [10]. Regional Highlights - The central region's comprehensive operating rate was 50.43%, with ongoing projects in electronics, automotive manufacturing, high-end equipment, green energy, and logistics. Notably, the workload for stackers in Hunan surged by 225.36% year-on-year [12]. - The northeastern region had a comprehensive operating rate of 49.46%, with road equipment leading at 56.35% and notable year-on-year increases in various equipment categories [14]. - The western region's comprehensive operating rate was 49.22%, with lifting equipment at 78.35%, and significant year-on-year increases in workload for various equipment types [16]. - The eastern region's comprehensive operating rate was 46.14%, with concrete equipment leading at 46.74%, and substantial year-on-year increases in workload for specific equipment [18]. Industry Trends - The article discusses the potential recovery of the construction machinery industry, with expectations of improved operating rates and demand in the coming months [19][22].

Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery import and export trade in China showed a slight increase in October 2025, with exports growing while imports declined significantly [1][3]. Trade Data Summary - In October 2025, the total trade amount for engineering machinery was $484.4 million, a year-on-year increase of 0.07%. The import amount was $17.6 million, down 24.2%, while the export amount reached $4.668 billion, up 1.29% [1][3]. - From January to October 2025, the cumulative trade amount was $50.718 billion, reflecting an 11.5% year-on-year growth. Imports totaled $2.192 billion, a 0.78% increase, and exports amounted to $48.526 billion, up 12% [1][3]. Industry Trends - The engineering machinery industry is showing signs of recovery, with performance improvements noted [6]. - The transition to "National IV" standards is set to begin on December 1, which may impact the industry [6]. - Domestic sales have been declining for 13 consecutive months, but exports have surged over 70%, indicating potential for recovery in the excavator sector [6]. - Improved working rates in February suggest a warming expectation for the engineering machinery industry [6][10]. Market Dynamics - The engineering machinery industry is expected to benefit from improved credit conditions and domestic demand recovery, with a potential "ice-breaking" effect anticipated [10].

Excavator Market Overview - In October 2025, a total of 18,096 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.77%. Domestic sales accounted for 8,468 units, up 2.44%, while exports reached 9,628 units, marking a 12.9% increase [1][2] - From January to October 2025, a total of 192,135 excavators were sold, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17%. Domestic sales were 98,345 units, up 19.6%, and exports were 93,790 units, increasing by 14.4% [2] Loader Market Overview - In October 2025, 10,673 loaders were sold, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 27.7%. Domestic sales were 5,372 units, up 33.2%, while exports totaled 5,301 units, increasing by 22.6% [5][6] - For the period from January to October 2025, total loader sales reached 104,412 units, with a year-on-year increase of 15.8%. Domestic sales were 55,368 units, up 21.8%, and exports were 49,044 units, growing by 9.69% [6] Electric Excavator Market - In October 2025, 16 electric excavators were sold, with specific sales across various weight categories [3] Electric Loader Market - In October 2025, 2,707 electric loaders were sold, with notable sales in the 5-ton category (1,633 units) and the 6-ton category (836 units) [7] Grader Market Overview - In October 2025, 634 graders were sold, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.11%. Domestic sales were 102 units, up 22.9%, while exports reached 532 units, increasing by 1.14% [8] Crane Market Overview - In October 2025, 1,422 truck cranes were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 15%. Domestic sales were 738 units, up 41.7%, while exports were 684 units, down 4.47% [10] - For the period from January to October 2025, total truck crane sales were 16,527 units, showing a year-on-year decline of 2.78% [10] Crawler Crane Market Overview - In October 2025, 336 crawler cranes were sold, representing a significant year-on-year increase of 71.4%. Domestic sales were 97 units, up 54%, and exports reached 239 units, increasing by 79.7% [12] - From January to October 2025, total crawler crane sales were 2,701 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.9% [12] Forklift Market Overview - In October 2025, 114,250 forklifts were sold, with domestic sales of 70,388 units, up 16.2%, and exports of 43,862 units, increasing by 15.4% [17] - From January to October 2025, total forklift sales reached 1,220,656 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.2% [17] Roller Market Overview - In October 2025, 1,162 rollers were sold, showing a year-on-year increase of 19.3%. Domestic sales were 421 units, up 6.85%, while exports reached 741 units, increasing by 27.8% [18] - For the period from January to October 2025, total roller sales were 14,726 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.6% [18] Paver Market Overview - In October 2025, 103 pavers were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 21.2%. Domestic sales were 63 units, up 8.62%, while exports reached 40 units, increasing by 48.1% [20] - From January to October 2025, total paver sales were 1,352 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.3% [20] Aerial Work Platform Market Overview - In October 2025, 9,120 aerial work platforms were sold, showing a year-on-year decline of 38.8%. Domestic sales were 3,856 units, down 41.8%, while exports reached 5,264 units, down 36.3% [22] - From January to October 2025, total aerial work platform sales were 141,021 units, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 30.6% [22] High-altitude Work Vehicle Market Overview - In October 2025, 322 high-altitude work vehicles were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.23%. Domestic sales were 319 units, up 16.8%, while exports were 3 units, down 90.9% [23] - From January to October 2025, total high-altitude work vehicle sales were 4,140 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37.7% [23]

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of China's machinery exports, highlighting significant growth in various sectors, particularly in excavators and construction machinery, indicating a recovery in the industry [10][14]. Group 1: Overall Export Performance - From January to September 2025, China's total export value of engineering machinery reached $46.02 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 13.4% [3]. - The total import value during the same period was $2.1 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [3]. - The cumulative export value of excavators was $7.64 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 26.7% [4]. Group 2: Specific Machinery Categories - The total export value of earth-moving machinery was $5.44 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, while imports decreased by 2.6% [6]. - The total export value of lifting machinery was $4.29 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 18.2%, and imports decreased by 3.2% [5]. - The total export value of industrial vehicles was $6.63 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The excavator market showed strong demand recovery, with significant increases in exports to countries like Russia and the Philippines [4]. - The lifting machinery sector experienced stable growth, with exports primarily directed towards markets in Saudi Arabia and Germany [5]. - The industrial vehicle sector's growth was supported by the rapid development of electric vehicles, which is influencing import dynamics [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The article suggests that the engineering machinery industry is on a recovery path, with expectations of continued growth driven by domestic demand and international market opportunities [10][14]. - The transition to "National IV" standards starting December 1, 2025, is anticipated to further impact the industry positively [10].

Core Viewpoint - The excavator market in China shows a positive growth trend, with significant increases in both domestic sales and exports in October 2025 compared to the previous year [1][2]. Sales Data Summary - In October 2025, a total of 18,096 excavators were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.77%. Domestic sales accounted for 8,468 units (up 2.44%), while exports reached 9,628 units (up 12.9%) [1][2]. - From January to October 2025, cumulative excavator sales reached 192,135 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17%. Domestic sales totaled 98,345 units (up 19.6%), and exports were 93,790 units (up 14.4%) [2]. Electric Excavator Market - In October 2025, 16 electric excavators were sold, categorized by weight: 1 unit in the 6-10 tons range, 1 unit in the 10-18.5 tons range, 9 units in the 18.5-28.5 tons range, and 5 units over 40 tons [3]. Monthly Sales Trends - The domestic sales of excavators in September 2025 were 9,249 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 21.5%. In August, sales were 7,685 units (up 14.8%), and in July, 7,306 units (up 17.2%) [4]. - The sales figures for the first half of 2025 indicate a recovery trend, with significant increases in monthly sales compared to the same months in the previous year [4]. Industry Outlook - The engineering machinery industry is showing signs of recovery, with expectations of continued growth as demand increases and new regulations come into effect [7].

Core Viewpoint - XCMG Machinery (000425) reported strong financial performance for Q3 2025, with significant year-on-year increases in revenue and net profit, indicating a positive growth trajectory in the industry [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 reached 78.157 billion yuan, up 11.61% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.977 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 11.67% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin improved to 22.33%, a rise of 1.62% compared to the previous year [1] - The net profit margin also saw a slight increase to 7.78%, up 0.53% year-on-year [1] - Operating cash flow per share surged by 212.14% to 0.48 yuan [1] Accounts Receivable and Debt - Accounts receivable amounted to 49.657 billion yuan, representing a 12.20% increase year-on-year, with accounts receivable to net profit ratio at 830.93% [1][6] - Interest-bearing liabilities increased to 48.815 billion yuan, a rise of 2.23% [1] Cost Management - Total selling, administrative, and financial expenses were 6.281 billion yuan, which is 8.04% of revenue, down 20.06% year-on-year [1] - The company reported a decrease in financial expenses by 84.02%, attributed to currency fluctuations [6] Market Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in the domestic market, particularly in the earth-moving machinery sector, with positive growth trends in various machinery categories [7] - The long-term outlook remains optimistic due to factors such as uneven urban-rural development, rapid growth in green energy, and increased demand for equipment renewal [7] Fund Holdings - Notable funds holding XCMG shares include Huatai-PineBridge Value Selection Mixed Fund and E Fund High-Quality Strict Selection Fund, indicating strong institutional interest [5]

Core Viewpoint - LiuGong's Q3 2025 report indicates a positive growth trajectory with revenue and net profit increasing year-on-year, suggesting a recovery in the engineering machinery industry [1]. Financial Performance - LiuGong achieved operating revenue of 25.76 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.71% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.458 billion yuan, up 10.37% year-on-year [1]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.318 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.97% increase compared to the previous year [1]. - The company announced a dividend plan of no distribution and no capital increase for Q3, consistent with the same period last year [1]. Industry Trends - The engineering machinery industry is showing signs of recovery, with expectations of improved performance in the coming months [5]. - The transition to "National IV" emissions standards is set to begin on December 1, which may impact the market dynamics [5]. - Domestic sales have been declining for 13 consecutive months, while exports have surged over 70% this year, indicating a shift in market focus [5]. - The industry anticipates a "warm" outlook due to improved operating rates in February [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Aidi Precision (603638), reported a revenue of 2.374 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.49% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 316 million yuan, up 12.63% year-on-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved an operating revenue of 2.374 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.49% [2]. - The total profit for the period was approximately 373 million yuan, representing a 13.84% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 316 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 12.63% [2]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 291 million yuan, up 15.23% year-on-year [2]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 461 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 371.99% [1][7]. - Basic earnings per share were reported at 0.38 yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 11.76% [2]. - The weighted average return on equity was 8.90%, an increase of 0.57 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Asset and Liability Changes - As of the end of Q3 2025, total assets amounted to approximately 6.894 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.51% from the previous year [2]. - The company's cash and cash equivalents decreased by 43.52% compared to the end of the previous year, while inventory increased by 12.62% [8]. - Accounts receivable decreased by 14.01%, and trade payables decreased by 13.01% [10]. Investment and Financing Activities - The net cash flow from financing activities was -270 million yuan, a decrease of 270 million yuan year-on-year [7]. - The net cash flow from investing activities was -579 million yuan, compared to a positive cash flow of 233 million yuan in the same period last year [7]. Dividend Distribution - The company proposed a dividend distribution plan of 1 yuan per 10 shares (before tax) for all shareholders [1].