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怎么了?中国“AI芯片第一股”,3400亿,跌落神坛!
是说芯语· 2025-06-23 07:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance and challenges faced by Cambrian (寒武纪), highlighting its significant market value drop despite achieving profitability for the first time. The increasing competition in the AI chip sector and the diminishing uniqueness of Cambrian's offerings are key factors contributing to its stock price decline. Group 1: Company Performance - Cambrian's market value peaked at over 340 billion yuan in February but has since fallen to around 230 billion yuan [1] - The company reported its first-ever profits, with net profits of 272 million yuan and 355 million yuan expected in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, respectively [1] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The competitive pressure on Cambrian has intensified, particularly from Huawei and Haiguang Information, which are becoming stronger in the AI chip market [3] - Cambrian's latest chip, the Shiyuan 590, has performance close to 80% of NVIDIA's A100, but it is still outperformed by Huawei's Ascend series [5][6] Group 3: Financial Challenges - Despite achieving profitability, Cambrian's financial situation remains precarious, with negative operating cash flows of -1.618 billion yuan and -1.399 billion yuan for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, respectively [8] - The company's cash reserves have halved to 1.972 billion yuan in 2024 and are expected to drop further to 638 million yuan in Q1 2025 [8] - Cambrian's R&D expenses are significantly high, exceeding its revenue, with Q1 2025 R&D spending reaching 235 million yuan [8] Group 4: Market Valuation - Cambrian's current market capitalization is approximately 239.6 billion yuan, which implies a required annual profit of 4.717 billion yuan to justify its valuation, necessitating a more than threefold increase in quarterly net profit [9] - The potential for a price drop in AI chips due to increased domestic competition raises questions about Cambrian's high valuation sustainability [9]