港交所股價近日於窄幅區間內徘徊，目前微升0.24%，報417.4元，正處於關鍵的技術抉擇點。從移動平均線分析，股價目前處於所有主要均線下方，包括MA10的 427.14元、MA30的428.29元及MA60的436.31元，顯示中期趨勢仍偏弱。然而，技術指標卻呈現矛盾的訊號，雖然RSI處於42的中立偏弱水平。 | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 買入信號 | | --- | --- | | 強力買入 | | 在關鍵價位分析方面，港交所即時支持位在409元，若失守下一支持將下看400元關口。而上方阻力則先看428元，突破後有望挑戰435元水平。值得注意的 是，保力加通道顯示股價波動正在收窄，這通常意味著即將出現較大方向的突破。根據數據顯示，港交所短期上升概率為56%，五日振幅僅3.9%，波動相對 較低。各位投資者認為，港交所會先向上突破428元阻力，還是向下跌穿409元支持呢？ 在認購證選擇方面，對於看好港交所後市的投資者，可以關注滙豐認購證29458，行使價500元，提供9.7倍槓桿，其引伸波幅條件相對理想。另一選擇是中 銀認購證22088，行使價500.5元，雖然槓桿倍數9.6倍略低，但卻是同類產品中槓桿 ...

Group 1: Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - The stock price of Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has shown positive momentum, rising by 2.12% to HKD 432.6, successfully breaking through the 10-day moving average resistance [1] - The current price is in the overlapping range of the 10-day and 30-day moving averages, with the 10-day line providing initial support at approximately HKD 427.98 and the 30-day line forming short-term pressure at around HKD 433.24 [1] - The 5-day volatility reached 4.6%, indicating that market fluctuations have created good opportunities for short-term trading [1] Group 2: Technical Indicators - Technical indicators are showing mixed signals; the RSI is at a neutral level of 50, the stochastic oscillator has issued a buy signal, while the MACD indicates a sell signal, reflecting the market's current indecisiveness [1] - Support and resistance analysis shows the first support level at HKD 422, with strong support at HKD 416; on the upside, initial resistance is at HKD 443, with key resistance at the psychological level of HKD 450 [1] Group 3: Derivative Products Performance - Three HKEX-related derivative products mentioned on November 4 performed well in the following two days, with UBS bull certificate 64102 rising by 11%, HSBC bull certificate 57036 increasing by 10%, and HSBC call warrant 29458 up by 7% [3] - These products outperformed the underlying stock's increase of 1.6% during the same period, showcasing the leverage effect of derivative instruments when the market direction is correctly identified [3] Group 4: Recommended Derivative Products - For bullish investors, recommended call warrants include Bank of China call warrant 13855 and UBS call warrant 15854, both offering approximately 7.7 times leverage with a strike price set at HKD 518.5, featuring relatively low premiums to reduce time value loss [6] - For bearish investors, HSBC put warrant 19847 and Bank of China put warrant 19860 are suggested, both with a strike price of HKD 387.8 and leverage exceeding 10 times, also benefiting from low premiums [6] Group 5: Bull and Bear Certificates Recommendations - For bullish investors, UBS bull certificate 62570 and Societe Generale bull certificate 56665 are recommended, with leverage of 12.5 times and 12 times respectively, and recovery prices set at HKD 403 and HKD 400.5, featuring the lowest premiums in the current market [9] - For bearish investors, UBS bear certificate 56683 and HSBC bear certificate 56027 are available, both with recovery prices at HKD 460 and leverage of 15.7 times and 14.4 times, also characterized by relatively low premiums [9] Group 6: Market Sentiment and Trading Strategies - The article poses a question regarding whether HKEX can successfully break through the resistance at HKD 443, highlighting the mixed technical signals in the current environment [11] - It invites readers to share their trading plans and uncertainties, suggesting a focus on either waiting for a clear breakout or engaging in high sell-low buy strategies within the range [11]