根據上日（20 日）收市資料顯示，快手（01024）全日收報 71.9 元，單日跌2.84%，成交額達 44.20 億元，呈現明顯的調整態勢。截至今日（21日）上午10 點42分， 多隻科技股承壓，快手亦未能倖免，股價出現一定幅度調整，現最新報71.75元，暫微跌0.21%。 從技術分析角度來看，多個技術指標綜合後的總結信號為「中立」，強度有 11。多條移動平均線呈現「賣出」信號，顯示中長期走勢存在壓力，不過多個 震盪指標信號處於「中立」狀態，RSI 指標值為 45，同樣在中立區域，可見市場對其短期走勢看法分歧頗大。 快手會在支持位獲得支撐展開反彈，還是持續走弱下探更低位置？在波動加劇的行情中，哪些窩輪或牛熊證產品更具操作價值？ 想獲取更多專業分析，請立即追蹤「港股窩輪Jenny」，掌握第一手市場動向！ | 相關資產 | 名稱 | 產品 | 植桿 | 行使 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 快手(01024) | 法巴認購證 | 24996 | 7.6 | | | 快手(01024) | 花旗認沽證 | 19156 | 3.4 | 6 | | 快手(01024) | 中銀 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is experiencing a neutral trend with no clear direction, showing 6 buy signals and 7 sell signals, with support at 24,417 and resistance at 25,300 [1] - Investors are divided, with some expecting the index to drop to 23,000 while others are looking for short-term rebounds [1] Group 2: BYD Electronics (00285.HK) - The stock price rebounded from a low of 39.04, closing at 38.68, with a buy signal indicating a short-term upward trend [3] - The first resistance level is at 40.8, with potential to reach 42.7 if broken, while support levels are at 35.3 and 34.3 [3] Group 3: Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - The stock reached a high of 79.65 and closed at 77.05, with a buy signal indicating a positive short-term outlook [5] - Resistance levels are at 79.2 and 82.5, with a target of 80-90 still some distance away [5] Group 4: Bilibili-W (09626.HK) - The stock is showing a mixed trend, with a buy signal but resistance at 192.3, indicating potential challenges for upward movement [9] - Support levels are at 173.9 and 164.3, with a close proximity to the investor's put option strike price of 162.22 [9] Group 5: China Unicom (00762.HK) - The stock has shown strong performance, reaching a high of 10.17, with a buy signal and potential to challenge 13 [12] - Resistance levels are at 10.20 and 10.9, indicating that reaching 13 will require more time [12] Group 6: Alibaba-W (09988.HK) - The stock closed at 118.5 with a buy signal, indicating a sideways movement [15] - Investors are advised to consider short-term strategies, but should be cautious of time decay in options due to the stock's slow movement [15]

Core Viewpoint - The overall market sentiment for Hong Kong stocks is active, with Meituan showing potential for price increases due to new partnerships and impressive user growth in its delivery and flash purchase services [1][3]. Technical Analysis - Meituan's technical indicators suggest a "buy" signal with a strength of 15, indicating strong market optimism [1]. - Multiple moving averages indicate a "strong buy" signal, suggesting a positive medium to long-term trend [1]. - The RSI value is at 54, reflecting a neutral stance in the short term, indicating some market divergence regarding its future price movement [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - Meituan's first support level is at HKD 125.2, with a second support at HKD 121.8 [3]. - The first resistance level to watch is at HKD 137.2, with a higher resistance at HKD 144.6 [3]. - The current price is approaching the first resistance level, with a 55% probability of breaking through [3]. Recent Performance of Related Products - On July 21, 2025, Meituan's stock price increased by 1.83% two days later, positively impacting related products [3]. - UBS call warrants (58595) rose by 20%, HSBC call warrants (58836) by 14%, UBS call warrants (16391) by 13%, and HSBC call warrants (16986) by 10%, showcasing the leverage effect of these products [3]. Investment Products - For those optimistic about Meituan breaking the HKD 137.2 resistance, HSBC call warrant (16986) is recommended with a leverage of 6.9 times and a strike price of HKD 145.65 [5]. - UBS call warrant (16391) also has a leverage of 6.7 times and is worth considering [5]. - For those anticipating a short-term adjustment, UBS put warrant (16119) and Societe Generale put warrant (16674) are options, both with a leverage of 6.5 times [6]. Additional Investment Options - Investors bullish on Meituan may consider HSBC bull warrant (58836) with a leverage of 8.4 times and a recovery price of HKD 120.5 [8]. - UBS bull warrant (58595) offers a higher leverage of 9.7 times with a recovery price of HKD 123 [8]. - For bearish views, Societe Generale bear warrant (62919) has a leverage of 8.1 times, while JPMorgan bear warrant (64164) offers a leverage of 10.7 times [8].

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley reported that Xiaomi experienced over 30% year-on-year growth during the recent 618 shopping festival, with domestic business maintaining a strong growth momentum in Q2, accumulating a total payment amount of 35.5 billion RMB [1] - Goldman Sachs indicated that Xiaomi's electric vehicle factory phase two is preparing for production, with the YU 7 expected to be officially launched between late June and early July, which could be positive news for Xiaomi [1] - Technical analysis shows mixed signals; while overall signals indicate a buy with a strength of 15, some oscillators like the RSI are in overbought territory, suggesting potential short-term price adjustments [1][3] Technical Analysis - Xiaomi has two support levels at 52.3 and 54, with resistance levels at 58.4 and 60.4. The current price is 57.1, indicating a delicate balance between support and resistance [3] - The probability of an upward movement is 53%, with a 5-day volatility of 7.3%, reflecting market divergence in sentiment towards Xiaomi [3] Product Performance - Several products mentioned on June 19 performed well, with notable increases in warrants such as Citibank's warrant 13549 and HSBC's put warrant 14333, showing significant price appreciation within two days [3][5] Investment Opportunities - For those anticipating a rise in Xiaomi's stock price, Citibank's warrant 13549 offers the lowest premium with a leverage of 10.6 times and an exercise price of 61.5 [5] - For hedging against potential declines, HSBC's put warrant 14333 is recommended due to its low premium and implied volatility [6] Related Assets - Various warrants and certificates related to Xiaomi are available, including Citibank's warrant 13549 with a leverage of 10.6, and UBS's bear certificate 56421 with a leverage of 13.1 [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - Tencent's stock price is currently at 506 HKD, showing a slight decline of 0.78%, with trading volume at 2.854 billion HKD, indicating a cautious market sentiment as the stock hovers below the 10-day moving average [1] Technical Analysis - The stock is experiencing narrow fluctuations below the 10-day moving average of 512.3 HKD, with the MACD indicator signaling a sell but nearing the zero axis, suggesting reduced volatility [1] - Key support is identified at 491 HKD, with potential downside to 474 HKD if this level is breached; resistance is noted at 522 HKD, with a breakthrough potentially leading to a challenge at 539 HKD [1] - Despite multiple moving averages indicating sell signals, the RSI at 52 is in a neutral zone, while the Williams indicator shows an oversold buy signal, reflecting a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces [1] Market Instruments - In the current market, bullish options include HSBC call warrant 15418 (16.3x leverage, exercise price 576.38 HKD) and UBS call warrant 17137 (11.6x leverage, exercise price 563.5 HKD), both exhibiting relatively low implied volatility [5] - For bearish strategies, options such as Morgan Stanley put warrant 15137 (10.3x leverage, exercise price 443.33 HKD) and UBS put warrant 16669 (10.7x leverage, exercise price 443.13 HKD) are available, along with Morgan Stanley bear certificate 58426 (16.9x leverage, redemption price 540 HKD) and UBS bear certificate 54414 (13.2x leverage, redemption price 550 HKD) [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance and technical analysis of XPeng Motors (09868.HK), highlighting key resistance and support levels, as well as trading signals for investors. Technical Analysis - XPeng Motors has a significant resistance level at approximately 83.3 HKD, where the stock has historically faced downward pressure [1] - The stock price is currently above the 10-day moving average (77.89 HKD) and the 30-day moving average (77.67 HKD), indicating a bullish trend [1] - The MACD indicator shows a strong buy signal, while the Ichimoku Cloud also indicates bullish momentum [1] - The 60-day moving average (79.31 HKD) is a critical short-term resistance level [1] - The RSI is at 54, suggesting there is still room for upward movement [1] Support and Resistance Levels - The first support level is at 76.3 HKD, with a stronger support at 71.9 HKD [3] - If the stock breaks through the 83.3 HKD resistance, it may challenge the next level at 86.9 HKD [3] - The current 5-day volatility is 6.8%, providing opportunities for short-term traders [3] Derivative Products - Investors looking for bullish positions can consider the Xinjing Call Option (13403), which offers a leverage of 5.5 times with a strike price of 88.88 HKD [6] - For higher leverage, the Huatai Call Option (15737) provides 3.5 times leverage with the lowest implied volatility [6] - Short-term bullish investors may find the UBS Bull Certificate (55811) attractive, offering 6.5 times actual leverage with a redemption price of 70 HKD [6] Market Sentiment - The overall market sentiment for XPeng Motors is positive, with active trading in the new energy vehicle sector [1] - The stock has shown a 1.89% increase, reaching 80.9 HKD, indicating strong market interest [1][11] - The article encourages investors to share their views on XPeng's short-term trends and potential to break the 83.3 HKD resistance [13]

Core Viewpoint - The optical sector in Hong Kong is experiencing active performance, particularly with Sunny Optical (02382.HK), which has shown significant price movements and technical indicators suggesting a critical turning point for investors to consider [1][3]. Technical Analysis - Sunny Optical's stock price is currently at HKD 65.5, with a slight increase of 0.46%. The stock has recently broken through the upper Bollinger Band at HKD 66.69, reaching a high of HKD 67.3. The stock has shown a volatility of 10.7% over the past five days [1]. - The stock is positioned above the 10-day moving average (HKD 62.58) and the 30-day moving average (HKD 64.27), but faces resistance at the 60-day moving average (HKD 68.01). The MACD indicator shows a buy signal, while the RSI at 58 indicates that the stock is not yet in the overbought territory [1]. - The Bollinger Bands indicate an upward movement along the middle band, supported by a buy signal from the VR volume ratio indicator, suggesting a moderate inflow of funds. However, the Williams and Stochastic indicators are signaling sell, indicating a clear divergence in market sentiment [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support is identified at HKD 61.8, with stronger support at HKD 60.2. On the upside, the short-term breakout target is set at HKD 70.2, and if surpassed, the next target would be HKD 74 [3]. - The Bull-Bear Power indicator suggests a bullish market sentiment, but the Ichimoku Cloud shows a neutral signal, indicating that a breakout may require additional volume [3]. Investment Products - For investors optimistic about the optical sector, JPMorgan's call option (15709) offers a leverage of 4.2 times with a strike price of HKD 76 and low implied volatility. Societe Generale's call option (15995) provides 4.8 times leverage with the lowest premium and implied volatility, suitable for medium to long-term positioning [6]. - Short-term investors may consider Citigroup's bull certificate (55660) and HSBC's bull certificate (55910), offering leverage of 6.3 times and 6.1 times, respectively, with a buyback price of HKD 58, ideal for capturing short-term rebounds. For those bearish on the market, JPMorgan's bear certificate (56227) offers 5.6 times leverage with a buyback price of HKD 77 and the lowest premium [6]. Market Sentiment - Investors are encouraged to share their views on Sunny Optical's short-term trends, particularly regarding the potential to break the resistance at HKD 70.2 amidst a recovering demand for optical components. The high volatility of the stock raises questions about preferred trading strategies, whether to hold shares directly or utilize structured products for trading opportunities [9].

Group 1 - The stock price of Sunny Optical (02382) is currently at 59.8 HKD, down 1.89%, showing weakness since reaching a peak on May 12, and is approaching the lower band of the Bollinger Bands at 58.8 HKD [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 40, indicating an oversold condition, while the William and Stochastic indicators are signaling a buy; however, the MACD and Bollinger Bands maintain a strong sell perspective [1] - The stock has fallen below all major moving averages, with the 10-day moving average at 63.89 HKD acting as a significant resistance level; if it cannot recover the support level of 59 HKD, it may drop to the year’s low of 51.3 HKD [1] Group 2 - The warrants related to Sunny Optical (15561) saw a price increase of 7% despite the underlying stock dropping by 2.7% two days later [3] - For investors anticipating a rebound, Huatai's call warrant (26633) offers a leverage of 3.4 times with an exercise price of 52.93 HKD, while the BNP Paribas call warrant (26732) provides similar conditions with a leverage of 3.3 times [5] - For bearish investors, UBS's put warrant (13316) offers a leverage of 2.5 times with an exercise price of 58.83 HKD, close to the current stock price [5] Group 3 - Citibank's bull certificate (55660) offers a leverage of 11.4 times with a redemption price of 58 HKD, which has the lowest premium among similar products; HSBC's bull certificate (55910) provides a leverage of 10.4 times [9] - Investors should note that Sunny Optical's 5-day volatility is at 7%, and they should assess their risk tolerance accordingly [9] - For bearish strategies, investors can consider JPMorgan's bear certificate (56227) or UBS's bear certificate (54934) with redemption prices of 77 HKD and 78 HKD, respectively, and premiums of 3.18% and 1.67% [9]

Group 1 - Meituan's stock price has been under pressure, currently trading at 128.5 HKD, down 0.62%, with a clear bearish technical pattern [1] - The stock has formed a death cross as the 10-day moving average (MA10) at 134.59 HKD has fallen below the 30-day (MA30) at 136.09 HKD and the 60-day moving average (MA60) at 150.42 HKD [1] - The stock is oscillating between 122.6 HKD and 136.4 HKD, with a 5-day volatility of 13.3%, indicating significant market divergence [1] Group 2 - There are 19 sell signals, 2 neutral signals, and 2 buy signals, indicating a strong sell sentiment [2] - Key support levels are identified at 126.4 HKD and 125.5 HKD, with a second support at 118.2 HKD [2] - The average daily trading volume is 54.3 billion HKD, showing sufficient liquidity but heavy selling pressure remains [3] Group 3 - Recent bearish derivative products related to Meituan have surged over 30%, with notable gains in put options and bear certificates [5][6] - The performance of these products highlights the explosive potential of bearish derivatives in a declining market [6] - For investors anticipating a rebound, HSBC's call options provide a leverage of 9 times with a strike price of 143.3 HKD, suitable for technical rebounds [8] Group 4 - Bull certificates from Morgan Stanley offer a recovery price of 117 HKD with a leverage of 9.8 times, while another option has a lower recovery price of 115 HKD with a leverage of 7.9 times [10] - Bear certificates from UBS and Societe Generale provide leverage of 7.7 times and 7.5 times, respectively, with recovery prices above 143 HKD [10]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's stock price is currently facing short-term pressure, with key support levels identified at 47.2 HKD, 44.2 HKD, and 40.8 HKD, while resistance levels are at 53.1 HKD and 55.6 HKD. The market sentiment appears slightly optimistic with a 53% probability of short-term price increase [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock closed at 48.65 HKD, with a potential drop to 47.2 HKD being a critical level to watch [1]. - Technical indicators show a bearish crossover with the 10-day moving average (50.11 HKD) falling below the 30-day moving average (46.86 HKD) [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 53, indicating a neutral position, while the MACD shows a buy signal but with weakening momentum [1]. - The stock's volatility is at 10.9%, suggesting significant price fluctuations recently [1]. - Current technical signals include 9 sell signals, 8 neutral signals, and 11 buy signals, leading to an overall "buy" recommendation [1]. Derivative Instruments - For bullish investors, options such as the Morgan Stanley call option (14642) with a strike price of 55.05 HKD and a leverage of 5.6 times are recommended [6]. - UBS call option (14991) has similar terms with a leverage of 5.3 times [6]. - For bearish strategies, HSBC bear certificate (61377) offers an 8 times leverage, while Societe Generale bear certificate (61240) provides an 8.4 times leverage [9]. Market Sentiment - The market is currently observing a mixed performance in derivative products, with HSBC bear certificates rising by 61% and Societe Generale bear certificates increasing by 53% during a 5.26% drop in stock price [3].