证 券 研 究 报 告 康缘药业（600557）2025 年半年报点评 推荐（维持） 业绩短期承压，研发稳步推进 目标价：20.8 元 事项： ❖ 受营销改革及需求影响，业绩有所承压。公司 1H25 收入 16.4 亿元（-27.3% yoy），1H25 归母净利 1.4 亿元（-40.1% yoy）、扣非净利 1.2 亿元（-45.6% yoy）。2Q25 收入 7.6 亿元（-15.1% yoy）、归母净利 0.6 亿元（-42.4% yoy）、 扣非净利 0.4 亿元（-53.1% yoy）。业绩变动主要系复杂外部环境和医药行业 政策，以及呼吸、心脑疾病领域药品终端市场需求出现波动、营销改革等影响 评论： 证券分析师：郑辰 邮箱：zhengchen@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360520110002 证券分析师：高初蕾 邮箱：gaochulei@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524070002 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][8]. Core Views - The company experienced significant revenue and profit pressure in the first half of 2025, with revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items declining by 27%, 40%, and 46% year-on-year, respectively [1][2]. - Despite the current challenges, the company is expected to gradually narrow the revenue decline, with potential growth from its traditional Chinese medicine, biopharmaceuticals, and chemical drugs pipelines [1][2]. - The collaboration with Dong'e Ejiao to promote Huangqi Essence is anticipated to unlock market potential, leveraging Dong'e Ejiao's strong marketing and distribution capabilities [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's revenue was 1.64 billion RMB, with a net profit of 140 million RMB and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 120 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 27%, 40%, and 46%, respectively [1]. - In 2Q25, revenue was 764 million RMB, with a net profit of 59 million RMB and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 38 million RMB, showing declines of 15%, 42%, and 53% year-on-year [1]. Product Performance - Core products faced sales pressure, with injection revenue down 40% to 510 million RMB and oral liquid revenue down 49% to 280 million RMB in 1H25 [2]. - Other dosage forms showed mixed performance, with capsules and granules experiencing declines of approximately 5% and 18%, while tablets, patches, and gels saw growth of 5% to 12% [2]. Research and Development - The company has a robust R&D pipeline, with two approved traditional Chinese medicines and several in various clinical trial phases [5]. - The acquisition of Zhongxin Pharmaceutical is expected to enhance the company's product offerings, particularly in diabetes treatment with unique dual-target and triple-target products [3]. Valuation and Forecast - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards by 8%, 11%, and 13%, respectively, with expected net profits of 400 million RMB, 460 million RMB, and 530 million RMB, reflecting year-on-year growth of 2%, 15%, and 15% [6]. - The target price is set at 21.26 RMB, based on a 30x PE for 2025, indicating a premium over the average PE of comparable companies [6].