燃油(2512合约)
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山海:在本周非农数据前,黄金还有一波上涨空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 01:38
Group 1 - The overall market sentiment indicates a strong bullish trend for gold, with expectations of reaching 3400 and potentially 3500 if the upward momentum continues [3][4] - Silver is experiencing a lack of sustained movement after reaching 34.7, with a recommendation to consider short positions around 34.5, anticipating potential downward pressure if it breaks below 34 [3][4] - Domestic gold trading strategies suggest maintaining long positions around 782, with targets set at 790, while advising against chasing highs or taking short positions at current levels [4][5] Group 2 - The international oil market shows a bullish outlook, with support at 60 and potential upward movement towards 64, which, if broken, could lead to a stronger upward trend [5][6] - Domestic fuel oil has shown resilience with a recent high of 2770, and the recommendation is to maintain long positions with a target of 2800 to 3000, while waiting for the trend to strengthen [6] - The overall market dynamics are influenced by trade policies and geopolitical tensions, affecting the strength of the US dollar and gold prices [3]
山海:受市场影响黄金再跌,关注其是否有延续性!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 02:53
Market Overview - The recent market movements in gold showed an initial upward trend reaching the target of 3325, but a significant drop occurred after the U.S. International Trade Court blocked Trump's tariffs, leading to concerns about the implementation of his policies [2][4] - The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes indicated risks of rising unemployment and inflation, but did not provide significant new insights [2] Gold Market Analysis - The gold market experienced a sharp decline after breaking the key support level of 3280, which raises uncertainty about future movements [4][5] - Two potential scenarios were identified: one where the market digests the news and maintains bullish momentum if it stays above 3280, and another where bearish sentiment prevails, potentially leading to a drop below 3200 [4][5] - Technical analysis suggests that if the downward trend continues, gold could test levels around 3170 [4] Silver Market Insights - International silver prices fluctuated within the range of 32.5 to 34, with a recent rebound from the support level of 32.5 [5][6] - The silver market is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with a target of 33.5, while traders are advised to remain cautious and avoid aggressive positions [5][6] Domestic Market Performance - Domestic gold positions were closed due to market volatility, with previous profits realized before the downturn [5] - The domestic silver market showed resilience, with a recommendation to hold positions and target 8350 for potential exits [6] Oil Market Trends - The oil market has shown a bullish trend, with prices recovering from a low of 60.2 to 62.6, and expectations of reaching 64 in the near term [6][7] - The domestic fuel market also indicated potential for upward movement, with a target of 2800 to 3000 for future price levels [7]
山海:反转预测到位,黄金多头放量才刚刚开始!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 02:08
Core Viewpoint - The overall trend for gold remains bullish despite recent fluctuations, with potential upward movement expected after a recent low at 3120 [2][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold opened lower this week, establishing a weak foundation, but a key support level at 3200 is critical; if it holds, a range-bound movement is expected, while a break below could indicate further weakness [2]. - A significant rebound occurred after hitting 3120, with prices rising to 3250, aligning with market expectations [2][4]. - The next targets for gold are projected at 3300 and 3400, following the confirmation of a mid-term adjustment completion [2][5]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver has shown a decline but has not broken below 31.5, indicating a continued bullish trend with high-level fluctuations [2]. - A recent low at 31.6 provided a buying opportunity, with current prices around 32.7, suggesting profitable positions for traders [5]. Domestic Futures Market - In the domestic futures market, a cautious approach was advised until a solid bottom was established; recent positions in沪金 and融通金 were initiated around 740, with prices now reaching 755 [5]. - The domestic silver market also reflected a bullish sentiment, with a recent low at 8000 providing a strong support level, leading to a rise to 8200 [6]. Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has entered a state of fluctuation, with a recommendation to maintain a neutral stance, observing a trading range between 63.5 and 60.5 [6]. - The domestic fuel market has seen a bullish trend, with expectations of reaching 2750/2800, and current prices around 2720 suggest a wait-and-see approach [7].