黄金多头趋势
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金源灿:黄金多头强势破局 上行趋势未改布局机会浮现
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 08:29
从技术面来看,四小时级别的K线形态给出了明确的看涨指引。近期一根大阳线实体直接覆盖前期K线 的上影线,形成典型的突破上行形态,这种K线组合意味着多头力量已经完全掌控市场主动权,短期内 看不到任何回落调整的迹象。更为关键的是,阳线稳稳企稳于均线系统之上,价格对均线形成"碾压 式"突破,如同推土机般强势推进,均线系统随之呈现多头排列,为后续上行提供了强有力的支撑。 12月26日,当前黄金市场的多头格局已然清晰,趋势惯性下的上行动能持续释放,尚未出现任何可佐证 见顶的信号。在交易市场中,"顺势而为"是永恒的核心逻辑,既然顶部信号缺失,那么看涨思路便应坚 定持有,金价向北突破的主线方向无需动摇。今日早盘,黄金延续近期强势表现,开盘后便开启向上冲 击模式,价格一度攀升至4505附近,单日早盘阶段便实现约25美金的拉升幅度,多头的进攻姿态极为果 断。这一波拉升并非孤立行情,而是趋势延续下的必然表现,既印证了市场做多情绪的浓厚,也进一步 夯实了上行趋势的基础。 对于后续操作布局,可重点关注4470-4480区间。当前金价虽处于高位,但趋势的延续性仍在,盲目追 高并非明智之举,等待价格回落至该区间企稳后再布局多单,既能规避短 ...
山海:黄金在绝对强势中,关注非农数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 03:01
同样的节奏,黄金在周一的表现跟上周五的表现一样,同样的在强势下先走出上涨,在美盘出现下跌,虽然区间缩小了,但基本状态一样,这种走势很少人 能看的懂。如果认真看了山海分析的朋友应该知道,周一山海就提示过大家,要注意市场变化,不要过分看涨,在强势中,黄金可能会出现回落,所以,周 一山海在高位4340做空,坚持看到4300,实现了预期。周一最低在4285附近,不过强势不变,今天继续在强势中看震荡,包括美盘还有非农数据影响。白银 则不必过分关注,在极强下没有什么回落空间,就不必想着做什么交易了,还是耐心等。 山海:黄金在绝对强势中,关注非农数据影响! 国际原油国际极弱了,在连续弱势震荡中,目前回落下跌的空间比较大了,收盘在56.5附近,这波目前是极弱表现,无法在极弱中看趋势转变,先要观察一 下本周的强弱转换,再看趋势转变,其实目前国际市场还是比较看好原油大涨,但现在这种表现只能尊重市场看弱,不建议继续加仓做多原则,维持前期的 多单不变,不必加仓交易。 撰文/山海 (以上文章由山海原创,转载请注明出处。山海温馨提示,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。以上仅代表山海个人观点,不作操作依据,据此操作风险自担) 在大原则不变的情况下, ...
陈峻齐:黄金毋庸置疑继续多
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 05:29
黄金晚间回踩4204后再次上升,1小时双底形态后大幅拉升向上破位4247位置,刷新4247高点以后继续 加速拉升至4285区域,关键的分水岭打破继续打开上行空间,今日黄金毫无疑问还是继续顺势多,这种 强势加速形态下,即使出现多失败,下方一定还是卡支撑继续多。 黄金多头节节攀升,最高触及至4285区域承压回落,那么关注今日回落力度,回落是给继续上车多头的 机会,首要支撑在4260关口,其次就是4247支撑,日内亚欧盘回落不破4247,那么按照强势继续做多看 涨,再看 来源:市场资讯 12月12日,周四强调黄金保持多头趋势不变,尤其是美联储利率决议后,黄金随时走出大涨空间,不妨 让子弹多飞一会,不要以为没有立马大涨就不会上涨呢?强调交易的话尽量做回落多单,4200上方即可 做多看涨,昨日黄金两度守住4200关口上升,走势完全符合预期。 4285,破位4300。操作参考黄金4263多,防护4250,目标4300-4320。 ...
杨呈发:美联储利率倒计时 今日黄金走势分析
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 04:21
新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同 其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。 12月10日,周二现货白银大涨逾4%,在供应紧张的情况下升破每盎司60美元的里程碑,再度刷新历史 高点,这也带动金价上涨,市场普遍预计美联储周三降息,吸引逢低买盘支撑金价,不过周二出炉的美 国职位空缺数据好于市场预期,美元指数延续反弹走势,美债收益率刷新三个月高点,这令黄金多头有 所顾忌。美联储决议前,黄金市场交投趋于谨慎,投资者需要重点关注美联储点阵图和鲍威尔的新闻发 布会,留意美联储主席候选人人选的相关消息。 当前盘面其实现在的黄金行情也没有什么好聊的,无非就维持前期的观点不变,继续看多头趋势的震荡 上行走势,虽然暂时没有到4230目标点,但阶段性的上涨没有走完,所以,继续继续看震荡上行走势, 既然是震荡,那么,也有可能会再次回落到下方的起涨点,因此,暂时的行情还是看长做多,逐步看到 预期。 另外,今天有美联储利率决议,会到市场产生一定的影响,所以,技术面要看,消息面也要看。从技术 面来看,日线,H4周期看不出太大的变化,日线维持多头 ...
江沐洋:12.3今日金价走势预测,国际黄金期货沪金操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 04:43
黄金昨日亚欧盘整体表现弱势下跌,美盘探底回升,日线下破5日均线,但未触及10日均线反弹,收线仍在5日均线 之上,日线收一根带下影线小阴线,日内行情运行基本上符合预期,当前市场情绪依然还是倾向于多头的,主要也 还是受市场对美联储降息预期的影响。预期短期内技术上的调整需求也还是在的,而基本面可能会继续激发多头热 情,所以,暂时还是的多头趋势没有变,只是多头不像周一那么强势,需要等待观察的是周三,周四日线收线情 况,如果继续收阴,并且破位10日均线支撑,那么,本周可以继续看4120或者更低,但如果不破10日均线支撑,黄 金更大的可能还是震荡上行的走势。 消息面: 尽管短期内因获利回吐而出现小幅回调,但多重利好因素正悄然积聚,投资者们的目光牢牢锁定在美联储即将到来 的政策会议上。当前,现货黄金价格围绕4200美元/盎司震荡,市场情绪在降息预期与经济数据之间摇摆不定。分析 师普遍认为,这不仅仅是一场短暂的波动,而是通往更高峰值的铺垫之路。回顾周二走势,黄金价格在创下六周新 高后回落,但尾盘强势回升,显示出强劲的逢低买盘支撑。同时,全球央行购金热情高涨,美债收益率回落,以及 地缘紧张局势的升级,都为黄金提供了坚实的支撑基 ...
山海:12月直线开盘,金银极强继续高歌猛进!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 03:14
Group 1 - The market experienced unusual volatility last week, with silver reaching a historical high of 57.3, exceeding previous expectations, while gold also rose to around 4233, indicating a strong upward trend [2] - The analysis suggests that the bullish trend for gold and silver is expected to continue this week, with potential upward targets for gold at 4300 and 4380, while maintaining a low-risk approach to trading [4][5] - The domestic gold contracts have reached significant highs, with the Shanghai gold contract at 966 and the Rontong gold at 956, reinforcing the bullish outlook for the current cycle [5][6] Group 2 - International silver has surpassed market expectations, breaking previous highs and continuing to rise, with a current high of 57.5, indicating substantial upward momentum [6][7] - The Shanghai silver contract has also reached a historical high of 13400, with a significant increase from the previous target of 12450, suggesting further upward potential [7] - The performance of international crude oil remains lackluster, closing at 59.2, with expectations of potential upward movement if it stabilizes above 61 [7]
山海:美联储如期降息,黄金反倒再次陷入弱势震荡!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 01:45
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates as expected in November, emphasizing a 25 basis point cut, but indicated that there may not be a rate cut in December, leading to a decline in both the US dollar and gold prices [1][2] - Gold experienced a temporary decline from a high of 4030 to a low of 4917, but the overall trend remains bullish, with expectations of a rebound as long as significant declines do not occur [1][2] - Silver's decline has been limited, showing signs of a potential upward movement, with a solid bottom foundation indicating possible gains in the coming days [1][3] Group 2 - Prior to the Federal Reserve's decision, gold was anticipated to rebound to 4020, with potential movements to 4100 or a decline of around 50 dollars depending on market reactions [2] - The domestic gold market showed strong performance, with contracts reaching highs of 922 for Shanghai gold and 917 for Rongtong gold, suggesting opportunities for further long positions [3] - The international silver market remained strong despite the Fed's decisions, with expectations for silver to reach a target of 49.5, maintaining a bullish outlook [3] Group 3 - Crude oil showed unclear performance, fluctuating around 60.3 after a peak of 61, with a focus on the resistance level at 63 for potential adjustments [4] - Domestic fuel oil remains stable, with uncertainty about the continuation of bullish trends, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [4]
山海:市场多重因素影响,金银看涨极强状态不变!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 02:29
Core Viewpoint - The market remains volatile, influenced by geopolitical situations and trade tariffs, with gold and silver experiencing significant price increases recently. The bullish trend for gold is expected to continue, but attention should be paid to the price fluctuations and market dynamics [2][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has maintained a bullish trend, with a peak price of 4060 recently. The market experienced a three-day upward trend followed by a correction, but a strong close on Friday suggests potential for further gains early in the week [4][5]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3945 and 3900, with a strong bullish outlook as long as prices remain above these levels. A break above 4060 could lead to targets of 4100 and 4500 [5][6]. - Caution is advised against chasing high prices; instead, traders should look for opportunities to buy on dips, particularly around the support level of 4010 [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market has shown a strong bullish trend, with prices reaching a historical high of 51.5. The key support levels for silver are at 48.5 and 47.5, and as long as these levels hold, the outlook remains bullish [6][7]. - Traders are encouraged to wait for price corrections to enter long positions, particularly around the support level of 49.5 [6]. Domestic Fuel Market - The domestic fuel market has shown a bullish trend, with previous recommendations to buy at 2750 leading to significant gains. Current strategies suggest continuing to buy at 2750 with a target of 3000 [8].
江沐洋:9.24今日黄金走势分析日线有转阴风险
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 08:40
Group 1: Gold Market Overview - Spot gold reached a record high of $3,790.97 per ounce on Tuesday, closing at $3,763.93, with an increase of 0.46% [1] - The strong momentum in the gold market is driven by ongoing expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and escalating geopolitical tensions, which have heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets [1] - Market sentiment remains bullish despite cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding the economic outlook, with the focus shifting to the upcoming U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The current strategy for trading gold is to maintain a bullish outlook without chasing prices, focusing on buying on dips rather than predicting market tops [2] - After reaching a peak of $3,791, gold experienced a significant pullback to a low of $3,752, indicating a potential high-level consolidation rather than a trend reversal [2] - Key support levels are identified at $3,715, and as long as this level holds, a strong shift in trend is unlikely [2][4] Group 3: Silver Market Overview - Spot silver rose to $44.4 before undergoing a correction, with current lows around $44, suggesting a potential buying opportunity on dips [5] - Support for silver is noted at approximately $43.5, with resistance levels identified in the $44.8 to $45 range [5] - Similar to gold, silver trading strategies recommend waiting for price corrections before entering long positions, with a cautionary note regarding potential volatility leading up to the National Day holiday [5]
江沐洋:9.15金价高位整理趋势不变,今日黄金走势操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 08:23
Market Overview - Gold prices increased last Friday, approaching record highs, as signs of a weak U.S. labor market strengthened expectations for the Federal Reserve's first rate cut of the year this week [1] - Spot gold closed at $3648.55 per ounce, up 0.4%, nearing the record high of $3673.95, marking the fourth consecutive week of gains [1] - December futures for U.S. gold rose 0.3%, settling at $3686.40 [1] Economic Indicators - Recent data showed a significant increase in initial jobless claims in the U.S., alongside weak non-farm payroll data, with employment positions revised down by 910,000 over the past 12 months, indicating a cooling economic momentum [1] - The consumer price index in August recorded the largest month-on-month increase in seven months, but investors are focusing more on labor market weakness than persistent inflation when forming interest rate expectations [1] Federal Reserve Expectations - The federal funds futures market fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut at the September 17 meeting, with bets on a potential 50 basis point cut [1] - President Trump anticipates that the Federal Reserve will implement "significant rate cuts" [1] Technical Analysis - The gold market is currently in a bullish trend, with short-term high consolidation expected [2] - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3600 and $3500; a drop below $3600 could indicate a shift in market strength, while a breach of $3500 may signal a change in the bullish-bearish trend [4] - The H4 timeframe shows a more defined consolidation pattern, with a trading range expected between $3615 and $3660 for early this week [4] Domestic Gold Market - The domestic gold market is also experiencing high-level consolidation, with support levels set at 830 for Shanghai gold and 820 for Rongtong gold [5] - The market is expected to maintain a bullish trend in the early part of the week, with potential for a downturn following the Federal Reserve's rate decision [5]