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万物云(02602):中报点评:高股息回馈股东,科技应用提效降费
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [1][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a mid-term dividend of 1.1 billion RMB, with a per-share dividend of 0.951 RMB (including tax), resulting in a dividend yield of 4.3% for the first half of 2025 [2][11]. - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was 18.14 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, while gross profit was 2.49 billion RMB, up 3.8% year-on-year [11][15]. - The company is focusing on stable growth in its cyclical business while actively reducing related business operations [11][16]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 33.18 billion RMB - 2024A: 36.22 billion RMB - 2025E: 40.86 billion RMB - 2026A: 46.61 billion RMB - 2027A: 53.70 billion RMB - The year-on-year growth rates are projected at 10.2%, 9.2%, 12.8%, 14.1%, and 15.2% respectively [4][12]. - Net profit for 2025E is projected at 1.58 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 37.1% [4][12]. Revenue Breakdown - The community space residential consumption service segment generated 11.32 billion RMB in revenue for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.8%, accounting for 62.4% of total revenue [11][16]. - The commercial and urban space comprehensive service segment saw a revenue decline of 5.2%, totaling 5.75 billion RMB, representing 31.7% of total revenue [11][16]. - The AIoT and BPaaS solutions service segment reported a revenue of 1.06 billion RMB, down 23.6% year-on-year, making up 5.9% of total revenue [11][16]. Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 13.7%, consistent with the previous year [17][21]. - The gross margin for the community space residential consumption service was 14.4%, while the commercial and urban space comprehensive service improved to 8.8% [17][21]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has completed efficiency upgrades for 300 "Butterfly Cities," covering 1,688 projects, which resulted in an efficiency gain of 230 million RMB [11][17]. - The company is leveraging AI applications to enhance operational efficiency, leading to an 8% reduction in administrative expenses for the first half of 2025 [11][17]. Valuation Insights - The report estimates a reasonable value of 47.36 RMB per share (equivalent to 52.04 HKD) based on a combination of PE and PS valuations [11][33]. - The projected EPS for 2025 is 1.35 RMB, with a target PE of 30 times, leading to a valuation of 40.47 RMB [11][33].