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研报掘金丨华源证券:首予中远海特“买入”评级,船队扩张重视成长+红利
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-12 09:48
Core Viewpoint - China Merchants Industry is a global leader in specialized transportation vessels, with new capacity expected to drive performance growth in the coming years [1] Company Overview - China Merchants Industry is projected to deliver a total of 65 new vessels between 2025 and 2026, equating to a total capacity of 3.75 million DWT, which represents 61% of the company's fleet capacity by the end of 2024 [1] - The rapid expansion of the fleet is anticipated to support significant performance growth [1] Business Segments - The company's pulp carrier business is expected to benefit from the rapid fleet expansion, stable domestic pulp consumption growth, and the expansion plans of overseas pulp mills, making it a key contributor to performance growth [1] - The supply side is constrained by aging vessels and environmental compliance requirements, indicating that the tight capacity situation is likely to persist in the short to medium term [1] Market Dynamics - The expansion of the automobile carrier fleet is expected to bring additional capacity, with a solid fundamental outlook [1] - The company has a strong competitive advantage and profitability, with potential policy benefits in the semi-submersible vessel market [1] Investment Outlook - Given the rapid expansion of the fleet, the company is expected to see considerable performance growth, and assuming a 50% dividend payout ratio over the next three years, it offers a dividend yield of 5-6% [1] - The company has initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating [1]