瑞銀認沽證(19352)
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瑞聲多空力量交織,短線交易方向如何判斷
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-18 12:20
在支持與阻力分析方面,瑞聲科技的短期支持位分別位於38.6元及37.1元,這兩個水準將是空頭測試的重要關卡;而阻力位則在41.1元及42.3元,若能帶量突 破,或可開啟反彈空間。考慮到5日振幅達到7%,股價波動性相對較高,這為短線交易者提供了機會,但也伴隨著相應風險。從上升概率55%來看,市場略 偏向樂觀,但投資者需要密切關注成交額變化與整體市場氛圍。 對於當前的衍生產品機會,我們可以深入分析現有選擇。在認沽證方面,瑞銀認沽證(19352)和摩通認沽證(21033)均提供1.9倍槓桿,行使價設在40.86 元,這兩款產品的優勢在於槓桿相對較高且溢價較低,適合預期股價遇阻回落的投資者。如果認購證選擇上,目前行使價比較高,比如摩利認購證 (13889)行使價53.99元,價外33.05%,溢價39.95%;瑞銀認購證(17098),行使價54.04元,杠杆4.08倍,溢價41.67%。 瑞聲科技股價近期呈現震盪整理格局,最新價位守在40.56元,升幅有2.17%,顯示市場多空力量正在激烈交鋒。從技術面觀察,股價目前處於關鍵的區間波動階段, 短期移動平均線MA10位於39.41元,與當前價位相近,而MA30和MA6 ...
瑞聲短線爆發前奏?捕捉技術突破的輪證策略
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-22 19:40
Core Viewpoint - 瑞声科技 (02018.HK) is currently experiencing a consolidation phase, with stock prices fluctuating between 43 and 47 HKD, indicating potential for a breakout in the near future [3][4]. Technical Analysis - The stock price has shown a neutral technical signal, with resistance levels identified at 47 HKD and 49.6 HKD, while a target price of 50 HKD requires breaking through these resistance levels [1][3]. - The stock is at a critical point in a triangular consolidation pattern, with key support at approximately 43 HKD and significant support at 42.69 HKD from the 60-day moving average [3]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 55, indicating a balanced power between bulls and bears, but several oscillators are showing buy signals, suggesting a potential upward movement [3]. Market Sentiment and Derivative Products - Recent performance in the warrant market shows that even with minor fluctuations in the underlying stock, suitable warrant products can yield substantial returns, reflecting ongoing investor interest in 瑞声科技 [4]. - For bullish investors, two call warrants are highlighted: 中銀認購證 (18352) with a leverage of 3.07 times and a strike price of 54.04 HKD, and 法興認購證 (13937) offering a higher leverage of 6.1 times with a strike price of 52.88 HKD [6]. - For bearish investors, two put warrants are available: 瑞銀認沽證 (19352) and 花旗認沽證 (14757), both providing a leverage of 1.9 times, with strike prices of 40.86 HKD and 40.88 HKD respectively [6].