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7月11日【港股Podcast】恆指、藥明生物、藥明康德、攜程、友邦、京東
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-11 10:28
2、藥明生物 (02269.HK):沖高破頂,能上30嗎?窩輪市場,投資者表示在27元有壓力,反手做put。 Simon:比較有趣的情況,正股升,窩輪市場的投資者則反手做空。暫時技術信號為"買入",15個買入信號,沒有賣出信號。為什麼未有到"強力買入"呢?因 為還有9個中立信號。如果再上的話,首先看兩個阻力位28.5元和29.5元。低於30元水位。留意下周走勢的變化。 1、恆指:看多投資者表示在24000點入牛,如果跌24000就止損。看淡投資者則認為放量了,下周低開至24000,部署的熊證,收回價24888。也 有投資者持有熊證,收回價24600,止損離場,空倉過夜。 Simon:很多時候投資者對於市場的看法都是偏短線,不管窩輪還是牛熊證,投資部署都是偏短線,比如炒日內、或揸1-2日。所以我們用技術分析作為參 考,讓大家知道當前市況,作為短線走勢會如何?希望可以提供更多數據給短線交易的投資者,瞭解到目前市場的變化如何。比如恆指,最新的信號總結 為"買入",看多信號為主。第一個阻力位在24600點附近,突破則上試25000點。投資者部署收回價在24888點左右的熊證,其實比較安全的,在兩個阻力位 之間。另外我 ...
中芯國際(00981.HK)技術結構轉強,短線順勢交易機會顯現
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-03 13:04
中芯國際(00981.HK)近期在半導體板塊整體回暖的帶動下,技術走勢出現明顯改善,從整體技術結構來看,升勢仍屬健康穩固。目前收市價已穩企於10 日線(41.84元)與30日線(41.48元)之上,並逐步靠近60日線(43元),反映短中期趨勢出現正向轉變,多頭動能逐步增強。今日(2日)的10點22分,股 價報43.85元。 目前多達16項技術指標中,有9項顯示「買入」或「強力買入」,其中移動平均系統總結為「強力買入」,構成重要的順勢操作依據。尤其在成交額高達70 億元的背景下,資金流入明顯,加上MACD呈現向上發散,配合股價震盪上行,有利技術面延續升勢。 | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 | 中立信號 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | 強力買入 | | 16 | 儘管RSI 處於67水平,接近超買邊緣,市場動能仍處於強勢範圍,暗示短期內仍有上試空間。保力加通道正持續擴張,股價現位於通道中上軸之間,若伴隨 成交放大,有望推進至48.1元與50.5元兩道技術阻力區。反觀下方關鍵支撐分別為38.9元與42.1元,尤其42.1元與多條均線重疊,成為短期重要守穩位置。 雖然部分震盪型指標如威廉與心理線 ...
騰訊短線攻略:關鍵位501.5元爭奪戰!牛熊證邊隻最值博?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-02 18:40
回顧在週二的會議《數據透視港股:股市分析與衍生品策交易策略研討會》直播中,提到:有投資者的提問:騰訊(00700):週一尾盤跳水,空 頭認為這波要去到450元,同時也有投資者認為繼續看至550元。數據系統分析是怎麼分析支持和阻力位呢? Simon:現在看到騰訊技術信號是"賣出"的,如果現在沒有持貨的 ,我們就可以等。等到它的信號轉變才去考慮。比如說支持位在487元。如果是 跌穿487的話,它下一個的支持位就會到471元。所以如果是你看好騰訊的投資者。但是你會覺得它有可能會在下跌,你要判斷你在哪一個時候進 場的時候,有可能可以等大概到471。因為當我們通過數據的分析,我們會看到騰訊有可能會跌到471。當然市場上也有其他投資者會有其他看 法,比如說有投資者會看到450。同樣道理,會不會到450的話,我們還是一步一步去看,就會先看487然後會不會跌穿481。跌到481的時候,我 們再判斷它是否會到450,這樣一步一步去看。所有這樣的系統,就會讓我們更加輕鬆的知道原來我們看騰訊的時候,就算是我們判斷它有可能 會下跌。我們也是要一步一步,比如487、471,然後再看會不會到投資者所認為的450。 截止7月2日的13点0 ...
6月30日【港股Podcast】恆指、華虹、藥明、比亞迪電子、美團、網易
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-01 03:10
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has seen bearish investors continuously for three days, indicating a potential decline for at least a week, with a recall price of 24,498 for bear certificates [1] - Investors are deploying bull certificates towards the end of trading sessions, betting on the next day's market movements, which reflects a common overnight holding strategy [2] - Technical analysis suggests that the HSI is currently above 24,000, with support at 23,618 and resistance at 24,542, indicating a "buy" signal [2] Group 2 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) has a strong buy signal, with resistance levels at 38.6 and 41.5, while investors are eyeing a potential rise to 44 [4] - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) is stabilizing at a closing price of 25.65, with neutral technical signals and resistance at 26.8 and 29, while support is at 23.9 [7] - BYD Electronic (00285.HK) shows a buy signal, with a target of 40, but requires breaking through resistance levels at 32.8 and 33.9 [10] Group 3 - Meituan-W (03690.HK) has bearish investors anticipating a drop below 90 before entering the market, with some considering put options [12] - NetEase-S (09999.HK) is on an upward trend, with resistance at 219 and 229, while investors are cautious about the safety of a bear certificate with a recall price of 220 [14]
6月27日【港股Podcast】恆指、科指、中興、廣發、快手、小米
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-27 18:26
1、恆指(HSI):看多投資者表示還有500點漲幅,過夜收回價23710的牛證,也有短線投資者買近牛,食4格就離場。也有投資者認為23800肥牛區,沒理 由不收回。 Simon:恆指維持24200附近震盪。從數據分析看,指數的買賣信號為"買入"。如果繼續上行,參考我們數據分析的阻力位24700點附近,與投資者的預期差不 多。如果認為23800是肥牛區會被收回的話,參考下方的支持位23732,剛好在收回23800附近的牛證。除了參考牛熊證街貨量的重貨區以外,也可以參考支 持位和阻力位的技術分析作為判斷。比如23800點的重貨區,投資者在買牛證的時候,會避開重貨區的產品。如果將支持位、阻力位作為選擇收回價的依 據,買在支持位23732再低一些位置的產品,比如23500或第二個支持位23200點,收回風險會更低更安全一些。參考技術分析,其實可以幫助大家對於市場 有個更好的判斷,選擇產品時有個明確的參考。 | | | 3、中興通訊 (00763.HK):投資者問是否有機會升到25元? 2、科指(HSTECH):連續三天橫盤,投資者問走勢回到5000關口還是上試5500?有投資者繼續牛證過夜。 Simon:從數據看,目 ...
阿里(9988)關鍵支撐位與窩輪投資策略
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-24 18:37
Group 1 - The current technical signal for Alibaba is "sell," with support levels at HKD 106.7 and HKD 102, and a potential drop to HKD 110 is being monitored [1] - As of the latest update, Alibaba's stock price is HKD 110, down 1.52%, having breached both the 10-day moving average (HKD 113.46) and the 30-day moving average (HKD 117.46) [1] - The RSI indicator is at 39, nearing the oversold zone, while the MACD maintains a sell signal, although the bull-bear power indicator suggests a potential bottoming out [1] Group 2 - Key support levels for Alibaba are at HKD 105.3 and a strong support at HKD 101.1, while the primary resistance is at HKD 113.8, with a potential challenge to HKD 119.1 if broken [1] - The Bollinger Bands indicate that the stock price has touched the lower band, and the VR trading ratio shows oversold signals, increasing the probability of a short-term technical rebound to 56% [1] Group 3 - Recent performance of derivatives linked to Alibaba shows significant gains, with a bear certificate from Societe Generale rising 43% and a put option from HSBC increasing by 45% following a 4.18% drop in the stock price [3][4] - Current bullish instruments include UBS call options with a strike price of HKD 118.88 and BOC call options with a strike price of HKD 125.1, while bearish instruments include UBS put options with a strike price of HKD 99.83 [6][8]
中海油(00883.HK):技術指標全線轉多,多頭動能續強但不乏潛在修正警訊
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-11 02:25
2025年6月9日,中國海洋石油有限公司(中海油,00883.HK)以18.52港元作收,單日上漲1.31%,延續過去多日的穩健升勢,股價穩步向第一阻力位18.8靠 攏,市場信心持續增強。從整體趨勢觀察,自短期支撐位18.0反彈以來,股價已連續收復並穩站於所有主要技術均線之上,包括10日線18.14港元、30日線 17.52港元與60日線17.60港元,形成標準的多頭排列型態,技術面趨勢明確偏強。截止今日10點最新數據,股價報18.58元,升幅0.43%。 5日振幅為3.6%,顯示近期價格波動屬於可控範圍,並無明顯過度炒作現象。從資金面來看,成交額達11.28億港元,反映市場參與度活躍,並支撐價格穩步 上行。技術面整體訊號綜合評級為「強力買入」,總強度評為17分,是極具一致性的正面訊號,涵蓋多條移動平均線、MACD、VR成交比率、心理線與 ADX等關鍵指標均發出積極看多訊號。 回顧在2025年6月5日,中海油(00883)正股上漲1.20%,其相關衍生品均錄得優於正股的表現。法興牛證(57666)兩日後上漲6%,槓桿效應明顯;匯豐認 購證(15958)和瑞銀認購證(16031)均上漲8%。 RSI目前為69, ...
中國人壽(02628.HK):強勢走高技術面全線轉多,唯高位背離風險不可忽視
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-11 02:25
Core Viewpoint - China Life Insurance (02628.HK) is experiencing a strong upward trend in its stock price, currently at 17.16 HKD, reflecting a 1.06% increase, following a rebound from a short-term support level of 16.2 HKD [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price has surpassed all major technical moving averages, including the 10-day moving average at 16.4 HKD, the 30-day moving average at 15.63 HKD, and the 60-day moving average at 15.23 HKD, indicating a bullish structure [1] - The stock is approaching the first resistance level at 17.3 HKD, with a potential target of 18.3 HKD if this level is breached [2] - The recent volatility is reflected in a 6.8% fluctuation over five days, with an RSI index at 72, indicating a technical overbought condition [3] - The overall technical indicators are rated as "strong buy," with a signal strength of 16 points, supported by bullish momentum across all categories [3] - The MACD has completed a golden cross and maintains an expanding trend, supporting a continued upward pattern [3] - The price has successfully broken through the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting further upward potential in the coming weeks [3] Derivative Products Performance - On June 6, China Life's related structured products performed well, with a 2.76% increase in the underlying stock, leading to significant gains in derivatives [4] - The Societe Generale bull certificate (53998) led with a 15% increase, outperforming the underlying stock, showcasing the leverage advantage of bull certificates in rising markets [4] Investment Options - Current market conditions provide diverse investment options through China Life's related structured products, with call options offering a leverage of 4.1 times [7] - Bull certificates from HSBC (53706) and JPMorgan (53835) offer over 5 times actual leverage, with a buyback price set at 14 HKD [7] - For bearish strategies, Citigroup's bear certificate (56865) offers a leverage of 4.7 times, with a buyback price set at 20 HKD, providing a favorable risk-reward ratio [7] Summary - China Life is in a healthy upward phase with strong volume-price support and trend indicator resonance, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions and divergence risks [10]
騰訊短線操作雙主線:技術位突破與高槓桿產品選擇
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-09 10:21
| 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | 買 入 | O | 15 | 今日早盤9點55分,騰訊(00700)股價於518.5元附近窄幅震盪,技術面來看,騰訊目前處於關鍵抉擇點,MA10(508.21元)與MA30(502.79元)形成短線 支撐,而MA60(496.57元)則提供中線防守。RSI 59處於中性偏強區間,但威廉指標與隨機震盪指標均呈「中立」信號,MACD卻發出「買入」訊號,顯 示市場多空分歧加劇。 關鍵位深度分析 下方支持方面,499元為短線第一道防線,若失守可能下探483元;上方阻力則聚焦531元,突破後有望挑戰547元。值得注意的是,騰訊5日振幅達5.4%,配 合溫和的成交量,反映市場正等待更明確的方向信號。保力加通道持續收窄,暗示股價即將迎來突破行情,而牛熊力量指標發出「買入」訊號,與CCI指標 的「超買賣出」形成矛盾,進一步加劇短線操作難度。 當前市場上騰訊窩輪產品中,瑞銀認購證17137以11.1倍槓桿和563.5元行使價脫穎而出,其溢價相對較低,適合看好騰訊後市的投資者佈局;摩通認購證 13263同樣提供10.7倍槓桿和56 ...
6月4日【港股Podcast】恆指、港交所、美團、泡泡瑪特、華潤、百度
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-04 18:21
Group 1: Hang Seng Index - Investors see strong support at 23,600, with expectations to reach 24,000-24,100 on Friday, while some are cautious about a potential drop to 23,000 [1] - The index has been fluctuating within the range of 23,500-23,800 since mid-May, indicating low volatility which may affect derivative profits [1] - Technical signals show 13 buy signals, 2 sell signals, and 9 neutral signals, indicating a neutral preference [1] Group 2: Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388) - Investors are optimistic about HKEX, expecting a long-term target of at least 450, with a short-term resistance at 409 [3] - Technical signals indicate a strong buy with 17 buy signals, 1 sell signal, and 6 neutral signals, suggesting a steady upward trend [3] - If the price breaks through 409, the next resistance level is 423, which is still some distance from investor target prices [3] Group 3: Meituan-W (03690) - Investors are questioning whether Meituan can stabilize at 140 and challenge 145-150, while some are opening put options expecting a decline to 130 [6] - Technical signals maintain a buy rating with 14 buy signals, 2 sell signals, and 8 neutral signals, though the buy signals are not very strong [6] - Resistance levels are noted at 146.5 and 153.3 [6] Group 4: Pop Mart (09992) - Investors are optimistic about Pop Mart, predicting a rise to at least 252-260 next week, viewing it as a buying opportunity [9] - Technical signals maintain a buy rating with upward trends, with resistance at 258 and support at 219 [9] Group 5: China Resources Beer (00291) - Investors are observing a rebound in stock price over three days, questioning if it will challenge 28 [12] - Technical signals indicate a sell preference with 13 sell signals, 5 buy signals, and 6 neutral signals, suggesting caution [12] - The stock has faced resistance at the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at 25.9, with a significant distance to 28 [12] Group 6: Baidu Group-SW (09888) - Investors are divided, with bulls hoping to maintain 82 for a rebound, while bears anticipate further declines [15] - Recent price movements show a slight recovery, closing at 83, but still below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [15] - Technical signals indicate a sell preference with 11 buy signals, 7 neutral signals, and 6 sell signals, with support at 79.9 and resistance at 86.2 [15]