Core Viewpoint - The uncertainty in EU regulations regarding bio-based naphtha and pyrolysis oil is suppressing demand in the petrochemical industry, hindering investments, and causing price differentiation based on end-use applications [2][6]. Regulatory Impact - The lack of clear and unified regulations from the EU is leading to decreased procurement interest in bio-based naphtha and pyrolysis oil from 2024 to 2025, complicating financing for new projects and infrastructure [2][3]. - The quality balance accounting rules significantly affect the potential profitability of bio-based naphtha and pyrolysis oil, with unclear regulations making investment returns unpredictable [2][4]. Legislative Developments - The EU Commission is required to assess the technological development and environmental performance of bio-based plastic packaging within three years of the PPWR regulation coming into effect, potentially setting usage targets for bio-based materials [3][4]. - The legal positioning of pyrolysis oil remains uncertain due to the Waste Framework Directive, which complicates its classification as a recyclable material [3][4]. Industry Dynamics - There are differing opinions on the recycling content targets, with the EU Council proposing phased targets for new vehicles, while the European Parliament suggests higher initial targets [4]. - The recognition of quality balance accounting is crucial for the chemical recycling sector to be included in recycling content thresholds, impacting the entire industry's profitability and competitiveness [4][5]. Market Outlook - The regulations will be key drivers for the future demand and investment in pyrolysis oil and bio-based naphtha, with earlier clarity from the EU potentially accelerating their scale development [6].