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韩国股市10月屡创盘中新高
第一财经· 2025-11-03 08:22
Core Viewpoint - The Korean stock market, represented by the KOSPI index, has seen significant growth, with a nearly 21% increase in October alone, leading to a year-to-date rise of over 72%, driven by optimism in AI and semiconductor stocks, as well as expectations of corporate governance reforms [2][5][6]. Group 1: AI and Semiconductor Sector - The surge in the Korean stock market is largely attributed to the AI-driven optimism surrounding semiconductor stocks, particularly Samsung and SK Hynix, which together account for over 30% of the KOSPI index [6][7]. - The global shortage of memory chips has led to strong earnings expectations for major players like Samsung and SK Hynix, with both companies reporting record quarterly revenues and profits [6][7]. - SK Hynix's stock has more than doubled this year due to high demand for its high-bandwidth memory used in generative AI, while Samsung's stock has risen over 96% following a significant profit rebound [6][7]. Group 2: Corporate Governance Reforms - The Korean government's push for corporate governance reforms is seen as a key factor in enhancing the investment appeal of the Korean stock market, addressing the historical "Korean discount" in valuations [7][8]. - The "Corporate Value Enhancement Plan," set to launch in 2024, aims to encourage companies to improve shareholder returns and governance, similar to reforms seen in Japan [7][8]. - Analysts believe that if regulatory bodies continue to support these value-enhancing measures, the Korean stock market could sustain its growth trajectory [8]. Group 3: Domestic Investor Participation - Following initial enthusiasm from foreign investors, domestic investors have increasingly supported the market, with local institutions and retail investors actively buying into the market [8][9]. - Despite foreign investors net selling 1.37 trillion KRW in October, the KOSPI index maintained its upward momentum, indicating strong domestic support [8][9]. Group 4: Valuation Attractiveness - Despite the significant rise in the stock market, analysts argue that valuations remain attractive, particularly for domestic market-oriented stocks and leading semiconductor companies, which are still undervalued compared to global peers [10][11]. - For instance, Samsung's price-to-book ratio is 1.4, and SK Hynix's is 2.2, while the global semiconductor average is 3.0, suggesting potential for further appreciation [10][11]. Group 5: Future Outlook and Risks - While the factors driving the recent surge in the Korean stock market are expected to persist, analysts caution that geopolitical tensions, U.S. interest rate uncertainties, and domestic asset inflation could increase market volatility [11]. - The long-term growth narrative remains intact, supported by valuation improvements, AI growth prospects, and corporate governance reforms, which are expected to provide strong support for the market [11].
韩国股市10月屡创盘中新高,“韩国折价”消失了?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 08:09
Group 1 - The significant rise in the South Korean stock market is attributed to optimism surrounding semiconductor stocks driven by artificial intelligence (AI) and expectations of comprehensive corporate governance reforms, which are gradually transforming the long-standing "Korean discount" [1][4] - The KOSPI index reached historical highs 16 times in October, surpassing the 4000-point mark, with a nearly 21% increase for the month and over 72% year-to-date, outperforming other major Asia-Pacific indices [1][3] - Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have a combined market capitalization exceeding 1 trillion KRW, accounting for over 30% of the KOSPI index, with strong expectations for their earnings due to a global semiconductor supply shortage [3][4] Group 2 - SK Hynix reported record quarterly revenue and profit, driven by strong demand for high-bandwidth memory for generative AI chips, with its stock price more than doubling this year [4] - Samsung Electronics also reported a significant rebound in earnings, with operating profit more than doubling from the previous quarter, and its stock price has increased by over 96% [4] - The Korean government's "Corporate Value Enhancement" plan, aimed at improving shareholder returns and corporate governance, is expected to further support the stock market's performance and reduce the "Korean discount" [5][6] Group 3 - Analysts believe that despite the substantial rise in the stock market, valuations remain attractive, with Korean banks trading at about half the price of their global peers [6] - The price-to-book ratios for Samsung and SK Hynix are 1.4 and 2.2 times, respectively, compared to a global semiconductor average of 3.0 times, indicating potential undervaluation [6] - The ongoing support from domestic investors, including retail and institutional investors, has been crucial in maintaining the upward momentum of the KOSPI index [6][7]