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特朗普再挥舞关税大棒,最高250%!巴西坚决硬刚到底,王毅力挺
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-11 03:17
特朗普又想出了什么关税新招?面对美国的关税霸凌,中国以及国际上的其他国家又表现出了怎样的态度呢? 虽然美国最近连续同多个国家达成了贸易协定,但是特朗普却并不满足止步于此,最近他又把目光盯上了药品、半导体等高技术含量的商品。8月5日,特朗 普在接受美国媒体采访时表示,下一步准备把目光放在一些"关键经济领域",而目的,则是要"重塑全球贸易。" 特朗普表示,美国将会逐步提升进口药品的关税,最多只需要一年半的时间,关税税率就会提升到150%左右,而美国最终的目的是要让进口的药品关税达 到250%。其实这并不是特朗普第一次提出这一想法,早在七月份的一次会议上,特朗普就指出需要将进口药品的关税加到200%,而他在当时也同样指出不 能急功近利,而是要设置一年左右的"缓冲期"。 今年4月份,特朗普就针对一些进口药品启动了"232调查",来评估这些进口药物会对美国的"国家安全"产生怎样的影响。不仅如此,特朗普还向17家具有影 响力的医药公司发去了信件,要求他们必须采取"切实措施",来降低美国市场的药品价格。 由此可见,即将到来的药品关税并不是特朗普的一时兴起,而是经过深思熟虑之后的结果。除了药品之外,芯片和半导体也是这次特朗普 ...
贸易战升级,双方的出发点和可能的结果
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-11 01:01
我想今天发生的事情,就完美证明了在前两篇文章里所写的,在今天这个世界,市场的讨论包括经济的 讨论,都要让步于政治的讨论。地缘政治的重要性再怎么重视都不为过。 这就像当下的市场,我觉得不管你看什么资产,不管在国庆期间,用什么方法去展望Q4,此时此刻, 都会有一个最简单的选择题站在眼前。 这和经济情况没太多关系,和资金流向没太多关系,甚至某种意义上和估值和EPS都无关。这就是简单 的选择题。只是很不巧的是,这不是之前我们这个世界熟悉的研究领域,研究经济和联储大家有很多经 验,看资金流向亦然,勾兑公司EPS和讨论PE也是如此。但在这种外交和地缘问题上的判断上,我们在 一个缺乏体系的情况下,遇到了最波动的年代。 所以在这里我想分享一个思考的框架,我会列举事实,然后用我的框架去得出我的看法。我不一定就是 对的,但我相信这种分享是有价值的。 首先,在谈判中,双方的利益大概率是不同的,甚至很多时候是截然不同的,如果用一个简单的图来表 示,很多时候双方的利益就像是横纵坐标轴 那么在谈判中,一个好的结果,其实就是图中这个虚线,双方的利益都平等得到了满足,但要达到这样 的四十五度角,就需要A尽全力为A的利益去奋斗,B尽全力为B的 ...
半导体板块大跌点评
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-10 10:53
Market Performance - The market experienced fluctuations with all three major indices declining. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.94%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 2.70%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 4.55% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.52 trillion yuan, a decrease of 137.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector saw significant declines, with the Integrated Circuit ETF down by 7.05%, the Sci-Tech Chip ETF down by 6.67%, and the Chip ETF down by 6.02% [2] - The decline is attributed to adjustments in the financing and securities lending rates for certain stocks, such as SMIC and Bawen Storage, which were reduced to zero due to abnormal static P/E ratios [2][3] Growth Potential - The semiconductor sector is recognized for its growth potential, especially as it plays a crucial role in AI development. The sector's fundamentals have improved, leading to higher valuations [3] - The semiconductor sector ranks sixth among 125 secondary industries in terms of PETTM (Price Earnings to Time Market) at 122x, indicating relatively high valuations compared to other sectors [4][3] Recent Market Trends - From August 1 to October 9, the semiconductor sector recorded a cumulative increase of 48.84%, ranking fourth among 125 secondary industries [5] - Recent developments in the AI industry, including significant server procurement by major banks and telecom companies, indicate a stable progress for domestic computing capabilities [7] Future Outlook - The AI sector is expected to provide a long-term growth engine for the semiconductor industry, with China being the second-largest computing market globally [8] - The recent market decline is seen as a potential opportunity for investment, driven by liquidity and sentiment rather than fundamental factors [8]
突发!中美,大消息!
中国基金报· 2025-10-10 07:42
【导读】 交通运输部:将对美船舶收取船舶特别港务费 中国基金记者 泰勒 大家好,今天的市场大跌,你们还好吗? 一起回顾下发生了什么事情。 交通运输部:对美船舶收取船舶特别港务费 10月10日,交通运输部发布关于对美船舶收取船舶特别港务费的公告。 2025年4月17日,美国贸易代表办公室发布关于对中国海事、物流及造船业301调查措施,自2025年10月14日起,将对中国企业拥有或 经营的船舶、中国籍船舶及中国造船舶加收港口服务费,严重违背了国际贸易相关原则和中美海运协定,对中美间海运贸易造成严重破 坏。 根据《中华人民共和国国际海运条例》等法律法规和国际法基本原则,经国务院批准,自2025年10月14日起,对美国的企业、其他组织和 个人拥有船舶所有权的船舶;美国的企业、其他组织和个人运营的船舶;美国的企业、其他组织和个人直接或间接持有25%及以上股权 (表决权、董事会席位)的企业、其他组织拥有或运营的船舶;悬挂美国旗的船舶;在美国建造的船舶,由船舶挂靠港口所在地海事管理 机构负责收取船舶特别港务费。有关事项公告如下: 一、对上述船舶,按航次计收船舶特别港务费,分阶段实施,具体收取标准如下(不足1净吨的按1净吨计 ...
超2300只个股下跌
第一财经· 2025-10-10 03:57
2025.10. 10 本文字数:1322,阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 一财阿驴 沪指跌0.51%,深成指跌1.85%,创业板指跌3.4%。 盘面上,近期热门题材全线回调,锂电池、贵金属、半导体产业链跌幅居前,中芯国际、宁德时代双 双跌超6%;超硬材料、石墨烯概念逆势大涨,水泥、宠物经济、煤炭股走强。 | | | | 国家大基金持股 | -4.36% | +0.04% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 能源全 ■ | -4.28% | +0.22% | | | | | 日常 | -4.21% | +0.10% | 品车用 | | | | -4.13% | +0.1 4% | 半导体 | | | | | -4.1 0% | +0.04% | | | | | | DEAI 50 | -3.48% | -0.01% | MCU芯片 | | | | -3.34% | +0.02% | | | | | | 汽车零片 | -3.31% | +0.01% | F THE F | -3.23% | | | +0.03% | | | | | | | 同花顺果指数 | -3.2 ...
刚刚,集体杀跌!
中国基金报· 2025-10-10 02:52
【导读】 A 股三大指数集体走低,半导体芯片、锂电池等板块大跌 中国基金报记者 晨曦 大家好!又到周五,来一起关注最新的市场行情和市场资讯~ 10 月 10 日, A 股三大指数集体低开,创业板指跌近 1% 。开盘后市场持续震荡,截至发 稿,深证成指跌超 1% ,创业板指跌超 3% 。 | 3916.31 | ﮯ | 13505.25 | 5 | 3162.25 | ์ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 -0.45% | | 深证成指 -1.61% | | 创业板指 -3.05% | | 科创 50 指数盘初跳水,跌超 4% 。 | ( W | | | 科创50(000688) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 10-10 09:52:45 | | | | | 1492.71 | | 昨收 | 1539.08 | 成交额 | | -46.37 | -3.01% | 今开 | 1511.16 | 成交量 6.00亿 | | 上涨 | 105 | 平盘 | ୧ | 下跌 478 | | 最高价 | 1512. ...
刚刚,集体杀跌!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-10-10 02:44
科创50指数盘初跳水,跌超4%。 盘面上,半导体芯片、动力电池、固态电池等板块集体走低,贵金属回调;燃气、煤炭、纺织服饰等板块回暖,培育钻石、乳业等概念股活跃。 港股三大指数早间开盘飘绿,恒生科技指数低开1.4%,锂电池、有色金属等热门板块普遍回调。截至发稿,恒生科技指数跌近2%。中芯国际跌超5%,领 跌恒生科技指数成份股。 | 26503.01 9448.79 | | 6346.00 | | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生指数 -0.93% | 国企指数 -0.85% | 恒生科技指数 -1.94% | | 序号代码 名称 | | 现价 涨跌 涨跌幅^ | | 79.000 -4.500 -5.39% | - 0981 中芯国际 | | | 86.900 -3.950 -4.35% | 2 9868 小鹏汽车-W | | | 9866 蔚来-SW | ന | 58.600 -2.300 -3.78% | | 81.950 -3.250 -3.81% | 4 1347 | | | ട | 9888 百度集团-SW 128.90 -4.600 -3.45% | | | 86.250 -2.550 ...
时报观察 上市公司扎堆跨界热门赛道的冷思考
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-10-09 18:06
近来,有多家上市公司在跨界投资半导体、机器人等热门赛道之后,股价频现大涨。 上市公司扎堆跨界热门赛道的现象不断涌现,热度持续攀升。这一跨界热潮的兴起,背后有着复杂的驱 动因素。 从上市公司自身角度看,跨界进入新兴且具有高增长潜力的行业,被视为拓展业务领域、提升竞争力和 抗风险能力的有效途径。然而,跨界并非总是成功的捷径,盲目跨界可能带来严重的后果。此前,不少 企业和资本在"酱酒热"期间,借白酒的"高利润"和"强文化属性",跨界进军白酒行业。当时,白酒市场 一片繁荣,但随着行业景气度下滑,白酒反而成为部分企业的经营"包袱"。 当前上市公司跨界机器人与半导体芯片等热门领域,同样面临诸多现实挑战。尽管部分企业通过投资机 器人公司实现了市值的快速增长,但更多跨界企业却面临着技术门槛高、商业化周期长的难题。如果企 业盲目跨界相关行业,可能以失败告终。 上市公司跨界要想取得成功,需要注意多个关键要素。首先,跨界应与主业相关。这样可在一定程度上 利用公司现有的资源、技术和客户基础,降低跨界的难度和风险。其次,技术协同至关重要。公司所掌 握的技术应能为跨界领域带来一定帮助,实现技术的共享和互补,增强在跨界领域的竞争力。资源可 ...
晚报 | 10月10日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-10-09 14:24
Superhard Materials - The Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs announced export control measures on superhard materials, rare earth equipment, and other related items, effective from November 8 [1] - The production and sales ratio of superhard materials in China remains high, indicating a balanced supply-demand relationship, with diamond wire and micro-powder products nearing 100% [1] - The market for CVD diamond films is expected to exceed 5 billion yuan by 2030, indicating significant growth potential [1] Semiconductor Industry - TSMC reported a September sales figure of 330.98 billion NTD, a year-on-year increase of 31.4%, with Q3 revenue reaching 989.9 billion NTD, surpassing analyst expectations [2] - The demand for high-end chips driven by AI investments from global tech giants is providing strong support for TSMC's performance [2] - The semiconductor industry is anticipated to experience a full recovery by 2025, with improved profitability for companies [2] Humanoid Robots - Cloud Deep Technology launched the DR02 humanoid robot, featuring IP66 protection for outdoor operations [3] - The industry is on the verge of mass production, with major companies like Tesla and domestic leaders receiving significant orders [3] - The humanoid robot sector is expected to enter mass production by 2026, driven by advancements from leading companies [3] Rare Earths - Export controls on certain rare earth items will be implemented starting November 8, 2025, expanding previous measures [4] - China holds a dominant position in the global rare earth market, with 68.57% of production and 39.21% of reserves [4] - The new export control measures are expected to strengthen China's competitive advantage in the entire rare earth supply chain [4] Physical AI - XPeng Motors announced significant breakthroughs in physical AI, enhancing its ability to simulate the physical world [5] - The development of a large-scale physical AI model is seen as crucial for advancing autonomous driving and robotics [5] - The commercialization of physical AI is accelerating, with practical applications emerging in various sectors [5] Two-Dimensional Semiconductors - Fudan University's research team developed the world's first two-dimensional-silicon hybrid architecture chip, which could revolutionize traditional storage architectures [6] - This technology is expected to provide new pathways for chip development in the post-Moore's Law era [6] - The two-dimensional semiconductor technology is recognized as a key solution to global semiconductor challenges [6] Hydrogen Energy - A research team from Tokyo University of Science developed a high-performance solid electrolyte capable of reversible hydrogen absorption at 90 degrees Celsius [7] - The magnesium-hydrogen battery constructed from this electrolyte shows promising hydrogen storage capacity, nearing theoretical limits [7] - This advancement is expected to play a significant role in renewable energy storage and fuel cell vehicles [7]
沪指创十年新高,芯片股冲高回落,发生了什么?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-09 08:32
10月9日,A股在国庆后首个交易日大涨,沪指创十年新高,芯片股波动大,早盘大涨午后跳水。有色 金属爆发,次新股抢眼。国庆假期全球股指、商品上涨,科技利好不断。今年国庆后行情与去年或不 同,金融板块表现不佳。券商认为政策、三季报是十月关注点,A股有望震荡向上,四中全会和三季报 是关键。 2025年10月9日,A股市场在国庆中秋长假后首个交易日大涨。 上证指数放量突破3900点整数关口,收报3933.97点,上涨1.32%。上一次沪指在3900点上方,还要追溯 到十年前的2015年8月18日。 今日热点全面开花,但行情走得非常纠结,尤其是芯片股的大幅波动。早盘半导体芯片突飞猛进,中芯 国际一度上涨超9%,华虹公司早盘"20CM"涨停;兆易创新、澜起科技、中微公司等也大涨。午后却全 面跳水,中芯国际收盘翻绿,华虹公司炸板,涨幅缩小至12.04%,张江高科跌停。 消息面上,今日有消息称,有券商自10月9日起,将中芯国际、佰维存储两融折算率均调为零。理由是 根据交易所规定,个股静态市盈率如果超过300倍,或者为负数的情况下,融资融券折算率会被调为 零。 其他热点板块表现相对稳健,有色金属全面爆发。黄金股中,四川黄金、山 ...