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东鹏饮料(605499):补水啦强劲增长,费用端优化明显
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-10-27 08:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][11] Core Insights - The company has shown strong growth in its hydration product line, with significant revenue increases and improved cost management [2][3] - The revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 16.844 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.13%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.761 billion yuan, up 38.91% [3] - The company is expected to maintain high revenue growth rates, with projected revenues of 21.372 billion yuan in 2025, 27.797 billion yuan in 2026, and 34.747 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 35%, 30%, and 25% respectively [6][3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company forecasts operating revenue of 21.372 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 35% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 4.797 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 44% [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to reach 9.22 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 32.5 [2][6] Product Performance - The company's product categories, including energy drinks and electrolyte beverages, have shown significant revenue growth, with electrolyte drinks increasing by 134.78% year-on-year [6] - The revenue contribution from the electrolyte drink line has increased, with its share rising by 6.46 percentage points to 22.18% in Q3 2025 [6] Regional Performance - Revenue growth varied by region, with notable increases in North China and Southwest regions, while the Guangdong and Guangxi regions faced some pressure due to weather conditions [6] - The company reported a revenue increase of 72.88% in North China and 48.91% in the Southwest for the first three quarters of 2025 [6] Cost Management - The company has successfully optimized its cost structure, leading to an increase in net profit margin, which rose by 0.76 percentage points to 22.32% in the first three quarters of 2025 [6] - Sales expense ratio decreased by 0.90 percentage points to 15.52%, indicating improved efficiency in marketing expenditures [6]