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科拓生物(300858):25H1益生菌主业增长稳健,看好公司长期发展潜能
Great Wall Securities· 2025-08-21 10:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][17]. Core Viewpoints - The company's main business in probiotics shows steady growth, with a projected revenue increase from 3.83 billion to 5.69 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.7% [9]. - The company is focusing on expanding its C-end market and overseas presence, enhancing product competitiveness through strategic partnerships and product innovations [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025H1, the company achieved a revenue of 163 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.32%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 41 million yuan, a decrease of 5.31% year-on-year [2][3]. - The revenue breakdown shows that edible probiotics and plant microbial agents generated 116 million and 28 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 13.85% and 83.12% [2]. - The company's gross margin for 2025H1 was 49.24%, down 5.74 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to product mix adjustments and increased depreciation from new factory operations [3]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 3.83 billion, 4.71 billion, and 5.69 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.1 billion, 1.41 billion, and 1.84 billion yuan [9]. - The projected P/E ratios for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 50, 39, and 30 times, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend as earnings grow [9].