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科拓生物(300858):25H1益生菌主业增长稳健,看好公司长期发展潜能
Great Wall Securities· 2025-08-21 10:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][17]. Core Viewpoints - The company's main business in probiotics shows steady growth, with a projected revenue increase from 3.83 billion to 5.69 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.7% [9]. - The company is focusing on expanding its C-end market and overseas presence, enhancing product competitiveness through strategic partnerships and product innovations [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025H1, the company achieved a revenue of 163 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.32%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 41 million yuan, a decrease of 5.31% year-on-year [2][3]. - The revenue breakdown shows that edible probiotics and plant microbial agents generated 116 million and 28 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 13.85% and 83.12% [2]. - The company's gross margin for 2025H1 was 49.24%, down 5.74 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to product mix adjustments and increased depreciation from new factory operations [3]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 3.83 billion, 4.71 billion, and 5.69 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.1 billion, 1.41 billion, and 1.84 billion yuan [9]. - The projected P/E ratios for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 50, 39, and 30 times, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend as earnings grow [9].
科拓生物(300858):2024年报、25年一季报点评:益生菌业务稳健,25Q1收入亮眼
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-23 12:04
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [8] Core Views - The company's probiotic business shows steady growth, with a remarkable revenue performance in Q1 2025 [8] - The company reported a slight decline in 2024 performance but anticipates accelerated revenue growth in 2025 due to strategic transformations and new customer acquisitions [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 303 million, with a year-on-year growth of 1.19% [8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 is expected to be 94.36 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.94% [8] - The company forecasts a significant revenue increase in 2025, with total revenue expected to reach 434.57 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.52% [8] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at 0.36 yuan, with projections of 0.47 yuan for 2025 [8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 40.27 in 2024 to 30.55 in 2025 [8] Business Performance - The probiotic business is expected to maintain a strong growth momentum, with a projected revenue increase of 26% in Q1 2025 [8] - The animal and plant micro-ecological preparation business is anticipated to see a significant growth of over 200% year-on-year in Q1 2025 due to new factory production [8] - The company is optimizing its product structure, which has positively impacted its gross margin, although the animal and plant business has slightly dragged down profitability in Q1 2025 [8]