[Table_Stock] 鼎泰高科（301377） [Table_Rating] 买入（维持） [◼Table_Summary] 投资摘要 [行业Table_Industry] : 机械设备 日期: shzqdatemark [Table_Author] 分析师: 刘阳东 Tel: 021-53686144 E-mail: liuyangdong@shzq.com SAC 编号: S0870523070002 分析师: 王亚琪 Tel: 021- 53686472 E-mail: wangyaqi@shzq.com SAC 编号: S0870523060007 2025年08月22日 [Table_BaseInfo] 基本数据 | 最新收盘价（元） | 59.29 | | --- | --- | | 12mth A 股价格区间（元） | 15.13-63.30 | | 总股本（百万股） | 410.00 | | 无限售 A 股/总股本 | 17.32% | | 流通市值（亿元） | 42.11 | [Table_QuotePic] 最近一年股票与沪深 300 比较 -5% 34% 73% 112% 152% ...

Summary of Ding Tai Gao Ke Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Ding Tai Gao Ke - **Industry**: PCB Tooling and Manufacturing Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue Growth**: 2025 H1 revenue increased by 96.46% year-on-year, reaching 904 million CNY [2][3] - **Net Profit**: Net profit attributable to shareholders was 160 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 79.67% [3] - **Gross Margin**: Gross margin improved by 4 percentage points year-on-year [2][4] - **Overseas Revenue**: Overseas revenue grew by 124%, accounting for 8.7% of total revenue [2][4] Product Performance - **Tool Products**: Contributed 82.55% of total revenue, with a 38% year-on-year growth [2][3] - **Polishing Materials**: Revenue accounted for 9.4% of total, growing by 23.16% [2][3] - **Film Products**: Revenue decreased by 47.73% due to raw material shortages, dropping to 4% of total revenue [2][3] - **Micro Drill Sales**: Sold approximately 140 million micro drills under 0.2 mm, with a yield rate of 97% [3][11] Expansion Plans - **Production Capacity**: Current monthly capacity is 100 million units, with plans to expand to 120 million units [2][5][7] - **Acquisition**: Acquired German PCB tool company MPK for approximately 3 million euros, expected to start consolidating in August 2025 [2][5][6] - **Future Capacity**: Phase two of expansion expected to be completed by Q1 2026, potentially reaching a maximum capacity of 200 million units per month [14] Market Trends and Outlook - **AI Demand**: AI-related products accounted for 18% of sales volume and 22% of revenue in H1 2025, with expectations for significant growth in Q3 and Q4 [3][26] - **Industry Expansion**: The industry is experiencing rapid expansion, particularly in the AI sector, with various companies increasing production capacity [16][17] Challenges and Risks - **Raw Material Shortages**: Film product revenue decline attributed to raw material shortages, but solutions are being implemented [2][12] - **Profitability of Acquisitions**: Short-term losses expected from the MPK acquisition, but profitability anticipated through cost optimization and market strengthening [6] Pricing and Cost Management - **Tungsten Price Impact**: Tungsten price fluctuations have varying impacts on different product lines, with the company successfully passing on price increases to clients [21] - **Material Optimization**: Efforts to reduce material usage have been made to improve profit margins, but significant cost increases require price adjustments [22] Conclusion Ding Tai Gao Ke is positioned for strong growth in the PCB tooling industry, driven by significant revenue increases, strategic acquisitions, and a focus on high-demand AI products. The company is actively expanding its production capacity while navigating challenges related to raw material shortages and market competition.

上 市 公 司 机械设备 2025 年 08 月 21 日 鼎泰高科 (301377) ——AI PCB 需求激增，公司 PCB 刀具量价齐升 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 08 月 20 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 59.29 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 63.90/14.91 | | 市净率 | 9.5 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 0.81 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 4,211 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,766.21/11,926.74 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 06 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 6.17 | | 资产负债率% | 33.49 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 410/71 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 08-20 09-20 10-20 11-20 12-20 01-20 02-20 03-20 04-20 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent performance and strategic plans of Ding Tai Gao Ke, as well as the investment interest from Quan Guo Fund [1][2] - Quan Guo Fund was established on February 8, 2022, and currently manages assets totaling 16.396 billion yuan across six funds, with five fund managers [1] - The best-performing fund in the past year is Quan Guo Xu Yuan Three-Year Holding Mixed A (016709), achieving a return of 24.82% [2] Group 2 - In Q1 2025, Ding Tai Gao Ke reported an operating income of 423 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 72.5844 million yuan, up 78.51% [3] - The company's products in the PCB sector include PCB tools (drill bits, milling cutters), grinding and polishing materials, and smart devices, with PCB-related products accounting for approximately 85% of total revenue in 2024 [3][4] - The company has sufficient orders for drill bits, and plans to accelerate the construction of the PCB micro drill investment project to expand capacity [4][5] Group 3 - The annual production capacity of the PCB micro drill investment project is expected to reach 480 million units, with a monthly average capacity of 40 million units [5] - The Thai factory's overall planned capacity for drill bits was initially set at 10 million units but is now expected to reach 15 million units after adjustments [5] - The main customers in the PCB sector include Shenghong Technology, TTM Group, and others, with a direct sales model being the primary sales approach [6] Group 4 - The demand for drill bits in the AI sector has increased due to higher technical and quality requirements, leading to structural changes in product demand [6][7] - The average price of drill bits has been stable or slightly increasing due to a focus on high-end products and self-developed coating technologies [7] - The establishment of a subsidiary in Germany aims to create a platform for technical exchange and local service networks in Europe and the US [8] Group 5 - The company has implemented an equity incentive plan to enhance operational performance, with challenging performance targets set for the year [8]

Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 423 million CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.21% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 72.58 million CNY, with a year-on-year increase of 78.51% [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 66.39 million CNY, reflecting a growth of 87.74% year-on-year [1] PCB Product Overview - The main products in the PCB sector include PCB tools (drills, milling cutters), grinding and polishing materials, and smart devices [2] - Products related to PCB accounted for approximately 85% of the company's total revenue in 2024 [2] Production Capacity and Expansion - The annual production capacity for the PCB micro drill investment project is 480 million units, with a monthly average capacity of 40 million units [3] - The company plans to achieve a monthly production capacity of 20 million units for drills by the end of this year, leading to a total monthly capacity of over 100 million units [3] - The Thai factory's planned overall capacity for drills is 10 million units, with potential adjustments to reach 15 million units [4] Customer Base and Sales Model - Major PCB customers include Shenghong Technology, TTM Group, and others, primarily utilizing a direct sales model [5] - The demand for drills in AI-related PCBs has increased due to higher technical and quality requirements [6] Pricing and Market Strategy - The average price of drill products has been stable with a slight increase, driven by a focus on high-end products in AI and semiconductor sectors [7] - The establishment of a subsidiary in Germany aims to enhance technical collaboration and local service networks in Europe and North America [8] Future Goals and Risk Management - The company has implemented an equity incentive plan with challenging performance targets for the year, aiming to enhance operational performance [10] - Investors are advised to be cautious regarding investment risks related to performance outlooks and development plans [11]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for Ding Tai High-Tech (301377.SZ) [3][8]. Core Views - Ding Tai High-Tech is a leading global PCB drill needle manufacturer, achieving a market share of 26.5% in 2023, with a solid competitive position [1][14]. - The company's performance is expected to benefit from the synergy between AI computing power and technological innovation, leading to a continuous improvement in profitability [1][21]. - The entry into the robotics sector, leveraging its self-research capabilities, is anticipated to open new growth avenues for the company [2][8]. Company Overview - Ding Tai High-Tech focuses on providing integrated solutions in tools, materials, and equipment for PCB and precision machinery industries, with a significant revenue contribution from its drill needle and milling cutter products [14][15]. - The company has a comprehensive product portfolio, including tools, grinding materials, functional films, and intelligent CNC equipment, with the tool segment accounting for approximately 75.40% of revenue in 2024 [15][25]. Traditional Business - The PCB industry is experiencing a recovery driven by structural demand, particularly from AI and automotive electronics, which is expected to enhance the company's profitability [21][22]. - The company has established deep partnerships with leading PCB manufacturers, which is likely to further increase its market share [7][21]. Potential Growth Options - The company is positioned to benefit from the domestic replacement of high-precision grinding machines, which are currently reliant on imports, indicating significant market potential [7][22]. - Ding Tai High-Tech has been actively investing in R&D, with an average R&D expense ratio of 14% over the past three years, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [2][8]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for Ding Tai High-Tech are estimated at 20.52 billion, 25.08 billion, and 30.14 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.39 billion, 4.54 billion, and 5.54 billion yuan [8][9]. - The expected growth rates for revenue and net profit are 29.92% and 49.45% for 2025, respectively, reflecting the company's strong growth trajectory [8][9].

Summary of Ding Tai Gao Ke Conference Call Industry Overview - Ding Tai Gao Ke operates in the PCB (Printed Circuit Board) industry, which has experienced a 15% decline in industry output value in 2023, yet the company achieved a 9% year-on-year growth in sales revenue and volume, outperforming peers [2][4] - The demand for AI applications has significantly increased orders, particularly since 2025, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the company [2][5] Core Business and Product Structure - The company's main business segments include tool products, grinding and polishing materials, functional film materials, and intelligent CNC equipment, with PCB drill bits and milling cutters being the core business [3] - The sales proportion of high-priced coated drill bits increased from 24% in 2023 to 31% in 2024, currently reaching 40%, while ultra-small diameter drill bits rose from 13% in 2022 to 21% in 2024, indicating an improvement in product structure [2][8] Production Capacity and Expansion - The company is actively expanding production capacity to meet AI demand, with monthly capacity projected to increase from 80 million units at the end of 2024 to 93 million units by June 2025, and potentially reaching 100 million units by the third quarter [2][7] - The company utilizes self-manufactured equipment to respond quickly to market demands, with costs significantly lower than imported equipment [7] Pricing and Market Dynamics - The average price of drill bits increased from 1.16 yuan in 2024 to 1.18 yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a significant improvement for low-priced products like drill bits [9] - High-end drill bits are in high demand, with prices 30% higher than ordinary drill bits, driven by the market's supply-demand imbalance [9] Competitive Landscape - The company's market share in the global PCB drill bit market increased from 19% in 2020 to 26.5% in 2023, with the top four manufacturers holding over 75% market concentration [10][11] - Smaller manufacturers face challenges due to scale effects and technological barriers, making it difficult to compete with larger firms [10][11] Future Growth Drivers - The demand from AI servers and automotive electronics is expected to drive PCB demand growth, shifting the market structure from traditional consumer electronics cycles to long-term growth driven by emerging sectors [13] - The company’s CNC equipment business, previously focused on internal use, is now expanding into external sales, with plans to diversify product offerings [14] R&D and Technological Advantages - The company emphasizes R&D and has established a strong competitive edge in precision processing, particularly in the production of micro components for robotics [15] - The introduction of advanced grinding technology and equipment has positioned the company favorably in the AI and robotics sectors, suggesting continued investor interest [15]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][9]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading player in the PCB drill needle market, with a diversified business model that includes tools, materials, and equipment. It has shown robust revenue growth and is well-positioned to benefit from the rapid development of the PCB industry in China [8][19]. - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.99% in revenue from 2018 to 2024, increasing from 529 million to 1.58 billion yuan, and a CAGR of 21.79% in net profit, from 70 million to 227 million yuan during the same period [8][30]. - The company is focusing on expanding its capabilities in high-performance drill needles, CNC tools, functional films, and intelligent CNC equipment, which are expected to drive future growth [8][9]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to reach 1.96 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24.3%. By 2027, revenue is expected to grow to 2.83 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 18.3% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 338 million yuan in 2025, increasing to 547 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 48.9% and 26.4%, respectively [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.82 yuan in 2025 to 1.33 yuan in 2027 [2]. Business Segments - **PCB Tools**: The company maintains a strong competitive advantage in the PCB drill needle market, with a market share that increased from 19% in 2020 to 26.5% in 2023. The global PCB drill needle market is projected to reach 991 million USD by 2025 [8][9]. - **CNC Tools**: The company is expanding its production capacity and improving cost efficiency, with a target capacity of 600,000 units per month by the end of 2024 [8][9]. - **Functional Films**: The company is actively developing its functional film business, which is expected to grow significantly due to new certifications from automotive clients [8][10]. - **Intelligent CNC Equipment**: The company has made breakthroughs in developing new products, such as CNC thread grinding machines, which are anticipated to benefit from the growing demand for humanoid robots [8][9]. Market Context - The PCB industry is experiencing a structural opportunity driven by the application of AI technologies and the recovery of consumer electronics, with the global PCB market expected to reach 73.6 billion USD in 2024, growing at a rate of 5.8% [41][49]. - The Chinese PCB market is projected to grow to 41.2 billion USD in 2024, accounting for 56% of the global market, with a CAGR of 3.8% from 2024 to 2029 [46][49].

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of CNY 1.58 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.65% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 227 million, up 3.45% year-on-year [1] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of CNY 423 million, a 27.21% increase compared to the previous year [2] - The net profit for the first quarter of 2025 reached CNY 72.58 million, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 78.51% [2] Product Line Performance - Tool products generated CNY 1.191 billion in revenue, accounting for 75.40% of total revenue, with a growth of 14.26% [2] - Grinding and polishing materials achieved CNY 151 million in revenue, reflecting a 30.70% increase [2] - Smart CNC equipment revenue was CNY 54.89 million, growing by 15.55% [2] - Functional film materials saw a revenue of CNY 155 million, with a remarkable growth of 72.84% [2] Profitability Factors - The significant profit increase in Q1 2025 was attributed to product structure optimization, internal efficiency improvements, and reduced expenses [3] Market and Production Capacity - The company currently has a domestic monthly production capacity of 85 million drill bits, which is fully utilized [6] - The Thai production base has begun to ramp up, with plans to adjust capacity based on market conditions [6] - Overseas revenue reached CNY 92.67 million in 2024, a 96.95% increase year-on-year [9] Strategic Initiatives - The establishment of a subsidiary in Germany aims to enhance technical collaboration and local service networks in Europe [10] - Future growth drivers include technological innovation, expanding downstream demand, global strategic layout, and smart manufacturing upgrades [12] Employee Incentives - The company has implemented an equity incentive plan to motivate employees and enhance competitiveness, with performance targets set for 2025 [12]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported steady revenue growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by increased demand for AI PCB and optimized product structure [1][2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.65%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 227 million yuan, up 3.45%; and basic earnings per share (EPS) was 0.55 yuan, an increase of 3.77% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 423 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 27.21%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 72.58 million yuan, up 78.51%; and EPS was 0.18 yuan, an increase of 80.00% [1] Business Growth Drivers - The growth in revenue is primarily attributed to the demand increase for high-value-added PCB products, particularly in AI servers and high-speed network communications [2] - The sales volume of micro-drills (0.2mm and below) accounted for 21.12% of total sales, while coated drills represented 30.91% [2] - The company's grinding and polishing materials achieved revenue of 151 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.70% [2] Profitability Improvement - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 35.80% and net margin was 14.39%, showing a decline compared to the previous year; however, the main tool business maintained a gross margin of 35.00%, an increase of 0.52 percentage points [3] - For Q1 2025, the gross margin and net margin improved to 38.05% and 17.04%, respectively, reflecting increases of 4.28 and 4.78 percentage points year-on-year [3] Strategic Development - The company is focusing on multi-business line development and deepening its layout in the embodied intelligence industry chain [4] - In the film product sector, the company is enhancing technology and production processes, leading to increased market share in consumer privacy films and growth in MiniLED display films [4] - In the CNC equipment sector, the company is concentrating on tool grinding machines and achieving breakthroughs in new product development [4] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.96 billion, 2.34 billion, and 2.78 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.9%, 19.6%, and 18.7% respectively [5] - Net profits are projected to be 308 million, 408 million, and 520 million yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 35.9%, 32.4%, and 27.4% respectively [5]