鼎泰高科 20250701 摘要 鼎泰高科在 PCB 行业稳健增长，2023 年行业产值下降 15%的情况下， 公司销售收入仍同比增长约 9%，销量亦增长约 9%，业绩表现优于同行， AI 端应用需求爆发驱动订单显著增加，尤其 2025 年以来需求进一步增 长。 AI 服务器对 PCB 板提出更高要求，层数提升至 20-30 层，加大 HDI 技 术应用，高多层板需预钻工序，使用 TAC 涂层钻针，单价高 30%，且 AI PCB 板材加工只用新针，单针钻孔数量减少，需求成倍增长。 公司积极扩充产能应对 AI 需求，2024 年底月度产能 8,000 万支，至 2025 年 6 月达 9,300 万支，预计第三季度扩至 1 亿支，年底或更高， 通过自制装备快速响应市场，成本低于进口设备。 AI 订单增加改善产品结构，高价位涂层钻针销售占比从 2023 年的 24% 提高到 2024 年的 31%，目前达 40%，极小径钻针占比从 2022 年的 13%提高到 2024 年的 21%，产品均价在 2025 年第一季度明显上升。 2025 年第一季度钻针均价从 2024 年的 1.16 元提高到 1.18 元，提 ...

上 市 公 司 机械设备 2025 年 06 月 26 日 鼎泰高科 (301377) ——PCB 刀具龙头，业务多元化布局打造成长曲线 投资要点： 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025Q1 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,580 | 423 | 1,963 | 2,392 | 2,829 | | 同比增长率（%） | 19.7 | 27.2 | 24.3 | 21.9 | 18.3 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 227 | 73 | 338 | 433 | 547 | | 同比增长率（%） | 3.5 | 78.5 | 48.9 | 28.2 | 26.4 | | 每股收益（元/股） | 0.55 | 0.18 | 0.82 | 1.06 | 1.33 | | 毛利率（%） | 35.8 | 38.0 | 36.7 | 37.5 | 38.6 | | ROE（%） | 9.2 | 2.8 | 12.5 | 14.6 | 16.6 | | 市盈率 | 59 | | ...

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of CNY 1.58 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.65% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 227 million, up 3.45% year-on-year [1] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of CNY 423 million, a 27.21% increase compared to the previous year [2] - The net profit for the first quarter of 2025 reached CNY 72.58 million, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 78.51% [2] Product Line Performance - Tool products generated CNY 1.191 billion in revenue, accounting for 75.40% of total revenue, with a growth of 14.26% [2] - Grinding and polishing materials achieved CNY 151 million in revenue, reflecting a 30.70% increase [2] - Smart CNC equipment revenue was CNY 54.89 million, growing by 15.55% [2] - Functional film materials saw a revenue of CNY 155 million, with a remarkable growth of 72.84% [2] Profitability Factors - The significant profit increase in Q1 2025 was attributed to product structure optimization, internal efficiency improvements, and reduced expenses [3] Market and Production Capacity - The company currently has a domestic monthly production capacity of 85 million drill bits, which is fully utilized [6] - The Thai production base has begun to ramp up, with plans to adjust capacity based on market conditions [6] - Overseas revenue reached CNY 92.67 million in 2024, a 96.95% increase year-on-year [9] Strategic Initiatives - The establishment of a subsidiary in Germany aims to enhance technical collaboration and local service networks in Europe [10] - Future growth drivers include technological innovation, expanding downstream demand, global strategic layout, and smart manufacturing upgrades [12] Employee Incentives - The company has implemented an equity incentive plan to motivate employees and enhance competitiveness, with performance targets set for 2025 [12]

Group 1: Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 227 million, an increase of 3.45% year-on-year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, was 202 million, up 14.76% year-on-year [2] - In Q1 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 73 million, a significant increase of 78.51% year-on-year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, was 66 million, reflecting an increase of 87.74% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Key Growth Drivers - Continuous technological iteration and innovation in product upgrades, particularly in nano-coatings, smart equipment, functional film materials, and polishing materials [3] - Expansion of downstream industry demand driven by high-value PCB products related to artificial intelligence and high-speed network communication [3] - Global strategic layout with accelerated capacity deployment in Southeast Asia and enhancement of global market share through localized service networks [3] - Upgrading smart manufacturing to improve automation and efficiency, optimizing processes to reduce production costs, and establishing a digital quality control system [3] Group 3: Company Strategy and Outlook - The company focuses on core business areas, leveraging technological breakthroughs and operational optimization to create sustainable value for shareholders [3] - The activity did not involve any major information that needs to be disclosed [3] - Investors are advised to be aware of investment risks regarding the company's performance outlook and development plans [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported steady revenue growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by increased demand for AI PCB and optimized product structure [1][2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.65%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 227 million yuan, up 3.45%; and basic earnings per share (EPS) was 0.55 yuan, an increase of 3.77% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 423 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 27.21%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 72.58 million yuan, up 78.51%; and EPS was 0.18 yuan, an increase of 80.00% [1] Business Growth Drivers - The growth in revenue is primarily attributed to the demand increase for high-value-added PCB products, particularly in AI servers and high-speed network communications [2] - The sales volume of micro-drills (0.2mm and below) accounted for 21.12% of total sales, while coated drills represented 30.91% [2] - The company's grinding and polishing materials achieved revenue of 151 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.70% [2] Profitability Improvement - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 35.80% and net margin was 14.39%, showing a decline compared to the previous year; however, the main tool business maintained a gross margin of 35.00%, an increase of 0.52 percentage points [3] - For Q1 2025, the gross margin and net margin improved to 38.05% and 17.04%, respectively, reflecting increases of 4.28 and 4.78 percentage points year-on-year [3] Strategic Development - The company is focusing on multi-business line development and deepening its layout in the embodied intelligence industry chain [4] - In the film product sector, the company is enhancing technology and production processes, leading to increased market share in consumer privacy films and growth in MiniLED display films [4] - In the CNC equipment sector, the company is concentrating on tool grinding machines and achieving breakthroughs in new product development [4] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.96 billion, 2.34 billion, and 2.78 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.9%, 19.6%, and 18.7% respectively [5] - Net profits are projected to be 308 million, 408 million, and 520 million yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 35.9%, 32.4%, and 27.4% respectively [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [1][16]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.58 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.65%, and a net profit of 227 million yuan, up 3.45% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 showed even stronger growth, with a revenue of 423 million yuan, up 27.21%, and a net profit of 73 million yuan, up 78.51% year-on-year [1][3]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 33.60 yuan, based on a projected 40 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 [1][7]. Financial Performance Summary - **2024 Financials**: Total revenue is projected at 1.58 billion yuan with a net profit of 227 million yuan. The gross margin is 35.80%, and the net margin is 14.39% [3][7]. - **2025 Projections**: Expected revenue growth to 2.10 billion yuan, with net profit increasing to 343 million yuan, reflecting a significant growth rate of 51.5% [3][7]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Projected EPS for 2025 is 0.84 yuan, increasing to 1.20 yuan by 2027 [3][7]. Business Segment Insights - **Tool Products**: Revenue from tool products is expected to reach 1.19 billion yuan in 2024, driven by demand in AI servers and high-value PCB products [7]. - **Smart CNC Equipment**: Revenue from smart CNC equipment is projected to be 55 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 15.55% [7]. - **Functional Film Materials**: Revenue from functional film materials is expected to reach 155 million yuan in 2024, showing a remarkable growth of 72.84% [7]. Market Position - The company holds approximately 26.5% market share in the global PCB drill needle market, benefiting from the increasing demand for high-performance PCB products [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [7][16]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.58 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.65%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 227 million yuan, up 3.45% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 202 million yuan, reflecting a 14.76% increase [1][3]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 423 million yuan, marking a 27.21% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 73 million yuan, up 78.51% year-on-year, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 66 million yuan, which is an 87.74% increase [1][3]. Financial Summary - The total revenue is projected to grow from 1.58 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.10 billion yuan in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33% [3]. - The net profit is expected to rise from 227 million yuan in 2024 to 343 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant growth rate of 51.5% [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 0.55 yuan in 2024 to 0.84 yuan in 2025 [3]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 47 times in 2024 to 31 times in 2025, indicating an improving valuation [3]. Business Segments - The company's tool products generated revenue of 1.19 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.26%. The company holds a 26.5% market share in the global PCB drill needle market, benefiting from the rising demand for high-value PCB products driven by AI servers and high-speed communication [7]. - The smart CNC equipment segment is expected to generate 55 million yuan in revenue in 2024, up 15.55% year-on-year [7]. - The grinding and polishing materials segment is projected to achieve 151 million yuan in revenue, reflecting a 30.70% increase, while functional film materials are expected to generate 155 million yuan, a 72.84% increase year-on-year [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report adjusts the company's revenue expectations for 2025-2027 to 2.10 billion yuan, 2.54 billion yuan, and 3.02 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 343 million yuan, 416 million yuan, and 492 million yuan [7]. - The target price is set at 33.60 yuan, based on a 40 times P/E ratio for 2025, reflecting the company's position as a leading global PCB tool manufacturer and its expansion into CNC tools and automation equipment [7].