第三代灵巧手

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【重磅深度】灵巧手持续迭代,关注技术路线收敛中的边际增量
东吴汽车黄细里团队· 2025-06-27 15:44
Core Viewpoint - The dexterous hand market is expected to grow significantly, reaching $1.706 billion in 2024 and projected to increase to $1.921 billion in 2025 and $3.036 billion by 2030, driven by the demand for humanoid robots that require more advanced dexterous hands with higher degrees of freedom [2][11]. Market Overview - The dexterous hand market is anticipated to reach 760,100 units in 2024, with projections of 861,800 units in 2025 and 1,412,100 units by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.38% and 9.59% respectively [28][29]. Driving Solutions - The mainstream driving solutions include underactuated, external/mixed, and electric drives, with a shift from hollow cup motors to brushless gear motors. Underactuated designs sacrifice precision for cost reduction and faster deployment, while electric drives are favored for their modular design and high precision [3][11][45]. - Tesla's third-generation dexterous hand has replaced some hollow cup motors with brushless gear motors, indicating a potential shift in motor solutions [3][11]. Transmission Solutions - Transmission solutions encompass gear/worm gear, linkages, screws, and tendon-driven systems, each with its advantages and disadvantages. The tendon + screw composite transmission can enhance transmission precision while maintaining flexibility, exemplified by Tesla's third-generation dexterous hand [4][5][51]. Perception Solutions - Multi-modal perception is a defined trend, with force/torque sensors evolving towards strain gauge types and flexible sensors focusing on enhancing sensitivity and stability. MEMS pressure sensors, particularly resistive types, are becoming more prevalent in dexterous hand applications [6][66][74]. Industry Trends - Both domestic and international products are increasingly pursuing high degrees of freedom and multi-modal perception, highlighting the industry's development trends. Investment recommendations include companies involved in reducers and screw chains, such as Fuda Co., Zhejiang Rongtai, and Wuzhou Xinchun [8][11]. Future Outlook - The iteration of Tesla's dexterous hand clearly indicates a mainstream shift towards tendon-driven systems, achieving a doubling of degrees of freedom, transmission upgrades, drive switching, and breakthroughs in multi-modal perception [7][11].
隆盛科技营收7年增长15倍 开发第三代灵巧手年内股价翻倍
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-05-15 23:24
Core Viewpoint - Longsheng Technology (隆盛科技) is actively expanding its business in the automotive parts industry, with significant progress in various projects and a focus on new product development, particularly in the fields of aerospace precision manufacturing and humanoid robotics [1][7]. Group 1: Business Development - Longsheng Technology is developing a third-generation dexterous hand and has successfully progressed in the development of a semi-assembly project for electric drive motors for new energy commercial vehicles, with supply expected to Bosch and Seres in the second half of the year [1][8]. - The company has established a strong strategic partnership with Tesla, which is identified as a core strategic customer [1][8]. - Longsheng Technology has seen its stock price double this year, indicating strong market performance [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The company has experienced steady growth in operating performance, with revenue and net profit both increasing in 2023 and 2024 [1][5]. - Longsheng Technology's total assets grew from 4.62 billion yuan in 2017 to an expected 40 billion yuan by the end of 2024, representing a growth of approximately 7.66 times [3][4]. - Revenue has increased significantly, from 150 million yuan in 2017 to an expected 2.397 billion yuan in 2024, marking a growth of about 15 times [4][5]. Group 3: Research and Development - The company has made substantial investments in research and development, with expenditures rising from approximately 38.9 million yuan in 2021 to about 92.9 million yuan in 2024 [9]. - Longsheng Technology has successfully broken the foreign monopoly in the heavy truck market for EGR systems and is now achieving mass production with major domestic heavy truck manufacturers [9]. Group 4: Strategic Expansion - Longsheng Technology has expanded its business from a single focus on diesel commercial vehicle EGR systems to three core business segments: EGR systems, new energy vehicle drive motor cores, and precision automotive components [6][8]. - The company is also actively pursuing opportunities in emerging fields such as aerospace precision manufacturing and humanoid robotics, with plans to launch the "Lansen" robot in June 2024 [7][8].
隆盛科技:与赛力斯的新能源汽车电机半总成项目预计将在2025年下半年开始供货
news flash· 2025-05-12 11:15
Core Viewpoint - Longsheng Technology is focusing on the aerospace precision manufacturing sector as one of its main business areas for future development, with plans to supply components for electric vehicles by the second half of 2025 [1] Group 1: Business Development - The company has established a certain foundation for industry expansion through its subsidiary, Weiyan Zhongjia [1] - Longsheng Technology is developing third-generation dexterous hands and has officially launched the "Lansen" robot [1] Group 2: Product Supply Timeline - The Bosch sub-assembly project is expected to start supplying in the second half of 2025 [1] - The electric motor sub-assembly project with Seres is also anticipated to begin supply in the second half of 2025 [1]