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10月国际金价再创新高,买还是不买?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 02:19
Core Insights - The international gold market has reached a milestone with spot gold prices exceeding $4250 per ounce, marking a significant increase in value [2] - The demand for gold bars and jewelry has surged, particularly among younger consumers, driven by rising gold prices and promotional activities [3][4] - The trend of investing in gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty continues to grow, with increased interest in gold-related financial products [5][6] Group 1: Gold Price Trends - As of October 16, spot gold prices reached a high of $4259.1 per ounce, while futures prices peaked at $4258 per ounce [2] - Domestic gold futures in Shanghai hit a record of 971.58 yuan per gram, reflecting a nearly 60% increase from 610 yuan per gram at the beginning of the year [2] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - There is a notable increase in foot traffic at gold jewelry stores, particularly among younger consumers who prefer lightweight and stylish designs [3] - The price of gold jewelry has also risen, with major brands like Lao Feng Xiang and Chow Tai Fook seeing prices between 1245 and 1248 yuan per gram, an increase of approximately 60 yuan from three days prior [3] Group 3: Investment Demand - The consumption of gold bars and coins in China rose by 23.69% year-on-year in the first half of the year, totaling 264.242 tons [4] - The popularity of gold investment products is evident, with over a million users accessing "accumulated gold" products on Alipay, indicating a strong interest in flexible gold investment options [4] Group 4: Institutional Trends - Central banks globally continue to show strong demand for gold, with 73% of surveyed central banks expecting a decline in the dollar's share in global reserves over the next five years [5] - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for 11 consecutive months, reaching 7406 million ounces by the end of September [6]
10月再创新高,买还是不买?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 23:09
Core Viewpoint - The international gold market has reached a significant milestone with spot gold prices surpassing $4250 per ounce, driven by strong demand for both gold jewelry and investment products, indicating a robust interest in gold as a safe-haven asset amid global economic uncertainties [1][2][3]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - As of October 16, spot gold prices hit a high of $4259.1 per ounce, while domestic Shanghai gold futures reached 971.58 yuan per gram, marking a nearly 60% increase from 610 yuan per gram at the beginning of the year [1]. - Major gold jewelry brands have seen prices rise to between 1245 and 1248 yuan per gram, an increase of approximately 60 yuan per gram compared to three days prior [1]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - There is a notable increase in young consumers purchasing gold jewelry, favoring lighter and more stylish designs, with a significant demand for pure gold jewelry over gold bars [1][2]. - The demand for gold bars remains strong, with a reported 23.69% year-on-year increase in gold bar and coin consumption in China, totaling 264.242 tons in the first half of the year [2]. Group 3: Investment Products - The popularity of gold investment products is rising, with over a million users accessing "accumulated gold" products on Alipay, indicating a shift towards flexible gold investment options [2]. - Several banks have raised the minimum purchase amounts for gold accumulation products, reflecting increased interest and demand in the market [2]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - Analysts suggest that the current rise in gold prices is driven by various risk-averse sentiments, supported by central banks' increased gold purchases and a weakening dollar [3][4]. - The World Gold Council reports that 73% of surveyed central banks expect a decline in the dollar's share in global reserves over the next five years, with an anticipated increase in gold, euro, and renminbi holdings [3].