Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tianli International Holdings (01773) with a target price not specified [4] Core Viewpoints - The company reported FY25H1 revenue of 1.9 billion RMB, a 14% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 390 million RMB, reflecting a 36% year-on-year growth. The earnings per share (EPS) reached 0.1928 RMB, up 39% [1] - Tianli has established a strong presence in Sichuan Province and operates schools across 36 cities in China, providing comprehensive educational services to students [1] - The company has seen significant success in student admissions, with 272 high school graduates receiving offers from the world's top 50 universities in 2024, an increase of 145 from 2023 [2] - The company aims to expand its profitable high school business and enhance its service offerings, including online campus shopping, logistics services, and international education consulting [2] - Adjusted revenue forecasts for FY25-27 are 4.32 billion RMB, 5.64 billion RMB, and 7.39 billion RMB, with net profits of 770 million RMB, 1.02 billion RMB, and 1.35 billion RMB respectively [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY25H1 revenue was 1.9 billion RMB, net profit was 390 million RMB, and EPS was 0.1928 RMB, showing significant growth compared to the previous year [1] Educational Achievements - Tianli students excelled in various academic competitions, with 17 students winning provincial first prizes and 272 high school graduates receiving offers from prestigious universities [2] Business Strategy - The company plans to strengthen its high school operations and diversify its service offerings to support student development [2] Revenue Projections - Revised revenue estimates for FY25-27 are 4.32 billion RMB, 5.64 billion RMB, and 7.39 billion RMB, with adjusted net profits of 770 million RMB, 1.02 billion RMB, and 1.35 billion RMB [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][4][6] Core Views - The company reported FY25H1 revenue of 1.876 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14%, and a net profit of 390 million RMB, up 36.3% year-on-year, indicating performance in line with expectations [1][2] - The mid-term dividend payout ratio remains at 30%, reflecting stable shareholder returns, and the company is expected to benefit from the relatively inelastic demand for private higher education degrees and a stable policy environment [1][3] - The company has significant potential for improving the utilization of existing schools and expanding into diversified new businesses such as management and franchising, which could further enhance growth opportunities [1][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY25H1, the comprehensive education services segment generated revenue of 1.013 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 18.9%, driven primarily by a 46.8% year-on-year growth in high school student enrollment [2] - The management and franchising (custodial) business achieved revenue of 56 million RMB, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 116.3%, with the number of managed schools reaching 18, an increase of 8 schools year-on-year [2] - The gross profit margin for FY25H1 reached 37.6%, up 2.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 20.8%, up 3.4 percentage points year-on-year [3] Valuation and Forecast - The adjusted net profit forecasts for FY25, FY26, and FY27 are 771 million RMB, 995 million RMB, and 1.132 billion RMB respectively, with a target price adjusted slightly to 5.89 HKD, corresponding to an adjusted FY25 PE of approximately 14.8x [4][11] - The report employs a DCF valuation method with a WACC of 10.76% and a perpetual growth rate of 1% [4][10]