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老白干酒(600559):老白干酒2025年三季报点评:省内相对较好,省外降速调整
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 06:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 3.33 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 18.53% - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 400 million yuan, down 28.04% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 363 million yuan, a decline of 29.99% - In Q3 2025, the total revenue was 849 million yuan, a significant drop of 47.55% year-on-year, with a net profit of approximately 79.39 million yuan, down 68.48% year-on-year [2][4][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company experienced a total revenue of 3.33 billion yuan, a decrease of 18.53% year-on-year - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 400 million yuan, reflecting a 28.04% decline year-on-year, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 363 million yuan, down 29.99% - In Q3 2025, the total revenue was 849 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 47.55%, with a net profit of 79.39 million yuan, down 68.48% year-on-year [2][4][10]. Regional Performance - The company performed relatively better in its domestic market, with revenue from the Hebei region at 2.02 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.82% year-on-year - Revenue from the Hunan region was 644 million yuan, down 20.20% year-on-year, while the Anhui region saw a revenue of 299 million yuan, a decline of 34.72% - The Shandong region reported revenue of 137 million yuan, down 3.24% year-on-year, and other provinces contributed 202 million yuan, a decrease of 32.80% [10]. Profitability Metrics - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 decreased by 6.21 percentage points to 9.36%, while the gross margin fell by 5.4 percentage points to 61.37% - The expense ratio increased by 1.62 percentage points to 32.9%, with specific changes in expense categories: sales expense ratio decreased by 1.86 percentage points, management expense ratio increased by 3.45 percentage points, and financial expense ratio increased by 0.1 percentage points [10]. Future Outlook - The company operates with a dual-brand strategy and focuses on three major product series, with a clear product structure in the old Baijiu series - The company is expected to benefit from market expansion in Hebei, and while short-term demand impacts have led to a slowdown, the company maintains strong competitive advantages in the long term - EPS is projected to be 0.61 yuan for 2025 and 0.66 yuan for 2026, corresponding to a PE ratio of 27 and 25 times, respectively [10].
老白干酒(600559):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:一季报平稳开局,盈利能力持续改善
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-09 05:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 5.358 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.91%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 787 million yuan, up 18.19% year-on-year [2][4][9]. - In Q4 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 1.27 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.03% year-on-year, and a net profit of 231 million yuan, down 6.79% year-on-year [2][4][9]. - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a total revenue of 1.168 billion yuan, an increase of 3.36% year-on-year, with a net profit of 152 million yuan, up 11.91% year-on-year [2][4][9]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue from the Laobai Gan series in 2024 was 2.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, while the Ban Cheng series revenue was 858 million yuan, down 10.3% [9]. - The Wuling wine generated revenue of 1.099 billion yuan, up 12.3% year-on-year, primarily due to an increase in average price [9]. - The company achieved a sales volume of 54,141 thousand liters in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, with an average price of 98,400 yuan per thousand liters, up 5.0% year-on-year [9]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company's net profit margin improved by 2.02 percentage points to 14.69%, while the gross profit margin decreased by 1.21 percentage points to 65.95% [9]. - The company plans to achieve a revenue target of 5.47 billion yuan in 2025, with operating costs controlled within 1.826 billion yuan [9]. - The estimated EPS for 2025 and 2026 is 0.96 yuan and 1.09 yuan, respectively, corresponding to a PE ratio of 18 and 16 times [9].