Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [3][5]. Core Insights - The overseas investment banks are increasingly participating in digital finance, with emerging models continuously surfacing. The focus is on the issuance and trading of digital assets, particularly Real World Assets (RWA), which signify a transformation of traditional investment banking into the digital finance realm. The RWA market has grown from approximately $5 billion in 2022 to about $25.2 billion by July 2025, indicating a shift from experimental stages to large-scale promotion [1][12]. - The RWA market is projected to reach $16 trillion by 2030, accounting for about 10% of global GDP, driven by factors such as rising global interest rates, institutional involvement in crypto assets, and improving regulatory policies [1][17]. Summary by Sections RWA: Bridging On-chain Funds and Real Assets - RWA represents tangible or traditional financial assets on blockchain networks, enhancing liquidity and enabling fractional ownership, thus democratizing access to previously high-barrier investments [12][16]. - The RWA market has seen rapid growth, with a total market size reaching $25.4 billion by mid-2025, driven by technological advancements and traditional financial institutions' involvement [12][13]. RWA Token Types and Development Momentum - The RWA token landscape includes various types, with U.S. Treasury tokens being a significant category due to their low-risk profile and established legal framework. The market for tokenized U.S. Treasuries grew from $100 million in January 2023 to $6.74 billion by July 2025 [22][23]. - Private credit tokens have emerged as the largest segment within RWA, with a market size of $15 billion as of July 2025, driven by their high yield and low correlation with other asset classes [27][28]. - Commodity tokens, particularly gold tokens, dominate the commodity tokenization market, which reached $1.75 billion by July 2025 [31][32]. Stock Tokens: Comparison of Tokenization Models - Stock tokenization is rapidly evolving, with platforms like Robinhood and xStocks offering different models. Robinhood's model is based on derivative contracts, while xStocks provides direct ownership representation through compliant third-party custodians [39][50]. - The largest stock token, EXOD, represents a company specializing in crypto wallets, with a market cap of approximately $277.1 million [41]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that Robinhood's approach to virtual asset-related business could serve as a reference for Chinese brokerage firms entering this space. The rapid development of RWA may catalyze further market activity in the brokerage sector, indicating potential for significant returns [3][4].

Core Insights - Kraken's overall performance is weaker compared to Robinhood, with Robinhood's revenue doubling year-on-year and its stock price increasing nearly 185% in 2025 [2] - Kraken's revenue decline is attributed to market volatility and the trading off-season, alongside the impact of new tariffs imposed by former President Trump [3] Group 1: Kraken's Financial Performance - Kraken's adjusted EBITDA fell to $79.7 million, a decrease of 6.8% from $85.5 million year-on-year, and a significant drop of 57% from the first quarter's $187 million [3] - In Q2, Kraken's total revenue was $411.6 million, a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 13% from $471.7 million in Q1, but still an 18% increase compared to the same quarter last year [3] - The second quarter is typically a low trading period for the cryptocurrency market, compounded by increased investor caution due to new tariffs, which affected market confidence and led to Bitcoin prices dropping to a yearly low of around $76,000 in early April [3] Group 2: Robinhood's Financial Performance - Robinhood reported a 32% year-on-year increase in cryptocurrency trading volume, reaching $28 billion, with related trading revenue surging 98% to $160 million [4] - The diluted earnings per share for Q2 were $0.42, more than doubling year-on-year, while quarterly revenue grew by 45% to $989 million, both exceeding market expectations [4] - Although trading volume decreased from $46 billion in Q1, it still showed strong growth compared to the same quarter last year, with Q1 cryptocurrency trading revenue at $252 million [4] - Kraken's total trading volume was $186.6 billion, indicating a preference among high-net-worth investors for Kraken as a cryptocurrency investment platform [4]

Group 1 - The Guozheng Securities Leading Index (399437) has seen a strong increase of 1.58%, with constituent stocks such as Hualin Securities (002945) rising by 9.97%, Dongfang Securities (600958) by 4.26%, and GF Securities (000776) by 3.98% [1] - Robinhood has launched "stock tokens" in the European market, allowing EU users to trade over 200 US stocks and ETFs, including Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), and Microsoft (MSFT) [1] - Minsheng Securities highlights that cross-border payment scenarios are expected to become an important application for stablecoins, which may enhance efficiency and reduce costs in cross-border payments, benefiting fintech companies related to cross-border payments [1] Group 2 - In the long term, stablecoins are anticipated to promote virtual asset trading and the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) and security token offerings (STO), facilitating on-chain trading of traditional financial assets [2] - Major Chinese securities firms are accelerating their layout in this area, with Guotai Junan International upgrading its virtual asset trading license and GF Securities (Hong Kong) fully integrating with HashKey Chain for on-chain issuance [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Securities Leading Index (399437) account for 78.71% of the index, including Dongfang Wealth (300059), CITIC Securities (600030), and Huatai Securities (601688) [2]

Group 1 - The securities sector is experiencing active market conditions, driven by the recovery of market activity and the concept of stablecoins, with the Securities ETF (512880) seeing a net inflow of over 620 million yuan for five consecutive days, currently ranking first in its category with a scale exceeding 30.3 billion yuan [1][3] - In June, the Shanghai Stock Exchange saw a significant increase in new account openings, with 1.65 million new accounts opened, representing a year-on-year increase of 53% and a month-on-month increase of 6%. The total new accounts for the first half of the year reached 12.6 million, up 33% year-on-year [3] - The Hong Kong market has introduced comprehensive regulatory standards for stablecoins, with several companies applying for stablecoin licenses, indicating regulatory support for the business [3][4] Group 2 - The securities industry is witnessing a surge in merger and acquisition activities, reflecting regulatory policies aimed at increasing industry concentration, with notable mergers such as Guolian + Minsheng and Zheshang + Guodu [4] - The integration of resources through mergers and acquisitions is expected to accelerate the recovery of profitability among listed companies in the industry, supported by policies promoting the establishment of a first-class investment bank [4] - The Securities ETF (512880) tracks the CSI All Share Securities Companies Index, capturing major securities firms in A-shares, and is positioned to benefit from upward market movements, with its current scale exceeding 30 billion yuan and superior liquidity [4]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Involved - The conference call primarily discusses the **stablecoin** industry and its implications for **cross-border payments** in **China** and **Hong Kong**. It also touches on **stock tokenization (STO)** models, particularly focusing on **Robinhood** and **xStock**. Core Insights and Arguments - **Cross-Border Payment Initiatives**: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) have launched a cross-border payment initiative to facilitate RMB and HKD remittances, laying the groundwork for stablecoin applications in cross-border payments [2][4] - **Digital Currency Transactions**: A collaboration with JD.com has successfully executed 4.7 billion error-free transactions involving digital RMB and JD's stablecoin, indicating readiness for stablecoin transactions under current account limits [2][4] - **Stock Tokenization Models**: Two primary models for stock tokenization are identified: - **Robinhood Model**: Higher risk due to lack of transparency in holdings [5] - **xStock Model**: Lower risk as it involves broker intermediaries and segregated accounts, ensuring compliance [5] - **Regulatory Developments**: Hong Kong is set to implement new stablecoin compliance legislation on August 1, marking a significant regulatory advancement [4] - **Impact of Tokenization on Traditional Markets**: Tokenization allows for 24/7 market liquidity and real-time settlement, potentially leading to price volatility during market openings and closings [8] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **International Trade Tariffs**: The U.S. is imposing significant tariffs on goods from China, particularly through Vietnam, which could lead to increased market volatility as negotiations progress [11] - **Anti-Overcapacity Policies**: These policies aim to address excessive competition in industries like steel and solar, but rapid capacity reduction remains challenging [12] - **Market Performance and Investment Recommendations**: The capital market is currently in a volatile phase, with recommendations to focus on stablecoin performance and avoid sectors affected by tariff disputes [13] - **Long-term Observations**: Continuous monitoring of the anti-overcapacity process and its impact on the market is advised, with a focus on beneficiaries in the stablecoin sector, particularly in Hong Kong's securities and fintech industries [12][13]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Recommended" investment rating, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's fundamentals and expected performance exceeding the benchmark index [2][39]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant advancements in stablecoins and RWA (Real World Assets) both domestically and internationally, with a focus on the integration of these innovations into traditional finance, suggesting a potential global financial innovation cycle [5][27]. - The report emphasizes the continuous progress in the unmanned logistics sector, particularly through JD Logistics' introduction of self-developed unmanned vehicles and drones, which are expected to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs significantly [19][21]. - The AI industry is witnessing ongoing developments, particularly in large model applications, with notable advancements from companies like Baidu and Microsoft, indicating a robust growth trajectory in AI-driven solutions across various sectors [23][24]. Summary by Sections RWA and Stablecoin Developments - The report details the launch of stock tokenization services by Robinhood and other platforms, allowing for trading of over 200 US stocks and ETFs with features like zero commission and low trading thresholds [9][11]. - Domestic interest in offshore RMB stablecoins is rising, with companies like JD and Ant Group advocating for regulatory approval to enhance RMB internationalization [14][15]. Unmanned Logistics Updates - JD Logistics has unveiled its self-developed unmanned light truck, capable of a 400 km range and L4 autonomous driving, which can reduce logistics costs by approximately 60% [19][21]. - The report also discusses the launch of JD's intelligent delivery vehicles and drones, designed for various logistics applications, showcasing significant technological advancements in the sector [21][22]. AI Industry Chain Updates - Baidu's release of the ERNIE 4.5 series models marks a significant step in AI model development, with open-source capabilities enhancing accessibility for developers [23]. - Microsoft's AI diagnostic tool demonstrates a fourfold improvement in disease diagnosis accuracy compared to human doctors, indicating the transformative potential of AI in healthcare [24]. Market Performance Review - The computer sector experienced a decline of 1.28% in the first week of July 2025, with notable stock performances from companies like Xuanji Information and ST Saiwei [29][30].

Core Viewpoint - Robinhood has launched a tokenized stock and ETF service in the EU, allowing users to invest in over 200 US stocks and ETFs with 24/5 real-time trading capabilities, marking a significant step towards democratizing investment access [4][6]. Group 1: Tokenization and Investment Access - The introduction of tokenized stocks allows users to purchase contracts that track the stock prices of companies, recorded on the blockchain, enabling broader participation in investments [6][10]. - Robinhood's CEO Vlad Tenev describes this move as a form of "investment equity," allowing millions of customers to engage in investments that were previously inaccessible, particularly in private companies like SpaceX and OpenAI [8][9]. - The EU's regulatory environment is more flexible compared to the US, which facilitates the tokenization of private companies [5][10]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Regulatory Environment - The trend of private companies remaining unlisted is creating barriers for ordinary investors to benefit from their growth, as highlighted by industry experts [9][10]. - Robinhood's tokenized stocks are classified as derivatives under the MiFID II regulation, with underlying assets held by licensed US institutions, indicating a structured approach to compliance [10]. - Future regulatory developments in the US are anticipated to involve the SEC, with discussions already taking place regarding the approval of stock tokens [10]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Trends - Following the announcement of the tokenized service, Robinhood's stock price saw a significant increase of 12.8% on June 30, with a cumulative rise of 41.5% in June [18]. - The interest in cryptocurrency and stablecoins is growing among institutional investors, indicating a shift in asset allocation strategies [13][14]. - The boundaries between retail and institutional investors, as well as between crypto and traditional assets, are becoming increasingly blurred, leading to enhanced liquidity but also greater price volatility [17].

Market Overview - Major global stock indices showed mixed performance, with the Nasdaq rising by 190.24 points (0.94%) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declining by 10.52 points (-0.02%) [2] Trade Agreements - The United States and Vietnam have reached a trade agreement where Vietnam will pay a 20% tariff on exports to the U.S. and a 40% tariff on any transshipment trade, while allowing U.S. products to enter its market at zero tariffs [3] Employment Data - The ADP Research reported a decrease of 33,000 jobs in the U.S. for June, significantly below the expected increase of 95,000, marking the largest decline since March 2023 [5] Foreign Reserves - South Korea's foreign reserves increased by $5.6 billion in June, reaching a total of $410.2 billion [7] Automotive Industry - Tesla reported a total production of 410,244 vehicles and deliveries of 384,122 in Q2, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 13% in delivery volume [9] - Xiaomi's CEO Lei Jun stated that the company will prioritize domestic deliveries of its vehicles and will not consider exports until 2027 [10] Corporate Actions - Jeff Bezos sold over 3.3 million shares of Amazon, cashing out approximately $737 million [11] - Microsoft announced a new round of layoffs affecting 9,000 employees, marking its second major layoff this year after previously cutting 6,000 jobs [13] AI and Technology Partnerships - OpenAI is reportedly renting significant computing power from Oracle for its "Stargate" project, which involves unprecedented energy consumption levels [14]

Group 1: Technology Sector Developments - OpenAI and Elon Musk denied any collaboration with Robinhood regarding a new trading product called "stock tokens," clarifying that any transfer of OpenAI equity requires their approval [2] - DeepSeek has posted multiple job openings on LinkedIn, indicating an effort to attract top overseas AI talent [3] - Amazon announced the launch of its new AI foundational model, Deep Fleet, which aims to enhance the efficiency of its industrial mobile robot fleet by 10% [5] - Microsoft announced a new round of layoffs affecting approximately 9,000 jobs, marking its second major layoff this year [6] Group 2: Financial and Investment Activities - Alibaba Group plans to issue zero-coupon exchangeable bonds totaling approximately HKD 12 billion, with proceeds aimed at cloud computing infrastructure and international e-commerce development [4] - Shenzhen-based Romoss Technology confirmed it has not gone bankrupt, despite reports of a complete halt in operations and unpaid wages [11] - Zhuhai Shenkepu Industrial Technology completed a B+ round financing exceeding 100 million yuan, with funds allocated for technology upgrades and international expansion [15] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations - Baidu's Wenxin Intelligent Agent platform announced a deep collaboration with Xiaomi's app store to create a cross-end distribution model for AI agents [6] - Pony.ai has initiated Robotaxi road tests in Luxembourg in collaboration with local transportation company Emile Weber [10] Group 4: Industry Changes and Acquisitions - Siemens announced the lifting of export restrictions on three major chip design software suppliers to China, restoring access to Chinese customers [12] - China Resources has become the actual controller of Konka Group following a recent approval of a share transfer [13] - Xiamen Silan Microelectronics reported progress on its 8-inch silicon carbide project, which is a key construction project in Fujian Province [14]

Group 1 - Baidu's Wenxin Intelligent Agent Platform collaborates with Xiaomi App Store to launch an "AI Intelligent Agent Zone," enabling cross-end distribution of intelligent agents and applications [1] - OpenAI expands its Stargate protocol with Oracle, renting approximately 4.5 gigawatts of data center power capacity in the U.S. to meet its growing needs, with plans to develop multiple data centers across various states [1] - OpenAI denies any association with Robinhood's "OpenAI tokens," clarifying that it has not approved any transfer of its equity and is not involved in Robinhood's new trading product [1] - The first chip-level post-quantum cryptography card in China has been developed by Anhui Wentiang Quantum Technology Co., marking a significant advancement in quantum security technology [1]