Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company has demonstrated steady growth in net profit, with a 1.2% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reaching 9.3 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - The company's gross margin improved to 34.9%, and net profit margin increased to 17.2%, indicating enhanced profitability and effective cost control [1] - The company is focusing on a dual growth strategy of internal growth and external expansion, supported by a high dividend yield and low valuation, which provides a safety margin for investors [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was 54.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.9% year-on-year, while the net profit was 9.3 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 1.2% [1] - The company reported a single-quarter revenue of 17.4 billion yuan in Q3 2025, up 2.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.2 billion yuan, an increase of 2.1% [1] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities was 9.8 billion yuan, down 28.7% year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in cash received from sales [1] Business Highlights - The company is enhancing its full-cycle water service system in the water supply business, focusing on customer satisfaction [2] - In the wastewater treatment sector, the company is leveraging opportunities in green development and exploring integrated operation models to improve urban environmental governance [2] - The gas energy business is actively expanding both installation and sales markets while exploring collaborations in new energy [2] - The solid waste disposal business is developing a comprehensive solution for "waste-free cities" by integrating water, environmental protection, and solid waste management [2] Capital Expenditure and Dividends - Capital expenditures significantly decreased by 58.2% year-on-year to 6.6 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, allowing for sustained high dividends [3] - The company has a dividend payout ratio of around 50% for the years 2022-2024, with a current dividend yield of 5.1% [3] - The company plans to distribute at least 50% of its net profit in cash dividends over the next three years [3] Financial Projections - Expected net profit for 2025-2027 is projected at 12.6 billion yuan, 13.2 billion yuan, and 13.7 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.0, 1.0, and 1.1 yuan per share [3] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 9.3X, 8.9X, and 8.5X, indicating a favorable valuation [3]

Group 1: Company Overview - The company is a leading comprehensive water and environmental service provider in China, integrating investment, research and development, design, construction, and operation, with a complete industrial chain [2] - Main business segments include water supply, wastewater treatment, reclaimed water utilization, environmental protection, and engineering services, with environmental protection covering waste incineration power generation, leachate treatment, sludge disposal, and kitchen waste disposal [2] Group 2: Project Updates - In the first half of 2025, new projects put into operation include Chengdu Xiwayan Reclaimed Water Plant, Chengdu First City Sewage Sludge Treatment Plant (Phase III), and Qionglai Kitchen Waste Disposal Plant [3] - Ongoing projects include Chengdu Water Supply Plant (Phase III) with a remaining capacity of 400,000 tons/day in trial operation, and several other projects expected to be operational within 1-2 years [3] Group 3: Waste-to-Energy Projects - The Chengdu Wanxing Environmental Power Plant (Phase III) is under construction, with a waste processing capacity of 5,100 tons/day, sludge co-processing capacity of 800 tons/day, and kitchen waste processing capacity of 800 tons/day, expected to be operational in 2026 [3] Group 4: Market Expansion Strategy - The company focuses on deepening its presence in the Chengdu market while actively integrating water and environmental resources in surrounding areas, leveraging scale effects to create incremental performance [4] - Plans to expand nationally through mergers and acquisitions, enhancing industry layout and development momentum [4] Group 5: Capital Expenditure and Dividends - The company has significant capital expenditures due to multiple water supply and solid waste projects, with most projects expected to be operational within 1-2 years, leading to a gradual decrease in capital expenditure [5] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, with anticipated increases in free cash flow as projects come online, aiming to enhance dividend levels while meeting operational funding needs [5]