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行业点评报告:集采优化叠加创新驱动,Pharma迎来发展新阶段
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-09-22 07:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The innovative drug industry is entering a rapid growth phase, with significant investment opportunities expected in the next 6-12 months [3] - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing a shift from generic drugs to innovative drugs, with major companies showing robust performance and growth driven by internationalization and commercialization capabilities [5][14] - The optimization of centralized procurement policies and the support of commercial insurance are expected to benefit the pharmaceutical industry in the long term [6][31] Summary by Sections 1. Performance Overview - The pharmaceutical sector's performance in the first half of 2025 shows steady growth, with a transition from generic to innovative drugs. Key companies like Hengrui Medicine reported a revenue of 15.76 billion yuan (up 15.88% year-on-year) and a net profit of 4.45 billion yuan (up 29.67% year-on-year) [5][14] - China National Pharmaceutical Group also achieved double-digit growth, with a revenue of 17.58 billion yuan (up 9.8% year-on-year) and a net profit of 3.39 billion yuan (up 13.10% year-on-year) [5][14] - The innovative drug revenue for Hengrui Medicine exceeded 60%, with significant contributions from newly approved drugs [16] 2. Market Dynamics - The National Healthcare Security Administration has initiated adjustments to the national basic medical insurance and commercial health insurance drug directories, which are expected to enhance the market for innovative drugs [6][29] - The recent centralized procurement policies have shifted from broad price reductions to more refined management, which is anticipated to stabilize the expectations for generic drug businesses [6][34] 3. Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector include Hengrui Medicine, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, East China Pharmaceutical, and others, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing transformation and innovation in the industry [7][30] 4. Innovation and Internationalization - The report highlights that many traditional pharmaceutical companies are undergoing innovation transformations, with significant R&D investments expected to yield results in the near future. For instance, Hengrui Medicine and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group are projected to exceed 5 billion yuan in R&D expenses [36] - The total amount of license-out transactions for Chinese innovative drugs reached nearly 66 billion USD in the first half of 2025, indicating a strong internationalization trend [36]