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 乐鑫科技(688018):国补前置影响3Q25收入环比下滑
 HTSC· 2025-10-29 03:52
 Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 199.20 [6][4].   Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 1.912 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 30.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 377 million, up 50.04% year-over-year [1][6]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of RMB 667 million, a year-over-year increase of 23.51%, but a quarter-over-quarter decline of 3.05% due to the earlier pull of government subsidies [1][2]. - The gross margin improved to 47.97% in Q3 2025, up 5.83 percentage points year-over-year and 1.28 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, driven by the inclusion of software fees from cloud services in hardware product pricing [2][4]. - The company is expanding its "Processing + Connectivity" strategy into high-speed data transmission and high-performance SoC markets, which opens up long-term growth opportunities [1][3].   Summary by Sections  Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 1.912 billion, with a net profit of RMB 377 million and a non-recurring net profit of RMB 348 million [1][6]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was RMB 667 million, with a net profit of RMB 116 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase but a quarter-over-quarter decline [1][2].   Product and Market Insights - The growth in revenue is attributed to the increasing digitalization and intelligence penetration across various industries, with smart home applications being the primary revenue source [2][3]. - The company is seeing strong demand in non-smart home sectors, particularly in smart tools and devices [2].   Future Outlook - The company anticipates strong demand for consumer AIoT applications and is experiencing rapid growth in new markets such as industrial, medical, and energy sectors [3]. - The first Wi-Fi 6E wireless communication chip is expected to enter mass production in 2026, marking a significant breakthrough in high-performance wireless communication chips [3][4].   Profitability and Valuation - The report adjusts the revenue forecast for 2025 to RMB 2.594 billion, down from RMB 2.632 billion, while raising the gross margin estimates for 2025 to 46.53% [4]. - The net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to RMB 508 million, RMB 707 million, and RMB 912 million, respectively [4].
 乐鑫科技(688018):2H25 WIFI 6E无线通信芯片有望量产
 Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 00:39
 Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrated strong revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, driven by high demand in the AIoT sector and successful expansion into new markets [1][2].   Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 1.246 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 35.35%, and a net profit of 261 million yuan, up 72.29% year-over-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 688 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 29.02% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 23.28% [1]. - The gross margin in Q2 2025 improved to 46.69%, up 2.58 percentage points year-over-year and 3.3 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [1].   Group 2: Market Trends and Product Development - The IoT demand remains strong, with the company seeing increased penetration across various industries and a growing number of potential customers [2]. - The company reported revenue from chips/modules and development kits of 484 million yuan and 753 million yuan, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 27.18% and 41.68% [2]. - The company is investing in the development of Wi-Fi 7 and multi-core RISC-V technologies, with R&D expenses in 1H25 amounting to 268 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 22.66% [2].   Group 3: Future Outlook - The company is advancing projects in high-speed data transmission Wi-Fi and high-performance SoC, with strong demand for consumer AIoT applications [3]. - The first Wi-Fi 6E wireless communication chip has completed engineering sample testing and is planned for mass production in the second half of 2025, marking a significant breakthrough in the high-performance wireless communication chip sector [3]. - The company aims to leverage open-source resources and an active community to provide efficient smart IoT product solutions, capitalizing on new opportunities in the edge AI era [3].   Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its gross margin forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 44.94%, 43.10%, and 41.98%, respectively, reflecting cost optimization from scale effects [4]. - The net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been raised to 556 million yuan, 718 million yuan, and 970 million yuan, respectively [4]. - The target price has been set at 237.1 yuan, corresponding to a 55x 2026 PE ratio, maintaining an "overweight" rating [4].
 乐鑫科技(688018):2H25WiFi6E无线通信芯片有望量产
 HTSC· 2025-09-02 07:18
 Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [6][4].   Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.246 billion RMB in 1H25, representing a year-over-year growth of 35.35%, with a net profit of 261 million RMB, up 72.29% year-over-year [1][2]. - The demand for AIoT remains strong, contributing to revenue growth from new markets such as 3D printing, AI toys, and medical devices [1][3]. - The company is expanding its product offerings in high-performance SoC and high-speed data transmission markets, leveraging its existing ecosystem advantages [1][4].   Summary by Sections  Financial Performance - In 2Q25, the company reported a revenue of 688 million RMB, a year-over-year increase of 29.02% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 23.28% [1]. - The gross margin improved to 46.69%, up 2.58 percentage points year-over-year, while the net margin increased to 24.52%, up 5.98 percentage points year-over-year [1][2].   Product Development - The company is actively investing in the development of Wi-Fi 7 and multi-core RISC-V technologies, with R&D expenses reaching 268 million RMB in 1H25, a year-over-year increase of 22.66% [2]. - The first Wi-Fi 6E wireless communication chip is expected to enter mass production in the second half of 2025, marking a significant advancement in the high-performance wireless communication chip sector [3].   Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report revises the gross margin forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 44.94%, 43.10%, and 41.98%, respectively, and raises the net profit estimates for the same years to 556 million RMB, 718 million RMB, and 970 million RMB [4][10]. - The target price is set at 237.10 RMB, reflecting a 55x PE ratio for 2026, with the previous target price being 173.7 RMB [4][7].