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静待新驱动,市场临变数
Tebon Securities· 2025-09-01 10:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the market lacks a clear main theme in August, with expectations centered around a potential interest rate cut in September, particularly after the Jackson Hole meeting which temporarily bridged the divide between parties [3] - The report highlights the intensifying conflict between the White House and the Federal Reserve, particularly following Trump's nomination of Stephen Moore to fill a vacancy on the Fed's board and his call for another board member, Lisa Cook, to resign due to alleged mortgage fraud [3] - It is suggested that Trump's pressure on the Fed may serve three purposes: to accelerate interest rate cuts, to deflect blame for any economic downturn, and to gain indirect control over the Fed's board to facilitate coordination between monetary and fiscal policies [3] Group 2 - Nvidia's earnings report had a limited impact on the market, with mixed results; while revenue and profit exceeded expectations, guidance for Q3 fell short of some analysts' optimistic forecasts, raising concerns about Nvidia's prospects in China [3] - The report notes that despite Nvidia's stock decline, major indices like the Nasdaq remain resilient, indicating that Nvidia's earnings did not disrupt the previous upward trend in the AI sector [3] - The strategy suggested is to look for opportunities to buy on dips in the U.S. stock market, as the current market is in a "awkward period" with most major asset prices oscillating within extreme ranges [3] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring liquidity conditions and upcoming significant data releases, which could influence market movements [29][30] - It provides a preview of important data releases, including the U.S. manufacturing PMI and employment figures, as well as European and Japanese economic indicators [29] - The report also includes various charts illustrating the performance and valuation of global stock markets, highlighting trends in major indices and sectors [20][22][26]