机构：国金证券 研究员：杨欣/赵中平/杨雨钦 携手中国奥委会（COC），赋能核心产品系列。5 月6 日，中国奥委会与李宁举行合作发布仪式，李宁 正式成为2025-2028 年中国奥委会体育服装合作伙伴，也是自2004 年后双方再一次合作，李宁将为洛杉 矶2028 年奥运会、米兰2026 年冬奥会、爱知-名古屋2026 年亚运会等十余项国际性赛事提供专业装备 产品、渠道、营销调整持续发力，李宁大额增持彰显发展信心，看好公司未来经营趋势逐步改善，26 年释放业绩弹性。25 年Q1/Q2公司大货流水同比均录得低单位数增长，流水较为稳健。公司预计在2025 年增加费用投放，短期可能对利润率构成压力，但中长期来看战略性费用投入效果有望在未来几年显 现。2024 末账面货币资金高达75 亿元人民币，充足的现金储备体现了强大的抗风险能力。 盈利预测、估值和评级 公司目前估值性价比较高，看好经营趋势改善带动戴维斯双击。我们预计2025-27 年公司净利润分别为 24.27/28.27/31.28 亿元，当前股价对应PE 为15/13/12 倍，维持"买入"评级。 投资逻辑 风险提示 李宁大额增持彰显信心。2025 年李宁通过 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance with expected price increases of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][20]. Core Insights - The chairman of the company, Li Ning, has significantly increased his stake, acquiring approximately 51.79 million shares for about 809 million HKD, raising his ownership from 10.57% to 13.08%, marking the largest increase since 2006, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future [2][14]. - The partnership with the Chinese Olympic Committee (COC) for the 2025-2028 period is expected to enhance the company's core product lines, providing professional equipment for major international events, which is anticipated to drive significant growth in key categories such as basketball and running [2][15]. - The company is optimizing its channel strategy by closing underperforming stores, resulting in a net reduction of 18 stores in the past year, which has improved overall store efficiency [3]. - A multi-faceted brand marketing strategy has been implemented, including collaborations with cultural institutions and sponsorship of major events, aimed at enhancing brand strength [3][16]. - The company is expected to increase its expenditure in 2025, which may pressure short-term profit margins but is projected to yield positive results in the medium to long term [3][16]. Financial Projections - The company is forecasted to achieve net profits of 2.43 billion, 2.83 billion, and 3.13 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15, 13, and 12 times [4][20]. - Revenue is projected to grow from 27.6 billion RMB in 2023 to 33.9 billion RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.68% [9][20].

Core Viewpoint - The partnership between the Chinese Olympic Committee and Li Ning marks a significant milestone for the Li Ning brand, enhancing its authority and visibility on the global sports stage, particularly during major international events from 2025 to 2028 [1][3][5]. Group 1: Partnership Details - Li Ning will serve as the official sportswear partner for the Chinese Olympic Committee from 2025 to 2028, providing professional sports equipment for various international events, including the Los Angeles 2028 Olympics and the Milan-Cortina 2026 Winter Olympics [1]. - This collaboration is expected to strengthen Li Ning's positioning as a "professional sports brand" and enhance its brand value through increased global exposure [1][6]. Group 2: Historical Context - Li Ning, a legendary figure in Chinese gymnastics, has a rich history with the Olympics, having won multiple medals in the 1984 Los Angeles Olympics, which laid the foundation for the brand's professional sports identity [3][5]. - The brand has a longstanding relationship with the Chinese Olympic team, having been the designated sponsor for the team’s podium outfits from 1992 to 2004, marking a shift from foreign sportswear to domestic representation [5]. Group 3: Product Development and Investment - Over the past decades, Li Ning has focused on core sports categories such as basketball, running, and table tennis, investing over 3.5 billion yuan in research and development to enhance product technology [6]. - The brand has developed a range of specialized products to meet the needs of various sports, showcasing its commitment to professional development and support for Chinese sports [6]. Group 4: Consumer Experience and Brand Activation - Li Ning has upgraded its store image and consumer experience, prominently displaying its partnership with the Chinese Olympic Committee to enhance brand visibility and consumer engagement [9][10]. - The brand has introduced the "Honor" product series inspired by championship glory, aiming to create a tangible connection between the sponsorship and consumer perception [12]. Group 5: Brand Value and Market Impact - The collaboration with the Chinese Olympic Committee is expected to deepen emotional connections between consumers and the Li Ning brand, leveraging the prestige of top-tier sports events to enhance brand recognition [16][17]. - By providing high-quality products for national athletes, Li Ning aims to build a strong brand reputation that will support future market expansion and product launches [17].

Core Points - The core viewpoint of the articles is that Li Ning has officially become the sports apparel partner of the Chinese Olympic Committee for the period of 2025-2028, marking a significant milestone in the brand's history and enhancing its professional image in the sports industry [1][2]. Group 1: Partnership Announcement - Li Ning will provide professional sports equipment support for all major international events attended by the Chinese sports delegation, including the Los Angeles 2028 Olympics and the Milan-Cortina 2026 Winter Olympics [1]. - This partnership is expected to enhance Li Ning's brand recognition and authority, as its logo will be prominently displayed during key events, increasing global exposure [1][8]. Group 2: Historical Context - Li Ning, a legendary figure in Chinese gymnastics, has a long-standing relationship with the Olympics, having previously sponsored the Chinese Olympic team for 12 consecutive years from 1992 to 2004 [2]. - The brand's unique background and historical achievements contribute to its strong national recognition and brand equity, which are rare resources in the competitive sports apparel market [2][3]. Group 3: Product Development and Innovation - Li Ning has invested over 3.5 billion yuan in research and development over the past decade, focusing on various sports categories such as basketball, running, and badminton [3]. - The brand has developed a matrix of products to meet different athletic needs, showcasing its commitment to technological innovation in sports equipment [3]. Group 4: Consumer Experience Enhancement - Li Ning has upgraded its store image and display to enhance consumer experience, reflecting its partnership with the Chinese Olympic Committee [4][6]. - The stores feature prominent branding elements that connect consumers with the brand's history and its association with Chinese sports development [4][5]. Group 5: Brand Value Accumulation - The partnership with the Chinese Olympic Committee is expected to deepen emotional connections between consumers and the Li Ning brand, enhancing brand loyalty and perception [7][8]. - Participation in top-tier events will provide Li Ning with a platform to increase its international visibility and attract a broader consumer base [7][8].