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九州通(600998):2025 年中报点评:经营稳健向上,加快转型升级
Orient Securities· 2025-09-17 01:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 6.30 CNY based on a 14x PE ratio for 2025 [3][6]. Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a projected increase in revenue from 150.14 billion CNY in 2023 to 186.71 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 7.1% [5][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline slightly in 2025 to 2.27 billion CNY, before recovering to 2.68 billion CNY in 2027, indicating a focus on strategic transformation and operational efficiency [5][10]. - The company is actively pursuing a strategic transformation, focusing on new retail operations and enhancing its product offerings, including a significant increase in medical beauty revenue by 48.6% in the first half of 2025 [10]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 162.73 billion CNY, 174.35 billion CNY, and 186.71 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.27 billion CNY, 2.38 billion CNY, and 2.69 billion CNY [5][10]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 7.8% from 2025 onwards, while the net margin remains consistent at 1.4% [5][10]. - The company’s operating profit is forecasted to decrease by 7.5% in 2025, followed by a recovery in subsequent years, indicating a focus on cost management and efficiency improvements [5][10].