风险提示：宏观经济波动，新产品和新领域拓展低于预期风险。 公司25Q1 营收4.23 亿元（yoy+4.33%），归母净利-833 万元（yoy+14.04%），扣非净利-952 万元 （yoy+31.92%），亏损显著收窄主要受益于AI 内部提效。 同时AI 产品销售持续向好，融合AI 的新PLM 产品带动研发设计类业务签约金额同比增长超20%，设备 云AI+等轻应用收入同比增长超50%。我们认为，AI 业务有望成为公司后续业务增长的核心驱动，看好 公司远期成长。 盈利预测与估值 考虑传统业务增速仍略承压，下调收入预测，预计公司25-27 年营收为27.19、32.06、38.16 亿元（25-26 年前值30.55、36.20 亿元），考虑公司人效提升显著，上调盈利预测，预计25-27 年EPS 为0.84、1.18、 1.65 元（25-26 年前值0.79、1.00 元，上调6%、18%）。参考可比公司25E 平均估值 58.0xPE （Wind），考虑公司产品及行业know-how 优势，给予25E60xPE，目标价50.40 元（前值29.34 元，25E 37xPE），维持"买入"。 鼎捷数智2 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 50.40 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company has successfully commercialized its AI applications, leading to an expected acceleration in performance in 2025, despite a slight underperformance in 2024 due to delayed demand from downstream clients [1][2]. - The company is leveraging AI technology to enhance internal operational efficiency, resulting in significant reductions in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios [2]. - The company is capitalizing on the trend of Chinese enterprises expanding into Southeast Asia, with notable revenue growth from non-mainland regions, particularly Taiwan and Southeast Asia [3]. - The company's AI business indicators for Q1 2025 show continued improvement, with expectations that AI will drive future growth [4]. - Revenue forecasts have been adjusted downwards due to traditional business pressures, but earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been raised due to significant improvements in operational efficiency [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.331 billion RMB (up 4.62% YoY) and a net profit of 156 million RMB (up 3.59% YoY) [1][7]. - The company expects revenues of 2.719 billion RMB, 3.206 billion RMB, and 3.816 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 16.64%, 17.92%, and 19.05% [5][7]. AI Business Development - The company reported revenue from self-developed smart software products and integrated smart hardware solutions of 662 million RMB and 555 million RMB respectively in 2024, with growth rates of 13.57% and 12.64% [2]. - The AI business in Taiwan saw a remarkable growth of 135.07% YoY [2]. Market Expansion - Revenue from the mainland China region was 1.177 billion RMB (up 1.92% YoY), while revenue from non-mainland regions was 1.154 billion RMB (up 7.53% YoY), driven by growth in Taiwan and Southeast Asia [3]. - The company is expanding its local teams in Thailand, Vietnam, and Malaysia, achieving a localization rate of over 90% [3]. Profitability and Valuation - The company’s EPS is projected to be 0.84 RMB, 1.18 RMB, and 1.65 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting an increase in profitability [5][7]. - The target price of 50.40 RMB is based on a 60x PE ratio for 2025, compared to an average of 58.0x PE for comparable companies [5][13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 50.40 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company has successfully commercialized AI applications, leading to an expected acceleration in performance in 2025 [1][2]. - The company is leveraging AI technology to enhance internal operational efficiency, resulting in a significant reduction in expense ratios [2]. - The company is capitalizing on the trend of Chinese enterprises expanding into Southeast Asia, with promising results in overseas market development [3]. - The AI business indicators for Q1 2025 show continued improvement, indicating a broad growth potential for the future [4]. - Revenue forecasts have been adjusted downwards due to traditional business pressures, but earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been raised due to significant improvements in operational efficiency [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.331 billion RMB (up 4.62% YoY) and a net profit of 156 million RMB (up 3.59% YoY) [1][7]. - The company expects revenues of 2.719 billion RMB, 3.206 billion RMB, and 3.816 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 16.64%, 17.92%, and 19.05% [5][7]. AI Business Development - The company reported revenue from self-developed smart software products and integrated solutions of 662 million RMB and 555 million RMB respectively in 2024, with growth rates of 13.57% and 12.64% YoY [2]. - The AI business in Taiwan saw a remarkable growth of 135.07% YoY [2]. Overseas Market Expansion - Revenue from non-mainland China regions reached 1.154 billion RMB in 2024, growing by 7.53% YoY, driven by markets in Taiwan and Southeast Asia [3]. - The company has established strategic partnerships to enhance services for Chinese enterprises venturing abroad, focusing on key industries such as automotive and electronics [3]. Profitability and Valuation - The company’s EPS is projected to be 0.84 RMB, 1.18 RMB, and 1.65 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting an increase in profitability [5][7]. - The target price of 50.40 RMB is based on a 60x PE ratio for 2025, considering the company's product and industry advantages [5].