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科技板块延续强势
Tebon Securities· 2025-11-26 13:14
Market Analysis - The A-share market exhibited a "strong Shenzhen, weak Shanghai" pattern, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly declining by 0.15% to close at 3864.18 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.02% to 12907.83 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.14% to 3044.69 points [3][4] - The overall market turnover was 1.80 trillion, a slight decrease of 1.6% from the previous trading day, with 1689 stocks rising and 3591 stocks falling [3] Sector Performance - The technology sector continued to show strength, with the communication sector leading the gains, up 4.68%. Notably, the CPO (optical module) concept surged by 4.52%, with companies like Changguang Huaxin hitting a 20% limit up for two consecutive days [4] - Alibaba Group announced plans to continue investing in AI technology and infrastructure, indicating a long-term strategic value creation, which may sustain the bullish sentiment in the computing power industry [4] - The consumer sector saw a slight uplift due to a new consumption promotion policy aimed at enhancing supply-demand adaptability, which may benefit durable goods like home appliances [4][6] Bond Market - The bond futures market experienced a comprehensive adjustment, with all contracts closing lower. The 30-year main contract TL2512 saw the largest decline of 0.86%, closing at 114.29 [9] - The interbank market maintained a stable and loose liquidity environment, with short-term rates remaining low despite the central bank's reverse repos [9] Commodity Market - The commodity index saw a slight increase of 0.10%, with notable gains in new energy materials and agricultural products. However, the energy sector, particularly crude oil, faced downward pressure [9] - The potential for a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict could further depress oil prices, impacting related chemical products [9] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a dual rotation between technology and consumer sectors in the coming weeks, driven by developments in AI and consumer policies [6][12] - The bond market is expected to remain weak, influenced by market sentiment, while the commodity market may face pressures from geopolitical developments [12]