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主权基金抄底比特币!“数字黄金”成战略储备新选择?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 10:18
Core Insights - The perception of Bitcoin as merely a speculative tool is changing, as sovereign institutions like Abu Dhabi and Luxembourg are beginning to view it as a strategic complement to traditional reserve assets, thereby altering the global investment landscape [1][11] Group 1: Sovereign Fund Actions - Luxembourg's first sovereign fund, FSIL, announced in October that it would allocate 1% of its assets (approximately €7 million) to Bitcoin, viewing it as a hedge against inflation and currency risk [3] - The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIC) significantly increased its holdings in a Bitcoin trust fund, investing $518 million to acquire 8 million shares, completing this investment just before a 20% market drop, indicating a long-term value belief rather than short-term speculation [4] Group 2: Bitcoin's Performance and Risk - From 2023 to 2025, Bitcoin's annualized returns are expected to significantly outperform gold, the S&P 500, and U.S. Treasury bonds, despite its volatility being twice that of 51 sovereign currencies [6] - Research indicates that even a small allocation of Bitcoin in a portfolio can enhance risk-adjusted returns, showcasing the strategic advantage for sovereign funds to exchange controllable risks for higher returns [6] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Innovations - Sovereign funds currently allocate 32% to equities and 28% to fixed income, with commodities like gold only making up 0.8%. The emergence of spot ETFs has resolved classification issues, allowing funds to incorporate Bitcoin as a compliant financial instrument [7] - During a market downturn in 2025, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced redemptions of up to $523 million, highlighting the challenges faced by the industry. However, innovations like institutional-grade custody services and stablecoin lending are helping to mitigate these risks [9] Group 4: Strategic Diversification - The traditional reliance on gold and bonds for sovereign reserves is evolving towards diversification in response to complex economic conditions. Bitcoin is not intended to replace gold but to serve as a complementary asset, enhancing portfolio resilience [11]