跑鞋(飞电系列

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李宁(02331):2025稳健开局
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-06 12:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [4]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a steady recovery with improved sales performance, particularly in e-commerce, and is gradually emerging from a low operational period [3]. - The company focuses on enhancing operational efficiency by closing underperforming stores, resulting in a net decrease of 29 sales points in China [1]. - The company is pursuing a strategy of deepening core categories while expanding into new categories, with significant growth in running, basketball, and training segments [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 29.5 billion RMB, 31.7 billion RMB, and 34.0 billion RMB respectively [3]. - Net profit estimates for the same period are 2.8 billion RMB, 3.0 billion RMB, and 3.2 billion RMB respectively [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.09 RMB, 1.16 RMB, and 1.23 RMB for 2025-2027 [3]. Market Position - The company has a total market capitalization of approximately 39.29 billion HKD and a total share capital of 2,584.80 million shares [4]. - The asset-liability ratio stands at 26.90%, indicating a relatively low level of debt [4]. Sales Performance - The company reported a low single-digit growth in overall retail sales, with a 10%-20% increase in e-commerce sales [1]. - The running category saw a retail sales increase of 25% in 2024, leading the growth among core categories [2].