Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company with a 12-month target price of 37.86 CNY [4][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.721 billion CNY in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.41%, with a net profit of 350 million CNY, up 1.15% year-on-year [1]. - The growth in military trade significantly contributed to a 36% revenue increase in Q2 2025, with a net profit growth of 19.2% [1]. - The defense radar business is a key growth driver, with radar systems and subsystems generating 1.55 billion CNY in revenue, a 16.57% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company maintains a strong focus on R&D, with H1 2025 R&D expenses reaching 76 million CNY, a 5.3% increase year-on-year [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.721 billion CNY, a 10.41% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 350 million CNY, up 1.15% [1]. - Q2 2025 saw a revenue of 1.358 billion CNY, a 36.2% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 274 million CNY, a 19.2% increase [1]. Product and Market Analysis - The radar systems and subsystems generated 1.55 billion CNY in revenue, with a gross margin of 42.46% [2]. - The company’s military trade projects have shown strong delivery performance, contributing to revenue growth [3]. Research and Development - The company invested 76 million CNY in R&D in H1 2025, reflecting a 5.3% increase year-on-year, indicating a commitment to maintaining its competitive edge [3]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 742 million CNY, 871 million CNY, and 1.024 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 17.8%, 17.3%, and 17.7% [4].

Group 1: Railway Investment Overview - In 2024, China's railway fixed asset investment reached 850.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.26%, with 131.2 billion yuan completed in the first quarter of 2025, up 5.13% year-on-year [1] - The period from 2024 to 2027 is expected to be a peak for railway investment, with an average annual investment exceeding 800 billion yuan [1] - The current railway equipment is in a replacement cycle, with plans to eliminate old diesel locomotives by 2027, leading to accelerated procurement of related equipment [1] Group 2: Industry Players and Performance - China CNR Corporation (China CRRC) has seen significant growth in its high-level maintenance orders for train sets, with new orders amounting to 45.36 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a high increase [2] - In Q1 2025, China CNR Corporation reported revenue of 48.671 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 51.23%, and a net profit of 3.053 billion yuan, up 202.79% [2] - Times Electric (时代电气) is expected to benefit from the peak period of high-level maintenance from 2024 to 2027, as old diesel locomotives are phased out [2] Group 3: Market Opportunities - China Communications Technology Corporation (中国通号) is positioned to benefit from the ongoing replacement cycle of railway equipment, with significant market shares in high-speed rail and urban rail signal systems [3] - The company holds over 60% market share in high-speed rail weak current integration and over 37% in urban rail signal system integration, indicating strong competitive positioning [3] - The demand for upgrading and renovating railway lines is expected to accelerate, providing new growth opportunities for the company [3]