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宇通客车(600066):海外业务仍处高增长通道,研发面向高端化
Ping An Securities· 2025-08-26 09:41
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Recommended" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 16.1 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.9 billion yuan, an increase of 16% year-on-year [4] - The company maintains a high cash dividend payout ratio and has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 4.84 billion, 5.55 billion, and 6.33 billion yuan respectively [7] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 161 billion yuan, with a net profit of 19 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 16 billion yuan [4] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 42.91 billion, 47.77 billion, and 52.75 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.3%, 11.3%, and 10.4% respectively [6] - The net profit for the same period is projected to grow from 4.84 billion to 6.33 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 17.7%, 14.5%, and 14.1% [6] Market Dynamics - The domestic demand is benefiting from the "old-for-new" policy, while the tourism bus demand has returned to rational levels, leading to a year-on-year decline in market demand [7] - The export of large and medium-sized buses increased by 16.51% year-on-year, with expectations for continued growth in the second half of the year, particularly in Europe, Latin America, and Southeast Asia [7] Research and Development - The company has invested 750 million yuan in R&D for the first half of 2025, accounting for 4.6% of its revenue, focusing on high-end products and smart connected vehicles [7] - The company is developing high-end domestic products and expanding its overseas high-end product offerings [7]