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中金:量子计算正处商业落地关键拐点 核心设备厂商将迎战略机遇期
智通财经网· 2025-11-05 08:12
Core Insights - The global quantum computing market is expected to grow from $5 billion in 2024 to over $800 billion by 2035, with a CAGR exceeding 55% [1][3] - Quantum computing is positioned to overcome the limitations faced by classical computing, providing significant computational breakthroughs in complex fields such as finance, biopharmaceuticals, and materials engineering [1][2] Industry Developments - Major economies are incorporating quantum information technology into their national strategies, with the U.S. increasing funding by $2.7 billion for the National Quantum Initiative Act (2025-2029), and similar initiatives from the EU and Japan [2] - China has prioritized quantum technology in its national plans since the 13th Five-Year Plan, shifting focus from research breakthroughs to engineering and commercial applications in the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] Market Dynamics - The quantum computing industry chain is entering a rapid growth phase, with synchronous breakthroughs across various segments and increasing synergy effects [3] - There is significant potential for domestic substitution in upstream key equipment such as dilution refrigerators and measurement control systems, while the midstream ecosystem of complete machines and software algorithms is gradually improving [3] Investment Opportunities - Recommended companies to watch include Western Superconducting Technologies (688122.SH) and Dingyang Technology (688118.SH), with other relevant companies in the industry chain such as Hexin Instruments (688622.SH), Guosheng Quantum (688027.SH), Zhongtai Co., Ltd. (300435.SZ), and Fujida (920640.BJ) [4]
国海证券:量子计算行业奇点将至 硬件端重点关注稀释制冷机/测控系统
智通财经网· 2025-10-13 02:21
Core Insights - The quantum computing industry is accelerating towards commercialization, with a focus on "scalability" and "fidelity" as key indicators [1] - Hardware components such as dilution refrigerators and measurement control systems are expected to account for 52.66% and 66.51% of the quantum computing hardware value by 2030 and 2035, respectively [1] Group 1: Quantum Computing Principles and Advantages - Traditional computing faces challenges due to the limitations of process miniaturization, while quantum computing offers superior efficiency for specific problems through the properties of quantum bits [1] - Quantum tunneling allows quantum bits to utilize tunneling phenomena to perform calculations, overcoming issues like leakage that affect traditional computing [1] - The reversible nature of quantum information processing addresses thermal dissipation effects, which are problematic in traditional high-density chips [1] Group 2: Quantum Computing Pathways - Three main pathways for quantum computing have been identified based on scalability and fidelity: superconducting, ion trap, and neutral atom technologies, with superconducting technology progressing the fastest [2] Group 3: Industry Readiness for Large-Scale Application - The quantum computing sector is on the brink of large-scale application, with significant developments expected between 2027 and 2029 [3] - Major global players are formulating strategies and investments in quantum computing, with the U.S. government highlighting the transition from laboratory to industrial application as a critical turning point [3] - Companies like Microsoft and Bluefors are making substantial commitments to quantum computing, with long-term investment strategies and large orders for critical components [3] Group 4: Key Hardware Components and Market Analysis - The three core hardware components of quantum computing are Quantum Processing Units (QPU), dilution refrigerators, and measurement control systems [4] - The market potential for dilution refrigerators is significant, with domestic performance on par with international leaders, and the measurement control systems market is also analyzed for growth opportunities [4]