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兴证国际:首予银河娱乐(00027)“买入”评级 规模保持领先 新供给等待释放
智通财经网· 2025-12-10 03:02
Core Viewpoint - The report from Xingsheng International initiates coverage on Galaxy Entertainment (00027) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting the effectiveness of the company's mid-to-high-end strategy and its potential for growth through new developments and market share increases [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's net income reached HKD 12.2 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 14% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1% [2] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was HKD 3.3 billion, up 14% year-on-year but down 6% quarter-on-quarter, with an overall adjusted EBITDA margin of 27.5%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 has outpaced the industry average, laying a solid foundation for annual growth [2] Group 2: Dividend Policy - For H1 2025, the company declared a dividend of HKD 0.7 per share, which represents 58% of the earnings per share (EPS) for the period, indicating a robust and generous dividend policy [3] - The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 3.5% [3] Group 3: Betting and Win Rates - In Q3 2025, the company's betting amounts for VIP, mass market, and slot machines were HKD 65 billion, HKD 35.4 billion, and HKD 27.4 billion, showing year-on-year growth of 46%, 12%, and 3% respectively [4] - The overall win rate improved due to the adoption of smart tables and innovative gameplay, contributing to the growth of Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) [4] Group 4: Market Share - The company's GGR for Q3 2025 was HKD 20.95 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.6%, which is higher than the industry average growth of 12.5% [5] - The company's market share for Q3 2025 was calculated at 19.6%, with a cumulative market share of 19.4% for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase [5]