Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China released the financial market operation situation for 2025, indicating significant growth in both the interbank RMB derivatives market and the government bond futures market compared to 2024 [1] Group 1: Interbank RMB Derivatives Market - The transaction volume of the interbank RMB derivatives market in 2025 is projected to reach 58.5 trillion yuan, representing an increase of 58.6% from 2024 [1] - The average closing price of the 1-year FR007 swap rate at the end of 2025 is expected to be 1.50%, which is an increase of 3 basis points compared to the end of 2024 [1] Group 2: Government Bond Futures Market - The transaction volume of the government bond futures market in 2025 is expected to be 97.0 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth of 43.9% from 2024 [1] - The open interest in government bond futures at the end of 2025 is projected to be 648,000 contracts, which is an increase of 30.4% from the end of 2024 [1] - The closing price of the 10-year government bond futures main contract at the end of 2025 is anticipated to be 107.9 yuan, a decrease of 1.0% compared to the end of 2024 [1]

Group 1 - The central bank reported that the turnover of the interbank RMB derivatives market in 2025 is expected to reach 58.5 trillion yuan, an increase of 58.6% compared to 2024 [1] - The average closing price of the 1-year FR007 swap rate at the end of 2025 is projected to be 1.50%, which is an increase of 3 basis points from the end of 2024 [1] Group 2 - The turnover of the government bond futures market in 2025 is anticipated to be 97.0 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth of 43.9% from 2024 [1] - The open interest in government bond futures at the end of 2025 is expected to be 648,000 contracts, an increase of 30.4% compared to the end of 2024 [1] - The closing price of the 10-year government bond futures main contract is projected to be 107.9 yuan at the end of 2025, a decrease of 1.0% from the end of 2024 [1]