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中银晨会聚焦-20250627
Bank of China Securities· 2025-06-27 09:05
【金融工程】传统多因子打分行业轮动策略*郭策 李腾。本报告介绍了一种 季频换仓偏配置思路的行业轮动策略,采用传统量化多因子打分的方式,分 别从"估值"、"质量"、"流动性"、"动量"四个维度下各优选 2 个单 因子,再进行等权 rank 复合,形成复合因子。整体策略思路偏配置,优先选 择低估值、低拥挤度、景气度上行、近一年价格动量向上,近 3 年价格处于 低位的行业持有。最终复合策略在回测区间(2014/4/1-2025/6/6)实现年化 收益 19.64%,行业等权基准实现年化收益 7.55%,对应年化超额 12.09%。 期间超额累计净值最大回撤-13.25%。 【机械设备】芯碁微装*苏凌瑶。芯碁微装公告新签 1.46 亿元大单,约占 2024 年营收的 15%。AI 基建热潮投推动 PCB 投资热,公司有望受益于 PCB 厂商 积极扩产潮。 行业表现(申万一级) | 指数名称 | 涨跌% | 指数名称 | 涨跌% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 银行 | 1.01 | 汽车 | (1.37) | | 通信 | 0.77 | 非银金融 | (1.20) | | 国防军工 | 0 ...
芯碁微装(688630):AI基建推动PCB投资热,新签大单有望提振后续业绩
Bank of China Securities· 2025-06-26 02:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a market price of RMB 79.15 and a sector rating of "Outperform" [1][3]. Core Views - The company has signed a significant new contract worth RMB 146 million, which is expected to boost its revenue for 2024 by approximately 15% [3][7]. - The AI infrastructure boom is driving investment in PCB, and the company is likely to benefit from the expansion efforts of PCB manufacturers [3][7]. - The report adjusts the company's earnings forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with EPS estimates revised to RMB 2.09 and RMB 2.75 respectively, while projecting an EPS of RMB 3.37 for 2027 [7]. Financial Summary - The company's projected revenue for 2023 is RMB 829 million, increasing to RMB 1,377 million by 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 44.3% [6]. - EBITDA is expected to rise from RMB 155 million in 2023 to RMB 277 million in 2025 [6]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from RMB 179 million in 2023 to RMB 276 million in 2025, with a growth rate of 71.7% [6]. - The company’s P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 37.8, 28.8, and 23.5 respectively [7].