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牛市里的“掉队者”东阿阿胶:新增长极在哪?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 11:52
Core Viewpoint - Dong-E E-Jiao has confirmed its absence from the current bull market, with a year-to-date decline of 18% as of December 22, 2025. The company needs to identify new growth points, such as E-Jiao paste, male products, and international expansion, to regain momentum [1][12][13]. Stock Performance - As of December 22, 2025, Dong-E E-Jiao's stock closed at 49.25 yuan, reflecting a total market capitalization of 31.72 billion yuan. The stock has seen an 18% decline since the beginning of the year, contrasting sharply with the overall A-share market, where over 4,300 stocks recorded positive gains [2][14]. - The company has initiated a share buyback plan, intending to use 100 million to 200 million yuan to repurchase shares at a maximum price of 72.08 yuan per share. This is expected to involve the repurchase of approximately 138,730 to 277,470 shares, representing 0.22% to 0.43% of the total share capital [2][15]. Dividend Policy - Dong-E E-Jiao plans to distribute a cash dividend of 12.69 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 817 million yuan, which indicates a high payout ratio. From 2020 to 2024, the company has consistently maintained a high dividend payout ratio, with a total cash dividend of 1.96 billion yuan in 2020, increasing to 15.55 billion yuan in 2024 [3][15][16]. Historical Context - Dong-E E-Jiao was once regarded as the "Moutai of medicine," experiencing a long-term bull market. However, after a series of price increases that led to a disconnect between product pricing and consumer demand, the company faced significant challenges, including a net profit loss of 455 million yuan in 2019 [4][18]. - The leadership transition from Qin Yufeng to Gao Dengfeng in 2020 marked a shift in strategy, with a renewed focus on E-Jiao paste, which has seen significant sales growth due to favorable policy changes [6][19][20]. Recent Developments - The company has launched new products targeting male consumers, such as the "Royal Weichang 1619" brand, and has made strategic acquisitions in the male health supplement sector [9][22]. - Dong-E E-Jiao is also expanding its international presence, having acquired Huaren Pharmaceutical Trading (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. and established partnerships in Southeast Asia, although overseas revenue remains a small portion of total income [10][24].
东阿阿胶(000423):顶住行业压力,业务稳健增长
HTSC· 2025-10-27 09:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of 83.65 RMB [7][5]. Core Views - The company has shown resilient growth despite industry pressures, with revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching 47.7 billion RMB and 12.7 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 4% and 11% [1]. - The company is expected to continue its double-digit growth in the Ejiao series, driven by online channel expansion and consumer recovery [2]. - The company is accelerating its expansion in the tonic product category, with strategic partnerships in various product lines, aiming to transition from a leader in Ejiao to a leader in comprehensive tonics during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3]. Financial Performance - The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios for the first three quarters of 2025 are 35.2%, 6.1%, and 3.0%, respectively, indicating a continuous optimization in sales expenses and an increase in R&D expenses due to strategic investments [4]. - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 is 13.1 billion RMB, slightly higher than net profit, indicating strong cash flow management [4]. Earnings Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 18.0 billion RMB, 20.5 billion RMB, and 23.2 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 14%, and 13% [5][11].