餐废油脂(UCO)

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生物柴油行业深度系列(一):出口困境尾声,内需空间广阔
Ping An Securities· 2025-04-20 11:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Outperform" rating for the biodiesel industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The biodiesel industry is experiencing a shift from export reliance to domestic demand stimulation, driven by policy support and the gradual resolution of export challenges [4][5] - Global biodiesel consumption is projected to grow, particularly in the EU, the US, Indonesia, and Brazil, with significant increases in demand for advanced biodiesel products [5][17] - China's biodiesel consumption remains low, but there is substantial potential for growth if B5 blending is implemented nationwide, which could create a market space exceeding 6 million tons [4][34] Summary by Sections 1. Biodiesel Market Dynamics - The global biodiesel consumption has a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.8% from 2010 to 2023, with significant contributions from the EU, US, Indonesia, and Brazil [4][15] - The EU's RED III policy aims to increase the share of advanced biofuels in transportation energy consumption to 5.5% by 2030, which is expected to enhance demand for China's HVO and SAF biodiesel [20][29] 2. Raw Material Supply and Demand - China's biodiesel production primarily relies on waste cooking oil (UCO), with a theoretical annual capacity exceeding 8 million tons, but actual collection is around 5.4 million tons [4][34] - The report anticipates a shift in UCO usage from export to domestic production, especially for second-generation biodiesel (HVO) and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) [4][5] 3. Company Focus - The report highlights key companies in the biodiesel sector: - Zhuoyue New Energy, a leader in first-generation biodiesel with upcoming second-generation production [5] - Shangaohuan Energy, a leading supplier of UCO with significant waste cooking oil processing capacity [5] - Langkun Environment, focused on biomass waste treatment and actively expanding into biodiesel [5]