Core Viewpoint - The price of trimellitic anhydride (TMA) has significantly dropped, losing over 72% from its peak last year, raising concerns about the viability of Changqing Technology's ambitious 10 billion TMA project amidst a challenging market environment [2][3]. Group 1: Market Conditions - In September 2025, the mainstream transaction price of TMA in East China fell to 15,500-15,600 yuan/ton, reflecting a drastic decline from previous highs [2][14]. - The price of TMA surged to over 50,000 yuan/ton in 2024 due to global supply disruptions, but has since plummeted, with a 50% drop noted from early 2025 [13][17]. - The TMA market is facing a potential oversupply as multiple companies are expanding production, leading to fears of a price drop and supply-demand imbalance by 2026 [12][19]. Group 2: Company Strategy and Financials - Changqing Technology initiated an 8 billion convertible bond financing for its TMA project, which was approved by shareholders on September 19 [2]. - The company’s total assets are only 2.56 billion yuan, while the first phase of the TMA project alone requires an investment of 3 billion yuan, raising concerns about financial sustainability [25]. - The company has reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit, with a year-on-year decrease of 10.67% and 31.89% respectively, indicating weakened profitability [25]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The closure of INEOS's TMA production facility has created a temporary supply gap, but the subsequent market response has led to aggressive expansions by domestic companies [6][8]. - Other companies like Zhengdan Co. and Baichuan Co. are also expanding their TMA production capacities, which could further saturate the market [9][12]. - The market's cautious sentiment towards Changqing Technology is reflected in its stock performance, with institutional holdings below 5%, contrasting with competitors like Zhengdan Co. which have higher institutional support [21][23].