Group 1 - The report from the Kasikorn Research Center indicates that if the US imposes a 36% tariff on Thai products, it will lead to a significant shrinkage in Thailand's export value in the second half of the year [1][2] - The new tariff rate announced by President Trump is set to take effect on August 1, and if no agreement is reached before this date, the tariff will be implemented [1] - The 36% tariff is expected to reduce Thailand's competitiveness in the US market, particularly for products such as transformers, printers, air conditioners, and shrimp products [1] Group 2 - The Kasikorn Research Center believes that higher tariffs compared to most countries will exert deeper pressure on Thai exports, negatively impacting foreign direct investment and leading to a further decline in private investment [2] - Thailand's economy faces multiple risk factors, including potentially lower-than-expected tourist arrivals, which contribute to downward pressure on economic growth [2] - The economic growth rate for Thailand in 2025 is likely to fall below 1.4% due to these combined factors [2]