Core Insights - The report from CICC Research provides a comprehensive overview of the Chinese economy, market, and asset prices as of Q3 2025, summarizing key macroeconomic indicators and market strategies [1][3]. Macroeconomic Analysis - The GDP growth rate in Q2 2025 was 5.2% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from Q1, with nominal GDP growth at 3.9%, down 0.7 percentage points [6]. - Fixed asset investment growth in the first half of 2025 was 2.8%, lower than the 3.9% growth in the same period last year, indicating a slowdown in internal investment momentum [6]. - Export growth remained resilient despite increased tariffs, with a 7.2% year-on-year increase in exports in the first half of 2025 [6]. - Consumer price index (CPI) showed a year-on-year decline of 0.1% in the first half of 2025, indicating low inflationary pressures [6][19]. Market Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring domestic economic data, policy implementation, and overseas macroeconomic policies and geopolitical situations [37]. - A-shares are considered to have strong valuation resilience, with the Shanghai Composite Index's dividend yield of approximately 3.5% being significantly higher than the 10-year government bond yield [38]. - The report suggests focusing on sectors with high growth potential that are less correlated with economic cycles, such as AI, defense, and innovative pharmaceuticals [38]. Sector Performance - In Q2 2025, the defense and military sector led A-share performance with a 16% increase, while the real estate sector faced significant pressure, with a decline of 3.6% [42]. - The report highlights that the overall market performance is influenced by external uncertainties, with a recommendation to pay attention to sectors that may benefit from capacity adjustments under price pressure [38][42]. Foreign Exchange and Investment Trends - The report notes a depreciation of the US dollar and appreciation of the Chinese yuan in Q2 2025, with the yuan showing a 14.4% increase against the dollar [52]. - The foreign capital inflow into A-shares has been significant, with a notable increase in the proportion of foreign holdings in key sectors such as consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, and technology [76][78].