摘要 根据 Wind 数据，折价成交个券中，"24 产融 08"债券估值价格偏离幅度较大。净价上涨成交个券中，"22 万科 02" 估值价格偏离程度靠前。净价上涨成交二永债中，"25 农行二级资本债 04B(BC)"估值价格偏离幅度较大；净价上涨 成交商金债中，"25 农行 TLAC 非资本债 02C(BC)"估值价格偏离幅度靠前。成交收益率高于 5%的个券中，地产债排名 靠前。 信用债估值收益变动主要分布在[-5,0)区间。非金信用债成交期限主要分布在 0.5 年内，其中 0.5 至 1 年品种折价成 交占比最高；二永债成交期限主要分布在 4 至 5 年，其中 1 年内品种折价成交占比最高。分行业看，轻工制造行业的 债券平均估值价格偏离最大。 风险提示 统计数据偏差或遗漏，高估值个券出现信用风险 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 2 扫码获取更多服务 固定收益动态(动态) 固定收益动态(动态) 图表1：折价成交跟踪 | | | | | 大幅折价个券成交跟踪 | | | | | | 成交规模 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

摘要 折价幅度靠前 50 只 AA 城投债（主体评级）中，"20 天台债"估值价格偏离程度最大。净价跌幅靠前 50 只个券中， "20 天台债"估值价格偏离幅度最大。净价上涨幅度靠前 50 只个券中，"22 万科 02"估值价格偏离幅度最大。净价 上涨幅度靠前 50 只二永债中，"25 农行二级资本债 04B(BC)"估值价格偏离程度最大。 风险提示 统计数据偏差或遗漏，高估值个券出现信用风险 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 扫码获取更多服务 固定收益动态(动态) 图表1：折价幅度靠前 50 只 AA 城投债（主体评级） | 债券名称 | 剩余期限 | 估值价格 | 估值净价 | 估值收益率 | 当日估值 | 票面利率 | 隐含 | 主体 | 成交日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (年) | 偏离(%) | (元) | 偏离(bp) | 收益(%) | (%) | 评级 | 评级 | | | 20 天台债 | 2.00 | -33.42 | 39.95 | 34.99 | 1.98 | 4.80 | AA ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Among the bonds with discounted transactions, "24 Guoyuan 01" had a relatively large deviation in bond valuation price. Among the bonds with rising net prices, "22 Vanke 02" ranked high in terms of valuation price deviation. Among the Tier 2 and perpetual bonds with rising net prices, "25 Agricultural Bank of China Tier 2 Capital Bond 01A(BC)" had a relatively large deviation in valuation price. Among the commercial financial bonds with rising net prices, "25 China Everbright Bank Bond 02" ranked high in terms of valuation price deviation. Among the individual bonds with a transaction yield higher than 5%, real estate bonds ranked high [2]. - The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the [-5,0) interval. The transaction terms of non - financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, with the 1 - 1.5 - year - term varieties having the highest proportion of discounted transactions. The transaction terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the varieties within 1 year having the highest proportion of discounted transactions. By industry, real estate industry bonds had the largest average deviation in valuation prices [2]. 3. Summaries Based on Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Discounted Transaction Tracking - Bonds such as "24 Guoyuan 01", "Jian Guan VY02", and "24 China Construction MTN002" had significant valuation price deviations in discounted transactions. The industries involved included urban investment, transportation, and building decoration. The transaction scales ranged from several million yuan to tens of millions of yuan [4]. 3.2 Tracking of Bonds with Rising Net Prices - Bonds like "22 Vanke 02", "22 Vanke 04", and "22 Vanke 06" had large positive deviations in valuation prices. The industries mainly included real estate, non - bank finance, and urban investment. The transaction scales varied from tens of thousands of yuan to hundreds of millions of yuan [5]. 3.3 Tracking of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Transactions - Bonds such as "25 Agricultural Bank of China Tier 2 Capital Bond 01A(BC)", "25 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Tier 2 Capital Bond 03BC", and "25 Agricultural Bank of China Tier 2 Capital Bond 02A(BC)" had certain valuation price deviations. Banks involved included state - owned banks, joint - stock banks, and city commercial banks. The transaction scales were relatively large, reaching tens of millions of yuan to billions of yuan [6]. 3.4 Tracking of Commercial Financial Bond Transactions - Bonds like "25 China Everbright Bank Bond 02", "24 China Construction Bank Bond 01B", and "25 Jiangsu Bank Bond 02BC" had valuation price deviations. Banks included joint - stock banks, state - owned banks, and city commercial banks. The transaction scales ranged from several million yuan to hundreds of millions of yuan [7]. 3.5 Tracking of Bonds with a Transaction Yield Higher than 5% - Bonds such as "22 Vanke 02", "22 Vanke 04", and "24 Chanrong 06" had a transaction yield higher than 5%. The industries mainly included real estate and non - bank finance. The transaction scales were relatively small, mostly in the range of tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands of yuan [8]. 3.6 Distribution of Credit Bond Transaction Valuation Deviations on the Day - The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the [-5,0) interval [2]. 3.7 Distribution of Non - Financial Credit Bond Transaction Terms on the Day - The transaction terms of non - financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, with the 1 - 1.5 - year - term varieties having the highest proportion of discounted transactions [2]. 3.8 Distribution of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Transaction Terms on the Day - The transaction terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the varieties within 1 year having the highest proportion of discounted transactions [2]. 3.9 Discounted Transaction Proportions and Transaction Scales of Non - Financial Credit Bonds in Each Industry - The real estate industry had the largest average deviation in non - financial credit bond valuation prices [2].

Core Viewpoint - Vanke's bonds have generally increased in value, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company [1] Group 1 - On December 17, Vanke's bonds experienced significant price increases, with "23 Vanke 01" rising over 7% [1] - The bond "22 Vanke 02" saw an increase of more than 3% [1] - Additionally, "21 Vanke 06" rose by over 2% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Vanke's debt extension negotiations have reached a critical juncture, with the failure of three proposed extension plans leading to a five-day grace period for the "22 Vanke MTN004" bond, which has a principal repayment date of December 15, 2025 [1][2][3] Group 1: Debt Extension Proposals - The "22 Vanke MTN004" bond has an outstanding balance of 2 billion, and the first holder meeting on December 10 failed to pass any of the three proposed extension plans [2] - The first proposal received no votes in favor, the second proposal garnered 83.4% support but fell short of the 90% threshold, and the third proposal only received 18.95% support [2] - Vanke expressed regret over the voting results and committed to further communication and collaboration with stakeholders to find a solution [2][4] Group 2: Grace Period and Future Meetings - The company is currently in a five-day grace period, during which interest will accrue at a rate 5 basis points above the coupon rate on the unpaid principal and interest [3] - A second holder meeting is scheduled for December 18 to continue negotiations regarding the bond [5] Group 3: Market Reactions and Investor Sentiment - Following the news, Vanke's bond prices experienced volatility, with significant declines in several bonds on December 15, while some recovered in the days leading up to the meeting [6] - A positive development for Vanke was the successful one-year extension of a HKD 1.05 billion bank loan, which alleviated some short-term liquidity concerns [6] Group 4: Creditor Concerns and Negotiation Dynamics - The failure of the first round of proposals highlights the differing risk assessments and interests between creditors and the company, with creditors favoring immediate asset recovery over debt extensions [7][8] - Vanke faces significant repayment pressures, with a total of 5.7 billion in domestic debt maturing by December 2025, alongside additional upcoming obligations in subsequent years [8][9] Group 5: Future Implications - The ongoing negotiations are critical, as unresolved issues could lead to broader repercussions for Vanke and the real estate sector if a mutually acceptable solution is not reached [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in the domestic bond market for Vanke, with multiple bonds experiencing notable price rises [1] Group 2 - The bonds "23 Vanke 01", "21 Vanke 04", "22 Vanke 02", and "22 Vanke 04" rose over 17% [1] - The bonds "22 Vanke 06" and "21 Vanke 06" increased by more than 14% [1] - The bond "21 Vanke 02" saw an increase of over 7% [1]

Group 1 - The bonds "22 Vanke 04" increased by over 12% [1] - The bonds "23 Vanke 01" rose by more than 10% [1] - The bonds "22 Vanke 02" saw an increase of over 8% [1] - The bonds "22 Vanke 06" grew nearly 7% [1] - The bonds "21 Vanke 06" increased by over 6% [1] - The bonds "21 Vanke 02" rose by more than 4% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The bond market for Vanke's domestic bonds experienced a significant decline, with various bonds dropping by substantial percentages, indicating potential concerns regarding the company's financial health or market conditions [1] Group 1: Bond Performance - "21 Vanke 06" bond fell over 18% [1] - "21 Vanke 04" and "23 Vanke 01" bonds both dropped over 14% [1] - "22 Vanke 02" bond decreased over 13% [1] - "21 Vanke 02" bond declined over 12% [1] - "22 Vanke 04" bond fell over 11% [1] - "22 Vanke 06" bond decreased over 10% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The bond market for Vanke has experienced a significant decline, particularly in its domestic bonds, indicating potential concerns regarding the company's financial health and market perception [1] Group 1: Vanke Bonds Performance - "21 Vanke 06" bond dropped over 18% [1] - "21 Vanke 04" and "23 Vanke 01" bonds fell over 14% [1] - "22 Vanke 02" and "21 Vanke 02" bonds decreased over 13% [1] - "22 Vanke 04" bond declined over 11% [1] - "22 Vanke 06" bond fell over 10% [1] Group 2: Local Government Bonds Performance - "22 Beijing Bond 43" increased over 11% [1] - "21 Guizhou Bond 23" rose over 8% [1] - "23 Dalian Bond 11" and "25 Guizhou Bond 23" both increased over 1% [1] - "22 Anhui Bond 21" decreased over 5% [1] - "22 Chongqing Bond 12" and "25 Chongqing Bond 34" both fell over 4% [1] Group 3: Special Government Bonds Performance - "24 Special National Bond 01" increased by 0.57% [1] - "24 Special National Bond 02" rose by 0.34% [1] - "24 Special National Bond 03" increased by 0.84% [1] - "24 Special National Bond 04" rose by 0.53% [1] - "Special National Bond 2401" increased by 0.66% [1] - "Special National Bond 2402" decreased by 0.24% [1] - "Special National Bond 2403" increased by 0.95% [1] - "Special National Bond 2404" had no transactions [1]

Group 1 - Vanke bonds have experienced significant declines, with "21 Vanke 06" dropping over 24% and temporarily suspended from trading [1] - Other notable declines include "23 Vanke 01" down over 18%, "22 Vanke 02" down over 17%, and "21 Vanke 04" down over 16% [1] - Additional bonds such as "22 Vanke 04" and "22 Vanke 06" fell over 10%, while "21 Vanke 02" decreased over 7% [1]