Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pulp industry is "shockingly weak" [1] Group 2: Core View of the Report - The pulp market is currently in a state of weakening trends, with the spot prices of softwood pulp following the decline of the futures market. The hardwood pulp market has also shown signs of weakness, and the downstream demand is sluggish, intensifying the bearish sentiment [1][4] Group 3: Summary Based on Related Catalogs Fundamental Data - **Futures Market**: The closing prices of the pulp main contract in both the day and night sessions decreased compared to the previous day. The trading volume and open interest increased, while the number of warehouse receipts remained unchanged. The net position of the top 20 members increased [3] - **Spread Data**: The basis of silver star - futures main contract decreased, while the basis of goldfish - futures main contract (non - standard) increased. The month - spread of SP03 - SP05 also increased [3] - **Spot Market**: Different pulp varieties have different prices. For example, the domestic price of northern softwood pulp is 5700 yuan/ton, and the international price of silver star is 710 US dollars/ton [3] Industry News - Last week, the decline in the futures market led to a decline in the spot price of softwood pulp. The hardwood pulp market also showed signs of weakness. The downstream demand is weak, with low purchasing willingness, and the bearish sentiment is intensifying. Attention should be paid to whether the futures market can stop falling and stabilize, whether the low - price rumors in the hardwood pulp market will become a general price - reduction behavior, and whether there are changes in the downstream's willingness to replenish stocks at low prices [4] Paper Product Market - The mainstream price of 70g natural white offset paper is 4450 yuan/ton, and the average price of 70g high - white offset paper is 4750 yuan/ton, which is the same as the previous working day. Factory production has not increased, and the market supply is abundant. The high pulp cost squeezes the industry's profit, and paper mills are determined to maintain prices. The market demand from consumers is weak, and it is difficult to effectively transmit the price downstream. Traders generally adopt a fast - turnover strategy, and there are price concessions in regional transactions. Attention should be paid to downstream orders and pulp price changes [5]

Report Summary 1. Report Title and Date - Title: "Paper Pulp: Wide - range Fluctuation 20260113" - Date: January 13, 2026 [1] 2. Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 3. Core Viewpoints - The paper pulp market is in a wide - range fluctuation state. The market supply - demand structure has not changed significantly, and downstream demand remains weak, failing to provide new driving forces. Attention should be paid to the capital trends in the futures market, the actual transaction changes of high - priced broadleaf pulp, port inventory data, downstream orders, and pulp price changes [4][5] 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Fundamental Data - **Futures Market**: The daily - session closing price of the paper pulp main contract was 5,490 yuan/ton (down 60 yuan from the previous day), and the night - session closing price was 5,514 yuan/ton (down 34 yuan). The trading volume was 283,615 lots (down 66,346 lots), the holding volume of the 05 contract was 219,104 lots (up 3,624 lots), the warehouse receipt quantity was 142,363 tons (up 5,874 tons), and the net holding volume of the top 20 members was - 29,805 lots (down 2,872 lots) [3] - **Spread Data**: The basis of "Yinxing - Futures Main" was 60 (up 10), the basis of "Jinyu - Futures Main (Non - standard)" was - 740 (up 60), and the month - spread of SP03 - SP05 was - 30 (up 4) [3] - **Spot Market**: The domestic prices of coniferous pulp brands such as Beimu, Kailipu, Shipai, and Yinxing were 5,800 yuan/ton, 5,750 yuan/ton, 5,700 yuan/ton, and 5,550 yuan/ton respectively; the domestic prices of broadleaf pulp brands such as Jindao, Mingxing, and Tai were 4,750 yuan/ton, 4,750 yuan/ton, and 4,700 yuan/ton respectively; the domestic price of chemical mechanical pulp brand Kunhe was 3,800 yuan/ton; and the domestic price of natural color pulp brand Jinxing was 5,050 yuan/ton [3] 4.2 Industry News - The futures market fluctuated downward yesterday. The price of coniferous pulp in the spot market weakened, while the price of broadleaf pulp remained at a high - level offer. The actual transactions of high - priced broadleaf pulp were light, and the terminal's acceptance of the current price was gradually weakening [4] - The mainstream price of 70g white offset paper was 4,450 yuan/ton, and the average price of 70g high - white offset paper was 4,750 yuan/ton, remaining flat from the previous day. Factory production did not increase, and the market supply was abundant. Supported by pulp factors, enterprises mostly maintained a price - holding strategy. Downstream consumption was mainly social orders, with low user purchasing enthusiasm, leading to cautious operations by traders [5]