中邮证券研报指出，国电南瑞2025Q1-3归母净利润48.6亿元，同比+8.4%；其中2025Q3归母净利润19.0 亿，同环比分别+7.8%/-16.2%。业务板块结构变化导致盈利有所下滑，费控管理能力进一步提升。网内 业务稳定，网外和海外业务增长亮眼。电网市场方面，在省级落地电力现货市场、新一代调度、配电自 动化和新一代用采等，网内市场份额巩固提升；电网外市场方面，中标华能乌兰察布、国电投海西州等 储能，陕西佛坪、福建仙游等抽蓄；国际市场：拓展取得新突破，沙特、南美等市场放量增长，落地沙 特柔直换流阀及ADMS、印尼SVC供货等重大项目。维持"买入"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][10] Core Views - The company has shown rapid growth in its external business, particularly in the renewable energy sector, which is expected to enhance grid safety services [3] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 38.58 billion yuan, an increase of 18.5% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.86 billion yuan, up 8.4% year-on-year [3] - The company is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 64.63 billion yuan, 72.48 billion yuan, and 80.60 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price is 25.05 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 201.2 billion yuan [2] - The company has a total share capital of 8.032 billion shares, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 43.2% [2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 14.33 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 16.7% [3] - The gross margin and net margin for the first three quarters of 2025 were 26.5% and 13.3% respectively, reflecting a slight decline compared to the previous year [3] - The company has successfully reduced its sales, management, and R&D expense ratios, contributing to improved profitability [3] Business Segments - The company has solidified its market share in the domestic grid sector while experiencing significant growth in external and international markets, including projects in Saudi Arabia and South America [4] - The company has secured contracts for energy storage and pumped storage projects, indicating a strong pipeline for future revenue [4] Earnings Forecast - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders is 8.34 billion yuan for 2025, 9.41 billion yuan for 2026, and 10.65 billion yuan for 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24, 21, and 19 [5][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming year [6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 24.243 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.54%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.952 billion yuan, up 8.82% year-on-year [1]. - The company signed new contracts worth 35.432 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a growth of 23.46% compared to the previous year, with over 50% of contracts coming from outside the State Grid [2]. - International business saw a remarkable growth of over 200% in new contracts, with significant projects in markets such as Saudi Arabia and South America, contributing to an overseas revenue of 1.987 billion yuan, a 139.18% increase year-on-year [2]. - Emerging business segments grew nearly 40% year-on-year, with advancements in energy storage solutions and new product applications in various sectors [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 64.518 billion, 72.045 billion, and 80.608 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 12.4%, 11.7%, and 11.9% [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 24.243 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.952 billion yuan, and a cash dividend of 0.147 yuan per share [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue reached 15.348 billion yuan, marking a 22.50% increase year-on-year, while net profit was 2.272 billion yuan, up 7.33% [1]. Market Expansion - The company has strengthened its market share in domestic sectors and achieved significant project wins in both domestic and international markets, with a notable focus on energy storage and smart grid solutions [2][3]. - The international market has become a crucial growth driver, with overseas revenue now accounting for 8.20% of total revenue [2]. Future Projections - The company is expected to see steady revenue growth, with net profits projected to reach 8.204 billion yuan in 2025, growing to 10.611 billion yuan by 2027 [5]. - The report anticipates a PE ratio of 22X for 2025, decreasing to 17X by 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [3].