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东方财富(300059):市占延续提升,基金代销复苏
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-17 05:22
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][25]. Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 38.7% year-on-year, reaching 6.856 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a net profit of 5.567 billion yuan, up 37.3% year-on-year [1]. - The company's market share in brokerage and margin trading continues to rise, with a brokerage transaction volume of 16.03 trillion yuan and a market share of 4.14% in H1 2025 [2]. - The company has a leading position in fund distribution, with an equity fund holding scale of 383.8 billion yuan, representing a 10% increase from the beginning of the year [3]. - The company benefits from strong internet traffic through its platforms, enhancing its competitive edge and growth potential in various financial services [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 68.56 billion yuan and a net profit of 55.67 billion yuan, with a weighted average ROE of 6.69% [1]. - The company has increased its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 by 14.77%, 18.10%, and 18.12% respectively, based on improved market conditions [4][25]. Market Position - The company maintains a strong market position with a brokerage income contributing approximately 50% to its revenue, significantly higher than traditional brokers [2]. - The company’s fund distribution business has shown resilience, with a total fund distribution volume of 1.0572 trillion yuan in H1 2025, up 24.2% year-on-year [3]. Valuation Metrics - The current PE TTM is 40.78x, which is at the 61.8 percentile of the past five years [4][25]. - The company’s financial metrics indicate a projected revenue growth of 31.2% in 2025, with a net profit margin expected to remain stable [5][29].